法案里有这么一段话:
"For fiscal year 2012, 15 percent of the total number of immigrant visas
made
available under section 203(b) of such Act (8 U.S.C. 1153(b)) shall be
allotted to immigrants who are natives of a foreign state or dependent area
that was not one of the two states with the largest numbers of natives
obtaining lawful permanent resident status during fiscal year 2010 under
such section 203(b)."
什么是: "... one of the two states with the largest numbers of natives
obtaining lawful permanent resident status during fiscal year 2010... "
??
这是说该法案头三年过渡期,85%,90%,90%的总名额只给两个国家?? 这两个国家是怎么
选出来的?
如果你没被选中,那你整个国家当年的可用名额至多将为5.2K (2012), 3.5K (2013), 3
.5K
(2014).
注意这个指所有(EB1+2+3+4+5)的可用名额.(如果EBC没被选中,那对所有人将是一场灾
难.)
总之,这个HR 3012 不是简单地取消CAP世界统排,其中猫腻很多.是否支持应该慎重.
当然,EBC支持反对与否,作用都不大.真正给力的应该是ROW,以及有见地的老美.老墨,老
菲支
不支持对自己影响不大.真正受影响的是ROW. EBC内部有矛盾,主要是因为一半一半:
EB2C
目前不属于ROW,而EB3C则非常接近于ROW.这一点,决定了内部必然打架.既然如此,大家
何不聚力一起来想出个两全其美的修正案呢.
it is correct that the allocation proposed in HR 3012 is to be made in each
sub-category.
so, it is quite simple, the purpose of HR 3012 is -
EB3I wanted to rob the EB3 ROW, since it could not get any SO each year.
this is the only way to solve the big backlog in EB3I.
The consequence to EBC23:
EB3C, annual quote drops from 2500 to 1500 in year 2012, to 1000 in years
2013 and 2014. after 2014, all EB3's PD will be the same.
EB2C, not much difference if economy is still gloomy in foreseeable years.
if economy is better, EB2C may benefit more. This is because to EB2, HR 3012
is like to allocate the SO in advance (however, the whole # of visas is the
same); it also makes it a rule that the oversubscribed countries (C&I) will
use the visa # earlier than others even when economy is better.
It can be concluded that HR 3012 is only an interim amendment. Even it were
passed, three years later, the law would change again. It is only a solution
to the EBI problems at this tough economy. (No wonder it is IV that heavily
pushes this reform.)