Oh Law: Obama Considering a Third Option Relating to Timing of Immigration Executive Actions?# EB23 - 劳工卡
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08/29/2014: Obama Considering a Third Option Relating to Timing of
Immigration Executive Actions?
Readers will remember our posting a couple of days back on Obama's dilemma
as to whether to save 2014 midterm national election or to save 2016
Presidential election for the Democratic Party. We thought there were only
two options for him: either to use his pen before November 2014 election
with the risk of potentially losing the Democratic Senate or not to use his
pen with the potential risk of losing the Presidential election in 2016.
Guess what. This reporter was wrong because reportedly Obama is also
considering a third option to use his pen within 2014 but after the November
midterm national election, supposedly to save the Congressional elections
in 2014 as well as the Presidential election in 2016. Exercise of the third
option may still frustrate and create angry Hispanics and progressive
liberals, but inasmuch as he exercises the executive power to save
undocumented immigrants and expand immigration opportunities for legal
immigrants, the anger could be controlled over the period of time before the
Presidential election in 2016. Besides, when it comes to Hispanics and
undocumented immigrants, their hands are tied in that they have no other
alternatives because the delayed relief could be better than no relief at
all under the Republican political platform. We are not certain whether
Obama will indeed take this third option and will just have to wait and see.
It appears this potential decision is not induced by the Republicans' threat
to bring lawsuits and/or government shutdown threats, for the two reasons.
Firstly, Republicans will never bring government shut-down after the
devastating past experience. It is just the threats from Tea Party members
rather than party leaders or conference. Secondly, as far as the lawsuit
threat is concerned, no matter when he signs the executive actions,
Republicans are likely to bring lawsuits anyway. Thus lawsuit threat is not
relevant to the executive action timing issue. Obama's decision could rather
have been derived from political calculation which we described above.
Immigration Executive Actions?
Readers will remember our posting a couple of days back on Obama's dilemma
as to whether to save 2014 midterm national election or to save 2016
Presidential election for the Democratic Party. We thought there were only
two options for him: either to use his pen before November 2014 election
with the risk of potentially losing the Democratic Senate or not to use his
pen with the potential risk of losing the Presidential election in 2016.
Guess what. This reporter was wrong because reportedly Obama is also
considering a third option to use his pen within 2014 but after the November
midterm national election, supposedly to save the Congressional elections
in 2014 as well as the Presidential election in 2016. Exercise of the third
option may still frustrate and create angry Hispanics and progressive
liberals, but inasmuch as he exercises the executive power to save
undocumented immigrants and expand immigration opportunities for legal
immigrants, the anger could be controlled over the period of time before the
Presidential election in 2016. Besides, when it comes to Hispanics and
undocumented immigrants, their hands are tied in that they have no other
alternatives because the delayed relief could be better than no relief at
all under the Republican political platform. We are not certain whether
Obama will indeed take this third option and will just have to wait and see.
It appears this potential decision is not induced by the Republicans' threat
to bring lawsuits and/or government shutdown threats, for the two reasons.
Firstly, Republicans will never bring government shut-down after the
devastating past experience. It is just the threats from Tea Party members
rather than party leaders or conference. Secondly, as far as the lawsuit
threat is concerned, no matter when he signs the executive actions,
Republicans are likely to bring lawsuits anyway. Thus lawsuit threat is not
relevant to the executive action timing issue. Obama's decision could rather
have been derived from political calculation which we described above.
