现在的股票市场, 靠消息已经不能吓住投资者了, 要来点真的. - 未名空间MITBBS历史存档

现在的股票市场, 靠消息已经不能吓住投资者了, 要来点真的.# Stock

d*n2011-07-26 07:07

1 楼

专业是nanomaterials,材料/化学, 正在薄厚
文章13-14篇，一半是一作，引用接近200，还不到。最近发了一篇挺好的文章，可惜
还没有引用。
审稿50+，不过都是IF<=5的。专利2个，不过没有任何商业价值。
目前准备先diy，最后要是觉得自己不行，再联系律师吧。按照版上的其他版友的例子
我觉得我的case还行，只是觉得我这个专业普遍文章都很多，我就显得少了，不知道移
民官在考虑case，看文章/引用数的时候，会不会考虑到专业的因素？
正在潜水研究前人的经验。有个小问题。大家在讲自己发表的文章的杂志的时候，从
哪些数据库证明这个杂志是专业里的top one, top five之类的啊？
谢谢大家~

l*t2011-07-26 07:07

2 楼

什么欧债啊, 什么美债啊, 什么衰退啥的已经不能真的吓住投资者了.
买盘很强, 大家都争着抄底. 惟有真的来个违约, 大盘猛撮1,2千点或者更多, 散户才
知道什么叫做好了伤疤别忘了疼.
08年LEHMAN 救不救也是在周六讨论, 然后决定不救. 周日LEHMAN 破产, 周一大盘暴撮
, 全被套.
现在也是那样, 大家都觉得不会破产, 一跌就猛买抄底.
现在知道什么叫做震荡时候现金为王了, 最近做多做空都危险.

s*92011-07-26 07:07

3 楼

有个ESI的表，你在本班考古看看

B*r2011-07-26 07:07

4 楼

Short all those 3x ETFs, and keep a balance. Let volatility decay those scam
ETFs.

【在 l****t 的大作中提到】

: 什么欧债啊, 什么美债啊, 什么衰退啥的已经不能真的吓住投资者了.
: 买盘很强, 大家都争着抄底. 惟有真的来个违约, 大盘猛撮1,2千点或者更多, 散户才
: 知道什么叫做好了伤疤别忘了疼.
: 08年LEHMAN 救不救也是在周六讨论, 然后决定不救. 周日LEHMAN 破产, 周一大盘暴撮
: , 全被套.
: 现在也是那样, 大家都觉得不会破产, 一跌就猛买抄底.
: 现在知道什么叫做震荡时候现金为王了, 最近做多做空都危险.

b*d2011-07-26 07:07

5 楼

大家在讲自己发表的文章的杂志的时候，从哪些数据库证明这个杂志是专业里的top
one, top five之类的啊？
there are several, google scholar, SJR etc. Choose one that is best for you.
are you NSC or TSC?

i*u2011-07-26 07:07

6 楼

A default is totally different from the 08 bailout fundamentally. That is a
lost in economic/financial leadership, considers that the U.S. treasury is
the most liquid asset in the world economy, which is why we are calling it
as the "risk free rate". A U.S. default will change this role and change the
whole financial modeling system. That is going to be a disaster for
portfolio management and many thing in life. I don't believe on the default
talk. Lehman's failure is much smaller than the U.S. default.

【在 l****t 的大作中提到】

: 什么欧债啊, 什么美债啊, 什么衰退啥的已经不能真的吓住投资者了.
: 买盘很强, 大家都争着抄底. 惟有真的来个违约, 大盘猛撮1,2千点或者更多, 散户才
: 知道什么叫做好了伤疤别忘了疼.
: 08年LEHMAN 救不救也是在周六讨论, 然后决定不救. 周日LEHMAN 破产, 周一大盘暴撮
: , 全被套.
: 现在也是那样, 大家都觉得不会破产, 一跌就猛买抄底.
: 现在知道什么叫做震荡时候现金为王了, 最近做多做空都危险.

d*n2011-07-26 07:07

7 楼

多谢。我去找。

【在 s****9 的大作中提到】

: 有个ESI的表，你在本班考古看看

n*d2011-07-26 07:07

8 楼

If you don't believe the default thing, which, like most of us, I don't
believe either, what do you think the eventual compromised bill will look at
? Will the dems give in to the reps with a two-step debt raise? Or is it
more leaning towards the Reid proposition with no tax increases?

a
the
default

【在 i*u 的大作中提到】

: A default is totally different from the 08 bailout fundamentally. That is a
: lost in economic/financial leadership, considers that the U.S. treasury is
: the most liquid asset in the world economy, which is why we are calling it
: as the "risk free rate". A U.S. default will change this role and change the
: whole financial modeling system. That is going to be a disaster for
: portfolio management and many thing in life. I don't believe on the default
: talk. Lehman's failure is much smaller than the U.S. default.

d*n2011-07-26 07:07

9 楼

多谢。
我在NSC

you.

【在 b*****d 的大作中提到】

: 大家在讲自己发表的文章的杂志的时候，从哪些数据库证明这个杂志是专业里的top
: one, top five之类的啊？
: there are several, google scholar, SJR etc. Choose one that is best for you.
: are you NSC or TSC?

i*u2011-07-26 07:07

10 楼

im not a politician, i dont care as long as there is a "deal".

at

【在 n**********d 的大作中提到】

: If you don't believe the default thing, which, like most of us, I don't
: believe either, what do you think the eventual compromised bill will look at
: ? Will the dems give in to the reps with a two-step debt raise? Or is it
: more leaning towards the Reid proposition with no tax increases?
:
: a
: the
: default

u*r2011-07-26 07:07

11 楼

不遇到杀手的话应该可以

l*c2011-07-26 07:07

12 楼

I don't think defer the federal government officers salary o couple of weeks
is a big deal. Treasury has enough money to pay the bond interest to china.
Default for a couple of weeks is not a problem.

at

【在 n**********d 的大作中提到】

: If you don't believe the default thing, which, like most of us, I don't
: believe either, what do you think the eventual compromised bill will look at
: ? Will the dems give in to the reps with a two-step debt raise? Or is it
: more leaning towards the Reid proposition with no tax increases?
:
: a
: the
: default

z*g2011-07-26 07:07

13 楼

我觉得case很不错。

i*u2011-07-26 07:07

14 楼

it is more about the credit rating

weeks
china.

【在 l******c 的大作中提到】

: I don't think defer the federal government officers salary o couple of weeks
: is a big deal. Treasury has enough money to pay the bond interest to china.
: Default for a couple of weeks is not a problem.
:
: at

g*u2011-07-26 07:07

15 楼

Don't worry about it. The rating agencies have no gut to lower
US treasury's credit rating. They will make every excuse to
keep it at triple-A.
This is even not about the government's power. It's just that
nobody will be willing to take the responsibility for the end
of the modern financial world.
They only bark, they will never dare to bite.
I told you guys long time ago: nobody on the street really worries
about the US default. Why? because you don't insure for the end
of the world event. To banks, a US default is the end of the world.
If US default, all of them will be gone. It simply doesn't matter
what they do now.

【在 i*u 的大作中提到】

: it is more about the credit rating
:
: weeks
: china.

S*S2011-07-26 07:07

16 楼

re

a
the
default

【在 i*u 的大作中提到】

: A default is totally different from the 08 bailout fundamentally. That is a
: lost in economic/financial leadership, considers that the U.S. treasury is
: the most liquid asset in the world economy, which is why we are calling it
: as the "risk free rate". A U.S. default will change this role and change the
: whole financial modeling system. That is going to be a disaster for
: portfolio management and many thing in life. I don't believe on the default
: talk. Lehman's failure is much smaller than the U.S. default.

t*x2011-07-26 07:07

17 楼

基本不同意。没有什么东西开始就是个大帽子，然后就是严重性。凡事都有个因果。
说不出的道道基本就是奥巴马的咋呼水平了。
原先跟现在最不同的是2008年的泡泡太大了，没有足够的钱来支持这个泡泡的周转，现
在这个问题基本已经没有了。你得说出一个更为严重的问题，且容易成为disaster在
default这个催化剂下。看不出你的解释有任何实际意义。

a
the
default

【在 i*u 的大作中提到】

: A default is totally different from the 08 bailout fundamentally. That is a
: lost in economic/financial leadership, considers that the U.S. treasury is
: the most liquid asset in the world economy, which is why we are calling it
: as the "risk free rate". A U.S. default will change this role and change the
: whole financial modeling system. That is going to be a disaster for
: portfolio management and many thing in life. I don't believe on the default
: talk. Lehman's failure is much smaller than the U.S. default.