介绍一个非常成功的 Fed Watcher。

写“Central Bank 101”的Joseph Wang. 他的油管频道https://www.youtube.com/@Fedguy12

Joseph Wang is a Yale graduate and used to work on the trading desk of the US Fed.

He meticulously interpretes the US Fed's policies. Moreover, he correctly pointed out that the interest rate market was once wrongly too optimistic and was at other times wrongly too pessimistc. His predictions turned out very accurate, very accurate in a particularly timely fashion.

谢谢！订阅了。

He is very helpful.

I used his predictions to trade the small cap index eTF, it turned out my best trading.

CO: 谢谢！订阅了

还以为是以前微博上的美联储王健，看来不是同一个

https://side.cuhk.edu.cn/teacher/43

I don't know who is 王建。Joseph is an extremely

articulate guy. If you have ever read his "central bank 101", you would agree to me.

没有读过，确实好评挺多的，谢谢

It is a great starting point to examine the global liquidity

Mostly the stock market is driven by the global liquidity. The money printed by the global financial system far exceeds the need of billing globally. The extra liquidity need a destination. The US stock market is obviously one of the most attractive destinations of the liquidity because the US technology companies are supposed to achieve secular growth.

So it is important to watch the liquidity. 

关注过，金融博士，疫情的时候参与救市。很专业，讲了不少Fed内幕。预测也很准。

印象挺深的就是他说Fed里都是靠资历升职。很多聪明的人都跑了。很多高层是靠年头升上去，能力很差。也难怪政策出错。他对Fed的言论有很多内行解读。从去年底就说今年会是大牛市。

Exactly! When the interest rate market priced 6 cuts in 2024

这个东东真的挺难懂得，专业人士的表现都差别很大

“Historically, macro has the lowest correlation to broader equity markets (in the case of April, negatively correlated with equity market declines) and that macro posted one of its strongest quarters in 20 years in Q1 2024, through an environment which was dominated by the complete opposite of risk sentiment than the trends in early Q2 2024. This demonstrated positive-optionality and volatility-positive positioning is likely to continue to attract capital from institutional investors looking for exactly what macro is providing through the recent market cycles—specialised participation in powerful gains, portfolio protection/negative correlation in risk-off environments.”

https://www.hedgeweek.com/macro-strategies-lead-april-hedge-fund-gains/

 

I have listened to many Wall Street strategists and

economists. So far, I think Joseph is way way better than all of them.

Joseph used to work on the trading desk of the Fed as a trader and operations analysts. He is probably one of the very few Fed watchers who are familiar with booking keep and accounting. Accounting is extremely important when you want to understand the financial institutions. For unknown reason, all those strategists and economists have no this basic skill.

I have come to realize that no real talents would be hired to be strategist or economist. The Wall Street needs stupid guys to confidently talk shit.

谢谢推荐，看了一段，有干货

订阅才不到2万，估计估计有待时间等大家发现。