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Visa Bulletin Predictions: April 2017 and Onward
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Visa Bulletin Predictions: April 2017 and Onward# EB23 - 劳工卡
q*g
1
下面这个旅行证新政是属实的吗?我们家属于第三种情况,现在正准备去办理,请知道
的父母核实下,谢谢。
2015年3月27日,中国驻美领事馆/大使馆施行旅行证新政策:
1.在美出生的儿童,从出生到2周岁,从未回过国的,即使父母都是中国公民,没有绿
卡,也视为自动放弃中国国籍,不予办理出生公证,旅行证。可持美国护照,申请签证
入境。
2.出生时,父母一方有绿卡的儿童也被自动视为放弃中国国籍,不予办理出生公证,旅
行证。
3.即使两岁前回过国,再至美国居住超过两年的,也被视为放弃中国国籍。不能续签旅
行证,只能申请中国签证。
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c*r
2
From: AILA Doc. No. 14071401, March 17, 2017
1) EB-1 India and China: Per country limits of 2,800 visas has been reached
for both, with EB-1 India using more than 9,000 numbers, and EB-1 China
using more than 4,500 numbers. Once the spillover visa numbers from other
categories have been used up, Final Action cut-off date "will likely be
imposed for both countries at some point this summer."
2) EB-3 China: EB-3 China is 17 months ahead of EB-2 China as of April.
Charlie expects "downgrading from EB-2" will bring these two categories
closer in cutoff dates - which historically usually happens in May. However
, thus far, demand for EB-3 China visa numbers is light. Still, Charlie is
reluctant to advance its cutoff date aggressively because of the Downgrade
Phenomenon.
3) EB-3 Worldwide: This category is not expected to become current in the
near future, but "will likely advance about one month at a time, staying
about two months away from being current."
4) EB-3 Philippines: The Final Action Date advances six months to September
15, 2012 for April.
5) EB-5 China. EB-5 China advances to May 22, 2014 in April. Advancement
will likely to continue if the Regional Center pilot program is reauthorized
by Congress before the end of April.
6) EB-4 El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras and Mexico: "Number usage in the EB
-4 categories for El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras and Mexico continues to
approach the per-country annual limits. While Charlie anticipates
significant demand in these categories based on information provided by
USCIS, there is still a possibility that their Final Action Dates may
advance at some point this summer."
7) Family-Based Preference Categories:
- All FB-1 categories advance more than four months in April to October 15,
2010, except Mexico and Philippines.
- FB-1, FB-2 and FB-3 are expected to continue their advancement because
fewer applicants are becoming "documentarily qualified."
- FB-4's advancement in April was "sufficient to meet Charlie's target for
this category for the next two to three months." No further advancement of
FB-4 Worldwide is expected until July.
8) Question: Why is the Final Action Date for EB-3 China later (August 15,
2014) than the Filing Date for EB-3 China (May 1, 2014)?
Charlie explained that there was a retrogression of the Filing Date for EB-3
China because he was concerned that the number of eligible applicants for
FY 2017 would likely exceed than that of FY 2016. Further, In addition, the
above-mentioned EB-2 to EB-3 Downgrade Phenomenon may also cause demand to
increase for this category later on. Hence, he is putting a hold on the
Filing Date.
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w*t
3
又有新政策??
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b*h
4
Answer to question 8 doesn't make any sense, unless he is talking about CP.
does cp use that filing dates?

reached
However
is

【在 c****r 的大作中提到】
: From: AILA Doc. No. 14071401, March 17, 2017
: 1) EB-1 India and China: Per country limits of 2,800 visas has been reached
: for both, with EB-1 India using more than 9,000 numbers, and EB-1 China
: using more than 4,500 numbers. Once the spillover visa numbers from other
: categories have been used up, Final Action cut-off date "will likely be
: imposed for both countries at some point this summer."
: 2) EB-3 China: EB-3 China is 17 months ahead of EB-2 China as of April.
: Charlie expects "downgrading from EB-2" will bring these two categories
: closer in cutoff dates - which historically usually happens in May. However
: , thus far, demand for EB-3 China visa numbers is light. Still, Charlie is

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b*y
5
假的?
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c*y
6
不急 等着看 等EB2 排期超越EB2第二排期 看他怎么回答
现在他说EB3 他知道EB2会降级 那么既然他知道EB2会降级 那么EB2的第二排期怎么还
会被第一排期超过? 到时候这都是他自己的呈堂证供

.

【在 b****h 的大作中提到】
: Answer to question 8 doesn't make any sense, unless he is talking about CP.
: does cp use that filing dates?
:
: reached
: However
: is

avatar
a*l
7
http://www.mitbbs.com/article/Parenting/32576721_3.html

【在 q******g 的大作中提到】
: 下面这个旅行证新政是属实的吗?我们家属于第三种情况,现在正准备去办理,请知道
: 的父母核实下,谢谢。
: 2015年3月27日,中国驻美领事馆/大使馆施行旅行证新政策:
: 1.在美出生的儿童,从出生到2周岁,从未回过国的,即使父母都是中国公民,没有绿
: 卡,也视为自动放弃中国国籍,不予办理出生公证,旅行证。可持美国护照,申请签证
: 入境。
: 2.出生时,父母一方有绿卡的儿童也被自动视为放弃中国国籍,不予办理出生公证,旅
: 行证。
: 3.即使两岁前回过国,再至美国居住超过两年的,也被视为放弃中国国籍。不能续签旅
: 行证,只能申请中国签证。

avatar
l*c
8
2) EB-3 China: EB-3 China is 17 months ahead of EB-2 China as of April.
Charlie expects "downgrading from EB-2" will bring these two categories
closer in cutoff dates - which historically usually happens in May. However
, thus far, demand for EB-3 China visa numbers is light. Still, Charlie is
reluctant to advance its cutoff date aggressively because of the Downgrade
Phenomenon.
这是不是意味着5月EB3不动的可能性比较大?

reached
However
is

【在 c****r 的大作中提到】
: From: AILA Doc. No. 14071401, March 17, 2017
: 1) EB-1 India and China: Per country limits of 2,800 visas has been reached
: for both, with EB-1 India using more than 9,000 numbers, and EB-1 China
: using more than 4,500 numbers. Once the spillover visa numbers from other
: categories have been used up, Final Action cut-off date "will likely be
: imposed for both countries at some point this summer."
: 2) EB-3 China: EB-3 China is 17 months ahead of EB-2 China as of April.
: Charlie expects "downgrading from EB-2" will bring these two categories
: closer in cutoff dates - which historically usually happens in May. However
: , thus far, demand for EB-3 China visa numbers is light. Still, Charlie is

avatar
g*9
9
你把新政策的来源贴一下?
还3月27日呢,我5月份办过,用都用过了。

【在 q******g 的大作中提到】
: 下面这个旅行证新政是属实的吗?我们家属于第三种情况,现在正准备去办理,请知道
: 的父母核实下,谢谢。
: 2015年3月27日,中国驻美领事馆/大使馆施行旅行证新政策:
: 1.在美出生的儿童,从出生到2周岁,从未回过国的,即使父母都是中国公民,没有绿
: 卡,也视为自动放弃中国国籍,不予办理出生公证,旅行证。可持美国护照,申请签证
: 入境。
: 2.出生时,父母一方有绿卡的儿童也被自动视为放弃中国国籍,不予办理出生公证,旅
: 行证。
: 3.即使两岁前回过国,再至美国居住超过两年的,也被视为放弃中国国籍。不能续签旅
: 行证,只能申请中国签证。

avatar
b*h
10
reluctant to advance aggressively, so he might still advance 0,1,2,3 months.

However
is

【在 l**c 的大作中提到】
: 2) EB-3 China: EB-3 China is 17 months ahead of EB-2 China as of April.
: Charlie expects "downgrading from EB-2" will bring these two categories
: closer in cutoff dates - which historically usually happens in May. However
: , thus far, demand for EB-3 China visa numbers is light. Still, Charlie is
: reluctant to advance its cutoff date aggressively because of the Downgrade
: Phenomenon.
: 这是不是意味着5月EB3不动的可能性比较大?
:
: reached
: However

avatar
q*g
11
谢谢楼上的回复,今天终于收到大使馆的回复,说这些消息是谣言。
avatar
f*c
12
现在EB3的走势比较清晰了,下个月小进0-3个月。
EB2就值得期待一下。
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l*g
13
2.出生时,父母一方有绿卡的儿童也被自动视为放弃中国国籍,不予办理出生公证,旅
行证。
请问这一条是不是谣言?那个大使馆回复?谢谢。

【在 q******g 的大作中提到】
: 谢谢楼上的回复,今天终于收到大使馆的回复,说这些消息是谣言。
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x*8
14
估计会卡到11/1,12/1,10/1的可能性相对大,
1/1相对不太可能,

【在 f****c 的大作中提到】
: 现在EB3的走势比较清晰了,下个月小进0-3个月。
: EB2就值得期待一下。

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s*0
15
有没有可能不前进 就停止了呢,或者只是前进15天,毕竟已经前进的太多了

【在 f****c 的大作中提到】
: 现在EB3的走势比较清晰了,下个月小进0-3个月。
: EB2就值得期待一下。

avatar
x*8
16
多还是不多,看demand,
现在看demand还是不够多,
4月初再看看报绿形势,基本就能推断出5月排期了,
最近几天的EB3报绿比较多,每天两三个的话,一个月就接近70-100了,就是绿潮的水
平,

【在 s*********0 的大作中提到】
: 有没有可能不前进 就停止了呢,或者只是前进15天,毕竟已经前进的太多了
avatar
K*r
17
23都不怎么动的意思吧

★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 16

【在 l**c 的大作中提到】
: 2) EB-3 China: EB-3 China is 17 months ahead of EB-2 China as of April.
: Charlie expects "downgrading from EB-2" will bring these two categories
: closer in cutoff dates - which historically usually happens in May. However
: , thus far, demand for EB-3 China visa numbers is light. Still, Charlie is
: reluctant to advance its cutoff date aggressively because of the Downgrade
: Phenomenon.
: 这是不是意味着5月EB3不动的可能性比较大?
:
: reached
: However

avatar
f*c
18
16财年EB3总共爆绿224个,今年报了一共160+。
还有60个名额,如果5月不退,两个月爆绿60个只多不少,6月后退可能性很大。
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x*i
19
Eb3五月会继续前进。六月会停或者内部u
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x*i
20
Eb2如果五月不大进三个月或以上,今年名额就够呛能吃满
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a*a
21
真是让人激动呢。

【在 f****c 的大作中提到】
: 现在EB3的走势比较清晰了,下个月小进0-3个月。
: EB2就值得期待一下。

avatar
x*8
22
奥本会不会出于建库的目的多放一些,也是一个猜想,

【在 x*****i 的大作中提到】
: Eb3五月会继续前进。六月会停或者内部u
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c*r
23
我们公司Fragomen律师说今年5/6月的EB-3 VISA配额用完。10月再见。
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f*c
24
10月再见也没啥关系,EB3立马跳回13年底14年初

【在 c****r 的大作中提到】
: 我们公司Fragomen律师说今年5/6月的EB-3 VISA配额用完。10月再见。
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x*8
25
如果律师都有这预期,奥本也应该差不多,
除非他想建库存,不然5月不会进了,

【在 c****r 的大作中提到】
: 我们公司Fragomen律师说今年5/6月的EB-3 VISA配额用完。10月再见。
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c*3
26
同样没排期的EB1,三哥竟然能多吃一倍...总不至于EB1三哥也有远古时期PD吧?
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x*i
27
EB1没有配额,为什么不能多一倍?不是说三哥EB1作假nb么?

【在 c******3 的大作中提到】
: 同样没排期的EB1,三哥竟然能多吃一倍...总不至于EB1三哥也有远古时期PD吧?
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c*3
28
说明偏向于三哥,他们要是和中国一样处理速度,肯定要积压严重。批了9000三哥,才
批4500中国人

【在 x********i 的大作中提到】
: EB1没有配额,为什么不能多一倍?不是说三哥EB1作假nb么?
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x*i
29
桌子上摆着一叠485,连着翻10个三哥的case才见一个老中的

【在 c******3 的大作中提到】
: 说明偏向于三哥,他们要是和中国一样处理速度,肯定要积压严重。批了9000三哥,才
: 批4500中国人

avatar
c*3
30
485不会是顺着看的,肯定有预先分类,否则没法解释欧洲和台湾人基本上3个月就拿卡

【在 x********i 的大作中提到】
: 桌子上摆着一叠485,连着翻10个三哥的case才见一个老中的
avatar
t*n
31
You really know what you are talking about?

【在 c******3 的大作中提到】
: 485不会是顺着看的,肯定有预先分类,否则没法解释欧洲和台湾人基本上3个月就拿卡
avatar
x*i
32
很好的猜想,完全有可能

【在 x**8 的大作中提到】
: 奥本会不会出于建库的目的多放一些,也是一个猜想,
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