basically - eb2 for fiscal year 2015, forward 3-5 weeks each month, didn't mention 放水。 eb3 放水again, eb2如果降级多, 会导致eb3大副后退 AGAIN。 USCIS Visa Bulletin Prediction For Fiscal Year 2015 The American Immigration Lawyers Association (AILA) recently met again with Charles Oppenheim to discuss the current demand and expected movements in various visa bulletin categories. Charles Oppenheim is the Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting Division within Department of State (DOS). Please see the important details below: EB1 (All Countries): This category is expected to remain current throughout fiscal year 2015. EB2 ROW (Rest of World): This category is expected to remain current throughout this fiscal year 2015. EB2 China: This category is expected to continue to move forward by approximately 3-5 weeks per month in each visa bulletin. This could change if demand increases from applicants porting from EB3 China to EB2 China. This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China. EB2 India: This category is expected to retrogress significantly either in November or December visa bulletin. The dates are expected to retrogress to early 2005 and remain there till summer 2015 (around July 2015). This is due to heavy demand from new applicants and applicants porting from EB3 India to EB2 India category. For Fiscal year 2014, around 16,000 unused visas were made available to EB2 India category. This resulted in dates moving forward to 2009. For FY 2015, EB2 India has a base quota of around 2,802 visas. This base quota for EB2 India is sufficient for applicants porting from EB3 India to EB2 India even when dates have retrogressed to 2005. Hence there is no forward movement expected till around June or July 2015 when spillovers from other categories will (mostly) go to EB2 India. For fiscal year 2014, EB2 India used up around 3,000 visas even when dates had retrogressed to 2004. EB3 ROW (Rest of World): EB3 ROW is expected to continue to move forward significantly over the next few months to increase demand. This is because DOS has finished processing high number of cases in year 2007. Hence it has started moving dates forward for next few months to generate higher demand. EB3 China: Rapid forward movement is expected in this category for next few months. Demand may increase if applicants from EB2 China port to EB3 China. EB3 India: Due to high volume of pending application (25,000-30,000 till around July 2007), very small movement is expected in EB3 India. DOS is expecting around 1-2 weeks movement every month. The movement may increase as more applicants port from EB3 India to EB2 India category. EB4 (All Countries): The demand continues to increase in this category. This may result in retrogression either towards end of FY 2015 or early 2016. EB5 (All Countries): For the first time, demand in this category was sufficient to meet the quota of 10,000 visas in FY 2014. Around 85% of demand is from applicants from China. This may result in retrogression in EB5 China in 2015. Visa Bulletin Predictions - Family Based: Here are the predictions for the next several months: F1: This category is expected to advance by 2-3 weeks per month. F2A: This category is expected to advance by 3-5 weeks per month. F2B: This category is expected to advance by 6-8 weeks per month. F3: This category is expected to advance by 1-3 weeks per month. F4: This category is expected to advance by 2-4 weeks per month.
still seems not wise for eb2 who are ~ 2011 - 2012 to downgrade, but for all new eb2 applicants, might be better to draft the PERM to be both eb2 eb3 eligible when you start.
This could change if demand increases from applicants porting from EB3 China to EB2 China. This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China. 简直是睁着眼说瞎话,去年3类大幅前进之后,还有几个老中想着升级? 不知道这是网站的看法还是奥本的主意,只说eb2c降级会导致eb3后退,那降级空出来 的名额怎么不会让eb2c放水呢? 合着坏事都想到我们,好事就忽略了? 这么搞,2类还有半年就把上次放水的库存消化完,到时候10年、11年的降级走了一大 批,收不到人,名额用不完,一定要搞死奥本丫的。
水。 with
【在 c*********2 的大作中提到】 : basically - : eb2 for fiscal year 2015, forward 3-5 weeks each month, didn't mention 放水。 : eb3 放水again, eb2如果降级多, 会导致eb3大副后退 AGAIN。 : USCIS Visa Bulletin Prediction For Fiscal Year 2015 : The American Immigration Lawyers Association (AILA) recently met again with : Charles Oppenheim to discuss the current demand and expected movements in : various visa bulletin categories. : Charles Oppenheim is the Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting Division : within Department of State (DOS). : Please see the important details below:
somehow I felt the EB2 space downgraders provided had all given to indians last year... eb2 should go really fast if oppen is fair at china vs india visa #'s... =(
【在 s***y 的大作中提到】 : This could change : if demand increases from applicants porting from EB3 China to EB2 China. : This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China. : 简直是睁着眼说瞎话,去年3类大幅前进之后,还有几个老中想着升级? : 不知道这是网站的看法还是奥本的主意,只说eb2c降级会导致eb3后退,那降级空出来 : 的名额怎么不会让eb2c放水呢? : 合着坏事都想到我们,好事就忽略了? : 这么搞,2类还有半年就把上次放水的库存消化完,到时候10年、11年的降级走了一大 : 批,收不到人,名额用不完,一定要搞死奥本丫的。 :
【在 s***y 的大作中提到】 : This could change : if demand increases from applicants porting from EB3 China to EB2 China. : This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China. : 简直是睁着眼说瞎话,去年3类大幅前进之后,还有几个老中想着升级? : 不知道这是网站的看法还是奥本的主意,只说eb2c降级会导致eb3后退,那降级空出来 : 的名额怎么不会让eb2c放水呢? : 合着坏事都想到我们,好事就忽略了? : 这么搞,2类还有半年就把上次放水的库存消化完,到时候10年、11年的降级走了一大 : 批,收不到人,名额用不完,一定要搞死奥本丫的。 :
是比较好玩 EB2 Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around February 2017 EB3 Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around September 2015
EB2 Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around may 2016 EB3 Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around july 2015
c*n
30 楼
换个名字再申请行不行?
c*s
31 楼
EB2 Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around January 2016 EB3 Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around June 2015
官样语言不都是这样的吗,上面也说了,“This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China.“
【在 s***y 的大作中提到】 : This could change : if demand increases from applicants porting from EB3 China to EB2 China. : This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China. : 简直是睁着眼说瞎话,去年3类大幅前进之后,还有几个老中想着升级? : 不知道这是网站的看法还是奥本的主意,只说eb2c降级会导致eb3后退,那降级空出来 : 的名额怎么不会让eb2c放水呢? : 合着坏事都想到我们,好事就忽略了? : 这么搞,2类还有半年就把上次放水的库存消化完,到时候10年、11年的降级走了一大 : 批,收不到人,名额用不完,一定要搞死奥本丫的。 :
记着上个月是说 “ in the next few months", 这次是” each visa bulletin" in fiscal year. 班花怎么知道是有context? 这明摆着到库存很快就用完了, 奥本这是想玩死EB2C。
【在 l*******n 的大作中提到】 : 奥本的话有context, 是next few months
w*e
44 楼
EB2: Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around November 2017 EB3: Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around December 2015
水。 with
【在 c*********2 的大作中提到】 : basically - : eb2 for fiscal year 2015, forward 3-5 weeks each month, didn't mention 放水。 : eb3 放水again, eb2如果降级多, 会导致eb3大副后退 AGAIN。 : USCIS Visa Bulletin Prediction For Fiscal Year 2015 : The American Immigration Lawyers Association (AILA) recently met again with : Charles Oppenheim to discuss the current demand and expected movements in : various visa bulletin categories. : Charles Oppenheim is the Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting Division : within Department of State (DOS). : Please see the important details below:
【在 R**U 的大作中提到】 : 记着上个月是说 “ in the next few months", 这次是” each visa bulletin" in : fiscal year. : 班花怎么知道是有context? : 这明摆着到库存很快就用完了, 奥本这是想玩死EB2C。
R*U
46 楼
我哪有心情造谣,你看看第一个帖子和楼主的总结。 EB2 China: This category is expected to continue to move forward by approximately 3-5 weeks per month in each visa bulletin. This could change if demand increases from applicants porting from EB3 China to EB2 China. This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China. 你的预测的帖子以前我就看过,预测的合情合理,所以看到奥本放这些厥词才觉得不可 思议。
【在 R**U 的大作中提到】 : 我哪有心情造谣,你看看第一个帖子和楼主的总结。 : EB2 China: This category is expected to continue to move forward by : approximately 3-5 weeks per month in each visa bulletin. This could change : if demand increases from applicants porting from EB3 China to EB2 China. : This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China. : 你的预测的帖子以前我就看过,预测的合情合理,所以看到奥本放这些厥词才觉得不可 : 思议。
c*2
48 楼
basically - eb2 for fiscal year 2015, forward 3-5 weeks each month, didn't mention 放水。 eb3 放水again, eb2如果降级多, 会导致eb3大副后退 AGAIN。 USCIS Visa Bulletin Prediction For Fiscal Year 2015 The American Immigration Lawyers Association (AILA) recently met again with Charles Oppenheim to discuss the current demand and expected movements in various visa bulletin categories. Charles Oppenheim is the Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting Division within Department of State (DOS). Please see the important details below: EB1 (All Countries): This category is expected to remain current throughout fiscal year 2015. EB2 ROW (Rest of World): This category is expected to remain current throughout this fiscal year 2015. EB2 China: This category is expected to continue to move forward by approximately 3-5 weeks per month in each visa bulletin. This could change if demand increases from applicants porting from EB3 China to EB2 China. This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China. EB2 India: This category is expected to retrogress significantly either in November or December visa bulletin. The dates are expected to retrogress to early 2005 and remain there till summer 2015 (around July 2015). This is due to heavy demand from new applicants and applicants porting from EB3 India to EB2 India category. For Fiscal year 2014, around 16,000 unused visas were made available to EB2 India category. This resulted in dates moving forward to 2009. For FY 2015, EB2 India has a base quota of around 2,802 visas. This base quota for EB2 India is sufficient for applicants porting from EB3 India to EB2 India even when dates have retrogressed to 2005. Hence there is no forward movement expected till around June or July 2015 when spillovers from other categories will (mostly) go to EB2 India. For fiscal year 2014, EB2 India used up around 3,000 visas even when dates had retrogressed to 2004. EB3 ROW (Rest of World): EB3 ROW is expected to continue to move forward significantly over the next few months to increase demand. This is because DOS has finished processing high number of cases in year 2007. Hence it has started moving dates forward for next few months to generate higher demand. EB3 China: Rapid forward movement is expected in this category for next few months. Demand may increase if applicants from EB2 China port to EB3 China. EB3 India: Due to high volume of pending application (25,000-30,000 till around July 2007), very small movement is expected in EB3 India. DOS is expecting around 1-2 weeks movement every month. The movement may increase as more applicants port from EB3 India to EB2 India category. EB4 (All Countries): The demand continues to increase in this category. This may result in retrogression either towards end of FY 2015 or early 2016. EB5 (All Countries): For the first time, demand in this category was sufficient to meet the quota of 10,000 visas in FY 2014. Around 85% of demand is from applicants from China. This may result in retrogression in EB5 China in 2015. Visa Bulletin Predictions - Family Based: Here are the predictions for the next several months: F1: This category is expected to advance by 2-3 weeks per month. F2A: This category is expected to advance by 3-5 weeks per month. F2B: This category is expected to advance by 6-8 weeks per month. F3: This category is expected to advance by 1-3 weeks per month. F4: This category is expected to advance by 2-4 weeks per month.
c*2
49 楼
still seems not wise for eb2 who are ~ 2011 - 2012 to downgrade, but for all new eb2 applicants, might be better to draft the PERM to be both eb2 eb3 eligible when you start.
s*y
50 楼
This could change if demand increases from applicants porting from EB3 China to EB2 China. This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China. 简直是睁着眼说瞎话,去年3类大幅前进之后,还有几个老中想着升级? 不知道这是网站的看法还是奥本的主意,只说eb2c降级会导致eb3后退,那降级空出来 的名额怎么不会让eb2c放水呢? 合着坏事都想到我们,好事就忽略了? 这么搞,2类还有半年就把上次放水的库存消化完,到时候10年、11年的降级走了一大 批,收不到人,名额用不完,一定要搞死奥本丫的。
水。 with
【在 c*********2 的大作中提到】 : basically - : eb2 for fiscal year 2015, forward 3-5 weeks each month, didn't mention 放水。 : eb3 放水again, eb2如果降级多, 会导致eb3大副后退 AGAIN。 : USCIS Visa Bulletin Prediction For Fiscal Year 2015 : The American Immigration Lawyers Association (AILA) recently met again with : Charles Oppenheim to discuss the current demand and expected movements in : various visa bulletin categories. : Charles Oppenheim is the Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting Division : within Department of State (DOS). : Please see the important details below:
c*2
51 楼
somehow I felt the EB2 space downgraders provided had all given to indians last year... eb2 should go really fast if oppen is fair at china vs india visa #'s... =(
【在 s***y 的大作中提到】 : This could change : if demand increases from applicants porting from EB3 China to EB2 China. : This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China. : 简直是睁着眼说瞎话,去年3类大幅前进之后,还有几个老中想着升级? : 不知道这是网站的看法还是奥本的主意,只说eb2c降级会导致eb3后退,那降级空出来 : 的名额怎么不会让eb2c放水呢? : 合着坏事都想到我们,好事就忽略了? : 这么搞,2类还有半年就把上次放水的库存消化完,到时候10年、11年的降级走了一大 : 批,收不到人,名额用不完,一定要搞死奥本丫的。 :
f*c
52 楼
总之他们的意思是 eb23 demand 都可能会增加
【在 s***y 的大作中提到】 : This could change : if demand increases from applicants porting from EB3 China to EB2 China. : This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China. : 简直是睁着眼说瞎话,去年3类大幅前进之后,还有几个老中想着升级? : 不知道这是网站的看法还是奥本的主意,只说eb2c降级会导致eb3后退,那降级空出来 : 的名额怎么不会让eb2c放水呢? : 合着坏事都想到我们,好事就忽略了? : 这么搞,2类还有半年就把上次放水的库存消化完,到时候10年、11年的降级走了一大 : 批,收不到人,名额用不完,一定要搞死奥本丫的。 :
l*n
53 楼
我觉得比较好玩的是mygcvisa上面的测你的排期什么时候current的那个。
h*s
54 楼
"Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around April 2019 " 心已死。
是比较好玩 EB2 Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around February 2017 EB3 Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around September 2015
EB2 Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around may 2016 EB3 Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around july 2015
c*s
59 楼
EB2 Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around January 2016 EB3 Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around June 2015
官样语言不都是这样的吗,上面也说了,“This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China.“
【在 s***y 的大作中提到】 : This could change : if demand increases from applicants porting from EB3 China to EB2 China. : This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China. : 简直是睁着眼说瞎话,去年3类大幅前进之后,还有几个老中想着升级? : 不知道这是网站的看法还是奥本的主意,只说eb2c降级会导致eb3后退,那降级空出来 : 的名额怎么不会让eb2c放水呢? : 合着坏事都想到我们,好事就忽略了? : 这么搞,2类还有半年就把上次放水的库存消化完,到时候10年、11年的降级走了一大 : 批,收不到人,名额用不完,一定要搞死奥本丫的。 :
记着上个月是说 “ in the next few months", 这次是” each visa bulletin" in fiscal year. 班花怎么知道是有context? 这明摆着到库存很快就用完了, 奥本这是想玩死EB2C。
【在 l*******n 的大作中提到】 : 奥本的话有context, 是next few months
w*e
72 楼
EB2: Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around November 2017 EB3: Based on November 2014 data, your Priority Date may become current around December 2015
水。 with
【在 c*********2 的大作中提到】 : basically - : eb2 for fiscal year 2015, forward 3-5 weeks each month, didn't mention 放水。 : eb3 放水again, eb2如果降级多, 会导致eb3大副后退 AGAIN。 : USCIS Visa Bulletin Prediction For Fiscal Year 2015 : The American Immigration Lawyers Association (AILA) recently met again with : Charles Oppenheim to discuss the current demand and expected movements in : various visa bulletin categories. : Charles Oppenheim is the Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting Division : within Department of State (DOS). : Please see the important details below:
【在 R**U 的大作中提到】 : 记着上个月是说 “ in the next few months", 这次是” each visa bulletin" in : fiscal year. : 班花怎么知道是有context? : 这明摆着到库存很快就用完了, 奥本这是想玩死EB2C。
R*U
74 楼
我哪有心情造谣,你看看第一个帖子和楼主的总结。 EB2 China: This category is expected to continue to move forward by approximately 3-5 weeks per month in each visa bulletin. This could change if demand increases from applicants porting from EB3 China to EB2 China. This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China. 你的预测的帖子以前我就看过,预测的合情合理,所以看到奥本放这些厥词才觉得不可 思议。
【在 R**U 的大作中提到】 : 我哪有心情造谣,你看看第一个帖子和楼主的总结。 : EB2 China: This category is expected to continue to move forward by : approximately 3-5 weeks per month in each visa bulletin. This could change : if demand increases from applicants porting from EB3 China to EB2 China. : This is not currently likely since EB3 China is again ahead of EB2 China. : 你的预测的帖子以前我就看过,预测的合情合理,所以看到奥本放这些厥词才觉得不可 : 思议。
j*n
76 楼
厄。。。没看懂
【在 R**U 的大作中提到】 : 记着上个月是说 “ in the next few months", 这次是” each visa bulletin" in : fiscal year. : 班花怎么知道是有context? : 这明摆着到库存很快就用完了, 奥本这是想玩死EB2C。
【在 c*********2 的大作中提到】 : basically - : eb2 for fiscal year 2015, forward 3-5 weeks each month, didn't mention 放水。 : eb3 放水again, eb2如果降级多, 会导致eb3大副后退 AGAIN。 : USCIS Visa Bulletin Prediction For Fiscal Year 2015 : The American Immigration Lawyers Association (AILA) recently met again with : Charles Oppenheim to discuss the current demand and expected movements in : various visa bulletin categories. : Charles Oppenheim is the Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting Division : within Department of State (DOS). : Please see the important details below: