c*n
2 楼
版上不是有人说一般星期二出吗?
m*e
3 楼
请问一下第二排期有什么用呢?我看有些人说没用,只看第一排期,但我朋友说到了那
个日期就可以递交485拿EAD卡了。。。
个日期就可以递交485拿EAD卡了。。。
M*e
4 楼
感觉要有大事发生
f*5
9 楼
bless
y*g
12 楼
想多了⋯⋯奧本如果真要這麼做可以在月初的和cis的碰頭會上做。
d*l
14 楼
想多了吧,又可能是都在算H1B,没空理我们了吧
y*0
16 楼
他没想多,如果你看看老排期的第一句话或者还有新排期的第三段话。他一般会等
USCIS给他数据后再算排期
上个月排期:3月9日收到USCIS数据
Allocations in the charts below were made, to the extent possible, in
chronological order of reported priority dates, for demand received by March
9th.
2015年9月排期:8月11日收到USCIS数据
Allocations were made, to the extent possible, in chronological order of
reported priority dates, for demand received by August 11th.
https://travel.state.gov/content/visas/en/law-and-policy/bullet
bulletin-for-september-2015.html
2015年8月排期:7月10日收到USCIS数据
Consular officers are required to report to the Department of State
documentarily qualified applicants for numerically limited visas; U.S.
Citizenship and Immigration Services in the Department of Homeland Security
reports applicants for adjustment of status. Allocations were made, to the
extent possible, in chronological order of reported priority dates, for
demand received by July 10th.
https://travel.state.gov/content/visas/en/law-and-policy/bullet
bulletin-for-august-2015.html
2015年8月排期:6月9日收到USCIS数据
Allocations were made, to the extent possible, in chronological order of
reported priority dates, for demand received by June 9th.
【在 y******g 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 想多了⋯⋯奧本如果真要這麼做可以在月初的和cis的碰頭會上做。
USCIS给他数据后再算排期
上个月排期:3月9日收到USCIS数据
Allocations in the charts below were made, to the extent possible, in
chronological order of reported priority dates, for demand received by March
9th.
2015年9月排期:8月11日收到USCIS数据
Allocations were made, to the extent possible, in chronological order of
reported priority dates, for demand received by August 11th.
https://travel.state.gov/content/visas/en/law-and-policy/bullet
bulletin-for-september-2015.html
2015年8月排期:7月10日收到USCIS数据
Consular officers are required to report to the Department of State
documentarily qualified applicants for numerically limited visas; U.S.
Citizenship and Immigration Services in the Department of Homeland Security
reports applicants for adjustment of status. Allocations were made, to the
extent possible, in chronological order of reported priority dates, for
demand received by July 10th.
https://travel.state.gov/content/visas/en/law-and-policy/bullet
bulletin-for-august-2015.html
2015年8月排期:6月9日收到USCIS数据
Allocations were made, to the extent possible, in chronological order of
reported priority dates, for demand received by June 9th.
【在 y******g 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 想多了⋯⋯奧本如果真要這麼做可以在月初的和cis的碰頭會上做。
o*2
17 楼
版主,USCIS给他的数据不对怎么办?他自己没有数据库统计的吗?USCIS给的数
据真是不敢恭维啊。感觉他自己应该有一套数据才对,要不然他怎么搞第二排气? 希
望斑斑解答下。谢谢了
March
visa-
【在 y******0 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 他没想多,如果你看看老排期的第一句话或者还有新排期的第三段话。他一般会等
: USCIS给他数据后再算排期
: 上个月排期:3月9日收到USCIS数据
: Allocations in the charts below were made, to the extent possible, in
: chronological order of reported priority dates, for demand received by March
: 9th.
: 2015年9月排期:8月11日收到USCIS数据
: Allocations were made, to the extent possible, in chronological order of
: reported priority dates, for demand received by August 11th.
: https://travel.state.gov/content/visas/en/law-and-policy/bullet
据真是不敢恭维啊。感觉他自己应该有一套数据才对,要不然他怎么搞第二排气? 希
望斑斑解答下。谢谢了
March
visa-
【在 y******0 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 他没想多,如果你看看老排期的第一句话或者还有新排期的第三段话。他一般会等
: USCIS给他数据后再算排期
: 上个月排期:3月9日收到USCIS数据
: Allocations in the charts below were made, to the extent possible, in
: chronological order of reported priority dates, for demand received by March
: 9th.
: 2015年9月排期:8月11日收到USCIS数据
: Allocations were made, to the extent possible, in chronological order of
: reported priority dates, for demand received by August 11th.
: https://travel.state.gov/content/visas/en/law-and-policy/bullet
y*g
19 楼
這和統一第二排期有什麼關係。。。。
March
visa-
【在 y******0 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 他没想多,如果你看看老排期的第一句话或者还有新排期的第三段话。他一般会等
: USCIS给他数据后再算排期
: 上个月排期:3月9日收到USCIS数据
: Allocations in the charts below were made, to the extent possible, in
: chronological order of reported priority dates, for demand received by March
: 9th.
: 2015年9月排期:8月11日收到USCIS数据
: Allocations were made, to the extent possible, in chronological order of
: reported priority dates, for demand received by August 11th.
: https://travel.state.gov/content/visas/en/law-and-policy/bullet
March
visa-
【在 y******0 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 他没想多,如果你看看老排期的第一句话或者还有新排期的第三段话。他一般会等
: USCIS给他数据后再算排期
: 上个月排期:3月9日收到USCIS数据
: Allocations in the charts below were made, to the extent possible, in
: chronological order of reported priority dates, for demand received by March
: 9th.
: 2015年9月排期:8月11日收到USCIS数据
: Allocations were made, to the extent possible, in chronological order of
: reported priority dates, for demand received by August 11th.
: https://travel.state.gov/content/visas/en/law-and-policy/bullet
y*g
20 楼
demand數據錯是經常發生的,因為demand只有批得差不多了才有,但是這是有延遲的。
比如上個月時奧本和AILA碰頭時就說了
For example, when the February Final Action Dates were announced in early
January, USCIS reported 400 India EB-2 applicants who were eligible for
final action, but by the end of February, USCIS had requested an additional
300 of these numbers.
跑到中國的數上,2和3升降的問題是沒法在demand上表現出來的,只要有人pp了3的降
級,就處於隨時綠的狀態了。奧本在這問題上只有抓瞎。
Visa Modernization的本意是建雙排期讓排期更好預測,如果辦成,且不說對移民是不
是利好,但至少對奧本是利好。因為他本以為能精確計算出每個類的數目。但事實上證
明他在起草這個辦法時 too simple sometimes naive 了,即使 Visa Modernization
按計畫實施,排期依然存在大進大退的問題,反映在中國 EB 上的更為明顯--比如可
以認為,現在2013年底前的2和3基本都已經收上來了,但奧本根本算不出2和3的排期該
定在哪才正好。
【在 y******0 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 他只有CP的数据,USCIS的应该不会错吧,这么多年了..
: inventory的数据是错的。
比如上個月時奧本和AILA碰頭時就說了
For example, when the February Final Action Dates were announced in early
January, USCIS reported 400 India EB-2 applicants who were eligible for
final action, but by the end of February, USCIS had requested an additional
300 of these numbers.
跑到中國的數上,2和3升降的問題是沒法在demand上表現出來的,只要有人pp了3的降
級,就處於隨時綠的狀態了。奧本在這問題上只有抓瞎。
Visa Modernization的本意是建雙排期讓排期更好預測,如果辦成,且不說對移民是不
是利好,但至少對奧本是利好。因為他本以為能精確計算出每個類的數目。但事實上證
明他在起草這個辦法時 too simple sometimes naive 了,即使 Visa Modernization
按計畫實施,排期依然存在大進大退的問題,反映在中國 EB 上的更為明顯--比如可
以認為,現在2013年底前的2和3基本都已經收上來了,但奧本根本算不出2和3的排期該
定在哪才正好。
【在 y******0 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 他只有CP的数据,USCIS的应该不会错吧,这么多年了..
: inventory的数据是错的。
y*0
22 楼
我想换做是谁,坐在他那个位置也都一样挨骂。
烙印升级,老中降级都是时时刻刻动态的,他制定排期的数据又不是时刻update的。
demand数据本身没错,只是不是动态变化的,之前的数据会不准确,所以不确定性让他
更保守,也没办法。
additional
【在 y******g 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: demand數據錯是經常發生的,因為demand只有批得差不多了才有,但是這是有延遲的。
: 比如上個月時奧本和AILA碰頭時就說了
: For example, when the February Final Action Dates were announced in early
: January, USCIS reported 400 India EB-2 applicants who were eligible for
: final action, but by the end of February, USCIS had requested an additional
: 300 of these numbers.
: 跑到中國的數上,2和3升降的問題是沒法在demand上表現出來的,只要有人pp了3的降
: 級,就處於隨時綠的狀態了。奧本在這問題上只有抓瞎。
: Visa Modernization的本意是建雙排期讓排期更好預測,如果辦成,且不說對移民是不
: 是利好,但至少對奧本是利好。因為他本以為能精確計算出每個類的數目。但事實上證
烙印升级,老中降级都是时时刻刻动态的,他制定排期的数据又不是时刻update的。
demand数据本身没错,只是不是动态变化的,之前的数据会不准确,所以不确定性让他
更保守,也没办法。
additional
【在 y******g 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: demand數據錯是經常發生的,因為demand只有批得差不多了才有,但是這是有延遲的。
: 比如上個月時奧本和AILA碰頭時就說了
: For example, when the February Final Action Dates were announced in early
: January, USCIS reported 400 India EB-2 applicants who were eligible for
: final action, but by the end of February, USCIS had requested an additional
: 300 of these numbers.
: 跑到中國的數上,2和3升降的問題是沒法在demand上表現出來的,只要有人pp了3的降
: 級,就處於隨時綠的狀態了。奧本在這問題上只有抓瞎。
: Visa Modernization的本意是建雙排期讓排期更好預測,如果辦成,且不說對移民是不
: 是利好,但至少對奧本是利好。因為他本以為能精確計算出每個類的數目。但事實上證
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