Check-in with DOS's Charlie Oppenheim: May 31, 2019# EB23 - 劳工卡
t*u
1 楼
是因为 把 iphone的 序列号 和 ssn link上了吧
具体就是sign contract的时候 link上的吧
具体就是sign contract的时候 link上的吧
i*w
2 楼
Link贡献来源：rgx
https://www.shusterman.com/visa-bulletin-predictions/
Employment-Based Preference Categories – Visa Bulletin Predictions
General Trends and Observations – Employment-based (EB) adjustment of
status applications filed on or after March 6, 2017 require an in-person
interview at the local USCIS District Field Offices. As of 2017, only 14,000
to 15,000 applications were processed at USCIS District Offices. At this
time, the majority of adjustment of status applications are now at the local
USCIS offices. Initial concern that this policy would lead to longer
processing times resulted in an increase in consular processing. Although
the consular processing of employment-based immigrant visas continues to be
elevated, Charlie believes that this trend may subside as people become more
comfortable with the USCIS adjustment of status interview process.
Based on the number use through the first half of FY2018, Charlie was
concerned that number usage for the year might be 10-15,000 lower than the
annual limit due to lower than normal number use by USCIS Offices. However,
beginning in mid-April 2018, USCIS doubled its number use in several
employment preferences, which in turn necessitated imposition of a final
action date for EB-1 Worldwide and EB-2 Worldwide.EB-1:EB-1 Worldwide demand
remains steady. The Final Action Date is likely to hold as Charlie continues
to monitor demand trends. If there is any movement in this category, it is
not expected to move more than 6 weeks. Charlie does not anticipate that EB-
1 Worldwide will return to “Current” in the foreseeable future.
Charlie also indicated that EB-1 India will not advance again this fiscal
year. It should return to a Final Action Date of February 22, 2017 in
October 2019.
EB-1 China is expected to advance to May 8, 2017 in the July 2019 bulletin.
EB-2: EB-2 Worldwide is expected to remain current through FY19. Some
downgrades are contributing to changes in demand for this category.
EB-2 China will advance to November 1, 2016 in the July 2019 bulletin. This
category continues to advance rapidly due to low demand. Advancements in
this category could slow in the future if demand increases.
EB-2 India will continue to advance very slowly, in daily movements, or up
to one week at the most. Charlie noted that there are 14,000 Indians with
pending adjustment of status applications filed in 2012 in the queue for
numbers in this category. Lower Worldwide EB-2 demand may allow for the
advancement of this date during the summer. This situation is being closely
monitored.
EB-3:Charlie anticipates that EB-3 Worldwide should remain current through
FY19. There is always a possibility that it would be necessary to impose a
final action date later in the fiscal year, but only if demand increases.
Currently, that does not appear likely.
EB-3 China should advance to January 1, 2016 in July 2019. Demand in this
category is starting to increase. However, if demand in EB-2 China remains
steady, it may be possible to shift some of those numbers to EB-3 China.The
Final Action Date for EB-3 India will hold in July 2019. Earlier in the year
, Charlie hoped he would have more overflow from unused Worldwide EB-3
numbers to shift to EB-3 India, but that has not happened to the extent
expected. Since Charlie lacks visibility of this demand, he cannot speculate
on how long the wait might be for this category, or when it will move
forward.
https://www.shusterman.com/visa-bulletin-predictions/
Employment-Based Preference Categories – Visa Bulletin Predictions
General Trends and Observations – Employment-based (EB) adjustment of
status applications filed on or after March 6, 2017 require an in-person
interview at the local USCIS District Field Offices. As of 2017, only 14,000
to 15,000 applications were processed at USCIS District Offices. At this
time, the majority of adjustment of status applications are now at the local
USCIS offices. Initial concern that this policy would lead to longer
processing times resulted in an increase in consular processing. Although
the consular processing of employment-based immigrant visas continues to be
elevated, Charlie believes that this trend may subside as people become more
comfortable with the USCIS adjustment of status interview process.
Based on the number use through the first half of FY2018, Charlie was
concerned that number usage for the year might be 10-15,000 lower than the
annual limit due to lower than normal number use by USCIS Offices. However,
beginning in mid-April 2018, USCIS doubled its number use in several
employment preferences, which in turn necessitated imposition of a final
action date for EB-1 Worldwide and EB-2 Worldwide.EB-1:EB-1 Worldwide demand
remains steady. The Final Action Date is likely to hold as Charlie continues
to monitor demand trends. If there is any movement in this category, it is
not expected to move more than 6 weeks. Charlie does not anticipate that EB-
1 Worldwide will return to “Current” in the foreseeable future.
Charlie also indicated that EB-1 India will not advance again this fiscal
year. It should return to a Final Action Date of February 22, 2017 in
October 2019.
EB-1 China is expected to advance to May 8, 2017 in the July 2019 bulletin.
EB-2: EB-2 Worldwide is expected to remain current through FY19. Some
downgrades are contributing to changes in demand for this category.
EB-2 China will advance to November 1, 2016 in the July 2019 bulletin. This
category continues to advance rapidly due to low demand. Advancements in
this category could slow in the future if demand increases.
EB-2 India will continue to advance very slowly, in daily movements, or up
to one week at the most. Charlie noted that there are 14,000 Indians with
pending adjustment of status applications filed in 2012 in the queue for
numbers in this category. Lower Worldwide EB-2 demand may allow for the
advancement of this date during the summer. This situation is being closely
monitored.
EB-3:Charlie anticipates that EB-3 Worldwide should remain current through
FY19. There is always a possibility that it would be necessary to impose a
final action date later in the fiscal year, but only if demand increases.
Currently, that does not appear likely.
EB-3 China should advance to January 1, 2016 in July 2019. Demand in this
category is starting to increase. However, if demand in EB-2 China remains
steady, it may be possible to shift some of those numbers to EB-3 China.The
Final Action Date for EB-3 India will hold in July 2019. Earlier in the year
, Charlie hoped he would have more overflow from unused Worldwide EB-3
numbers to shift to EB-3 India, but that has not happened to the extent
expected. Since Charlie lacks visibility of this demand, he cannot speculate
on how long the wait might be for this category, or when it will move
forward.
h*h
3 楼
really? eb2 china to Nov. 1, 2016?
l*4
4 楼
真的假的，消息可靠吗？
y*8
5 楼
好的让人不敢相信
e*n
6 楼
好的让人不敢相信 +1
c*d
7 楼
排期进步是好事。奇怪的是一方面又说demand不够，另一方面combo card发放，绿卡面
试又进度非常缓慢。
试又进度非常缓慢。
D*n
8 楼
希望是真的，EB2大进，大家赶紧2类的走了吧，让我们原装的EB3也动一动了。
i*w
9 楼
大哥。我打赌，明年EB3绝对大进超过EB2. 你真的不用心急的。
【在 D****n 的大作中提到】
: 希望是真的，EB2大进，大家赶紧2类的走了吧，让我们原装的EB3也动一动了。
【在 D****n 的大作中提到】
: 希望是真的，EB2大进，大家赶紧2类的走了吧，让我们原装的EB3也动一动了。
m*m
10 楼
能走eb1的niw走不掉的话，过了17年2月eb2总会慢下来
k*e
11 楼
奥本为啥说eb3的需求在在增长？太奇怪了。
【在 i******w 的大作中提到】
: 大哥。我打赌，明年EB3绝对大进超过EB2. 你真的不用心急的。
【在 i******w 的大作中提到】
: 大哥。我打赌，明年EB3绝对大进超过EB2. 你真的不用心急的。
L*9
12 楼
怎么能知道2016年china perm中eb2和eb3的比率呢？我知道很多地方只能办eb3 perm因
为他们把最低要求本科写进去了，只要需要的位置可以是本科不满5年的就是eb3 perm
，即便申请人是硕士博士。如果2016 eb2 perm少于eb3 perm, 还有就是eb2 niw拿eb1b
走掉了，所以说eb2 demands少，eb3 demands增长？
【在 k***e 的大作中提到】
: 奥本为啥说eb3的需求在在增长？太奇怪了。
a*g
13 楼
以前的预测都是前进几周，几个月这样的大概预测。 这次有鼻子有眼的精确到具体日
期，有点儿难以相信...
期，有点儿难以相信...
s*k
14 楼
无法知道吧，同时也无法知道哪些Perm是已经有PD的人换工作提交的。
: 怎么能知道2016年china perm中eb2和eb3的比率呢？我知道很多地方只能办eb3
perm因
: 为他们把最低要求本科写进去了，只要需要的位置可以是本科不满5年的就是eb3
perm
: ，即便申请人是硕士博士。如果2016 eb2 perm少于eb3 perm, 还有就是eb2 niw
拿eb1b
: 走掉了，所以说eb2 demands少，eb3 demands增长？
【在 L****9 的大作中提到】
:
: 怎么能知道2016年china perm中eb2和eb3的比率呢？我知道很多地方只能办eb3 perm因
: 为他们把最低要求本科写进去了，只要需要的位置可以是本科不满5年的就是eb3 perm
: ，即便申请人是硕士博士。如果2016 eb2 perm少于eb3 perm, 还有就是eb2 niw拿eb1b
: 走掉了，所以说eb2 demands少，eb3 demands增长？
: 怎么能知道2016年china perm中eb2和eb3的比率呢？我知道很多地方只能办eb3
perm因
: 为他们把最低要求本科写进去了，只要需要的位置可以是本科不满5年的就是eb3
perm
: ，即便申请人是硕士博士。如果2016 eb2 perm少于eb3 perm, 还有就是eb2 niw
拿eb1b
: 走掉了，所以说eb2 demands少，eb3 demands增长？
【在 L****9 的大作中提到】
:
: 怎么能知道2016年china perm中eb2和eb3的比率呢？我知道很多地方只能办eb3 perm因
: 为他们把最低要求本科写进去了，只要需要的位置可以是本科不满5年的就是eb3 perm
: ，即便申请人是硕士博士。如果2016 eb2 perm少于eb3 perm, 还有就是eb2 niw拿eb1b
: 走掉了，所以说eb2 demands少，eb3 demands增长？
D*n
15 楼
希望借你吉言！赌啥？没超过的话娶你，没其他想法，只是为绿卡：）。
开个玩笑，别介意。
【在 i******w 的大作中提到】
: 大哥。我打赌，明年EB3绝对大进超过EB2. 你真的不用心急的。
开个玩笑，别介意。
【在 i******w 的大作中提到】
: 大哥。我打赌，明年EB3绝对大进超过EB2. 你真的不用心急的。
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