从Super Bowl迷信看，今年股事堪忧# Stock
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There’s that bit of stock market lore called the Super Bowl Indicator.
According to legend, if an “original” National Football League team wins
the Super Bowl, the Dow Jones Industrial Average will rise that year.
Alternatively, if the winning team is one that joined the NFL in the merger
with the American Football League in 1970, the Dow will supposedly drop.
Through 2013, the Super Bowl indicator has a 70% accuracy rate. The quirky
indicator rang true in 2012, when the Dow rose 10% in a year when the New
York Giants, an original team, beat the New England Patriots, 21-17. But it
failed miserably during an identical face-off in 2008—which saw a market
crash after a Giants win.
This year, believers in the indicator won’t have much to cheer for: The
Seahawks didn’t join the league until after the NFL-AFL merger, and the
Broncos are an old AFL franchise.
According to legend, if an “original” National Football League team wins
the Super Bowl, the Dow Jones Industrial Average will rise that year.
Alternatively, if the winning team is one that joined the NFL in the merger
with the American Football League in 1970, the Dow will supposedly drop.
Through 2013, the Super Bowl indicator has a 70% accuracy rate. The quirky
indicator rang true in 2012, when the Dow rose 10% in a year when the New
York Giants, an original team, beat the New England Patriots, 21-17. But it
failed miserably during an identical face-off in 2008—which saw a market
crash after a Giants win.
This year, believers in the indicator won’t have much to cheer for: The
Seahawks didn’t join the league until after the NFL-AFL merger, and the
Broncos are an old AFL franchise.
