Analysis from Helsinki's PERM data - 未名空间MITBBS历史存档

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Analysis from Helsinki's PERM data

Analysis from Helsinki's PERM data# EB23 - 劳工卡

O*C2012-03-13 07:03

1 楼

从他家网页上看，允许用debit或check卡。那么信用卡应该也充的过。
我现在有BOA，discover和chase business ink卡需要满足一定的消费额。
不知道算purchase还是cash advance？
最高限额是多少？
谢谢指教！

p*a2012-03-13 07:03

2 楼

Assumption: 1 perm = 1 485
Reason: (EB2perm + NIW )X family people - (Demand destruction + EB3) = 0
So FY2008 to FY2010 total EB2 + EB3 IC 485 is 65K.
Assume 20K is EB3 PERM, then EB2IC is 45K.
Assume EB2IC 485 before FY2008 is 20K, then total EB2IC 485 inventory is 65K.
Assume EB2IC supply is 30K SO + 5.6K quote = 36K, then PD up to FY2010 can
get GC less than 2 years from the beginning of FY2012, and 1.5 year from now.
Conclusion: All of PD before FY2010 can get GC by the red-leaf season in
2013.

O*C2012-03-13 07:03

3 楼

真的没人经验过么？
或者不愿意公开出来？
如果哪位前辈愿意私信告知，大包子酬谢。

【在 O***C 的大作中提到】

: 从他家网页上看，允许用debit或check卡。那么信用卡应该也充的过。
: 我现在有BOA，discover和chase business ink卡需要满足一定的消费额。
: 不知道算purchase还是cash advance？
: 最高限额是多少？
: 谢谢指教！

f*c2012-03-13 07:03

4 楼

这些assumption准不准阿。我觉得你太乐观了

65K.
now.

【在 p*****a 的大作中提到】

: Assumption: 1 perm = 1 485
: Reason: (EB2perm + NIW )X family people - (Demand destruction + EB3) = 0
: So FY2008 to FY2010 total EB2 + EB3 IC 485 is 65K.
: Assume 20K is EB3 PERM, then EB2IC is 45K.
: Assume EB2IC 485 before FY2008 is 20K, then total EB2IC 485 inventory is 65K.
: Assume EB2IC supply is 30K SO + 5.6K quote = 36K, then PD up to FY2010 can
: get GC less than 2 years from the beginning of FY2012, and 1.5 year from now.
: Conclusion: All of PD before FY2010 can get GC by the red-leaf season in
: 2013.

b*i2012-03-13 07:03

5 楼

cash advance

s*t2012-03-13 07:03

6 楼

I think 1 perm will generate a little more than 1 485.
We have estimated 21k EB2CI demand from Nov.15, 2007 -- Dec.31, 2008, while
2008 PERM total is around 28k for EBCI (EB3 inclusive), assuming 10-12k are
EB3, we will have 16-18k PERM yielding about 20k 485 demand.
I-140 demand also confirms a close to 1-by-1 match between PERM and 485.
Perhaps using 1.2 is more appropriate.
But where did you come up with that 65k number?

65K.
now.

【在 p*****a 的大作中提到】

g*i2012-03-13 07:03

7 楼

记得是算cash advance的不那么确定
打电话问chase或者试试在你点确定之前试cc load money的时候如果是cash
advance会提醒你并问你继续不继续

H*i2012-03-13 07:03

8 楼

http://www.mitbbs.com/article/EB23/31447163_0.html

e*i2012-03-13 07:03

9 楼

估计现在即使能搞也不多，还弄个cash advance之类可能不放心，就别弄算了。

【在 O***C 的大作中提到】

s*t2012-03-13 07:03

10 楼

OK, now EB2/3 ratio is a big assumption.
If we have this ratio, everything would be very clear....

【在 H******i 的大作中提到】

: http://www.mitbbs.com/article/EB23/31447163_0.html

H*i2012-03-13 07:03

11 楼

下面这个链接的数据是民间数据，各位自行处理：
http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/p/perm-database-eb-catego

【在 s******t 的大作中提到】

: OK, now EB2/3 ratio is a big assumption.
: If we have this ratio, everything would be very clear....

s*t2012-03-13 07:03

12 楼

Link didn't work, but I think somebody used prevailing wage 60k as cutoff. I
don't think that's accurate at all, definitely an overestimate for EB2.

【在 H******i 的大作中提到】

: 下面这个链接的数据是民间数据，各位自行处理：
: http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/p/perm-database-eb-catego

H*i2012-03-13 07:03

13 楼

link works now.

I

【在 s******t 的大作中提到】

: Link didn't work, but I think somebody used prevailing wage 60k as cutoff. I
: don't think that's accurate at all, definitely an overestimate for EB2.

p*a2012-03-13 07:03

14 楼

OK

【在 H******i 的大作中提到】

: link works now.
:
: I