台湾五都选举进入最后十天倒计时# Stock
c*i
1 楼
BBC Chinese, Nov. 17, 2010.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/china/2010/11/101117_taiwan_election_10day_countdown.shtml
("若以近年来对选前预测与实际结果最接近的台湾政治大学'未来事件交易所'的预测来
看，民进党得票率可能在下周六（11月27日）的五都选举中略胜一畴")
My comment: I am surprise that Taiwan has this also.
(a) 未來事件交易所
http://www.xfuture.org/home
("未來事件交易所是由《國立政治大學預測市場研究中心》和《未來事件交易公司》合
作的網站")
I take a look, and presume that the numbers for each candidates on a given
day should add up to make 100. The higher the number, the more probable an
event will happen. (I just read 新手上路 | 常見問題--buttons at the bottom
of home page--but can not understand a thing.)
(b) The Exchange of Future Events. The Center for Prediction Markets,
National Chengchi University, May 7, 2010.
http://nccupm.wordpress.com/the-exchange-of-future-events/
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/china/2010/11/101117_taiwan_election_10day_countdown.shtml
("若以近年来对选前预测与实际结果最接近的台湾政治大学'未来事件交易所'的预测来
看，民进党得票率可能在下周六（11月27日）的五都选举中略胜一畴")
My comment: I am surprise that Taiwan has this also.
(a) 未來事件交易所
http://www.xfuture.org/home
("未來事件交易所是由《國立政治大學預測市場研究中心》和《未來事件交易公司》合
作的網站")
I take a look, and presume that the numbers for each candidates on a given
day should add up to make 100. The higher the number, the more probable an
event will happen. (I just read 新手上路 | 常見問題--buttons at the bottom
of home page--but can not understand a thing.)
(b) The Exchange of Future Events. The Center for Prediction Markets,
National Chengchi University, May 7, 2010.
http://nccupm.wordpress.com/the-exchange-of-future-events/