1. In January 2011 inventory report, there are 7800 ROW EB2 pending. 2. From October 2010 to January 2011, not too many ROW EB2 were approved. If you compare the inventory between Oct. 2010 and January 2011, you will find out the ROW EB2 number changed 1000. Although it's possible some people (their PERM were auditted or delayed) submitted 140/485 between Oct.2010 and Jan.2011, the number should be 2000 or less. Let's assume the first quarter consumption is 3000. Additionally trackitt shows that most of the ROW EB2 approved in the first quarter were the cases with PD earlier than Oct.2010. 3. If a ROW EB2 submit his/her 140 after January 2011, his/her 140 can not be approved until September 2011, thus he/she can not consume this year's EB2 quota. The only exception is that he/she uses PP. Just assume 3k people use PP service. 4. If they can clean all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, the total ROW consumption this year will be 7800 plus 3000 plus 3000=13800. The reality is that they can not clean up all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, so the total consumption may be less than 13800. Total Spill over should be around: 40000-3000(first quarter)--7800(ROW Jan.inventory)-3000 (people use PP)-5600 (EB2 C&I quota)=20000. 5. EB1's 140 approval time increased since August 2010. Many EB1 are still pending. Some EB1 people used PP service and they got GC quickly, but many people with PD of August 2010 are still pending. I think EB1 should give us 10k leftover this year. It's very likely the EB1 leftover will be close to 20k. I think we will have at least 30k-40k Spillover this year. Let's keep our fingers crossed!
3. If a ROW EB2 submit his/her 140 after January 2011, his/her 140 can not be approved until September 2011, thus he/she can not consume this year's EB2 quota. That slow? wow. dan, that's good.
Currently many EB2 are waiting for 8-9 months for 140 approval. They are still processing 140 received at August 2010.
【在 n***s 的大作中提到】 : 3. If a ROW EB2 submit his/her 140 after January 2011, his/her 140 can not : be approved until September 2011, thus he/she can not consume this year's : EB2 quota. : That slow? wow. dan, that's good.
s*r
50 楼
因该说的是第三个视频,第二首歌吧
【在 I****z 的大作中提到】 : 是哪首啊?在哪个视频里呢
u*s
51 楼
Tomtom也有,而且启动时间少于Navigon的一半
【在 n*******4 的大作中提到】 : : 明白了 1.2就有了
T*r
52 楼
目前看,只有CO & UA 行李免费托运一件 50磅。第二件收70刀。如果超重罚款450大刀 。其他航空还是老样子。两件 ,50磅每件。
A*S
53 楼
20k will move the PD to 2007.
【在 n***s 的大作中提到】 : I think we will have at least 30k-40k Spillover this year. Let's keep our : fingers crossed!
Last year we were supposed to get more spillover. The main reason was that PERM approval speed went up in 2010, thus the PD didn't move to 2007. However, the spillover number was still over 20k.
【在 A****S 的大作中提到】 : Last year we were supposed to get more spillover. : The main reason was that PERM approval speed went up in 2010, thus the PD : didn't move to 2007. However, the spillover number was still over 20k.
x*n
62 楼
Nice.
【在 I****z 的大作中提到】 : shredmaster自己介绍一下歌名吧
l*e
63 楼
可以用的
【在 r**a 的大作中提到】 : 解锁的也可以用么
e*u
64 楼
我怎么看CO那个表示40刀
A*S
65 楼
Last year EB2 ROW's PERM was fast, 140 was even faster! Last year somebody got 140 approved in 7 days! Many ROW EB2 could get PERM approved in 10 days, 140 in 7 days! Most of ROW EB2 could get GC in 30-50 days! This year the ROW EB2 PERM speed is almost the same with the spring&summer of 2010, but the 140 speed is much lower than the spring&summer of 2010.
Where is your information coming from? However, my lawyer agree that current EB1 are very difficult to apply.
If find their PERM were auditted or delayed) submitted 140/485 between Oct.2010 and Jan.2011, the number should be 2000 or less. Let's assume the first quarter consumption is 3000. Additionally trackitt shows that most of the ROW EB2 approved in the first quarter were the cases with PD earlier than Oct.2010. be use consumption this year will be 7800 plus 3000 plus 3000=13800. The reality is that they can not clean up all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, so the total consumption may be less than 13800.
【在 A****S 的大作中提到】 : 1. In January 2011 inventory report, there are 7800 ROW EB2 pending. : 2. From October 2010 to January 2011, not too many ROW EB2 were approved. If : you compare the inventory between Oct. 2010 and January 2011, you will find : out the ROW EB2 number changed 1000. Although it's possible some people (their PERM were auditted or delayed) submitted 140/485 between Oct.2010 and Jan.2011, the number should be 2000 or less. Let's assume the first quarter consumption is 3000. Additionally trackitt shows that most of the ROW EB2 approved in the first quarter were the cases with PD earlier than Oct.2010. : 3. If a ROW EB2 submit his/her 140 after January 2011, his/her 140 can not be : approved until September 2011, thus he/she can not consume this year's EB2 : quota. The only exception is that he/she uses PP. Just assume 3k people use : PP service. : 4. If they can clean all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, the total ROW consumption this year will be 7800 plus 3000 plus 3000=13800. The reality is that they can not clean up all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, so the total consumption may be less than 13800. : Total Spill over should be around:
【在 A****S 的大作中提到】 : Last year EB2 ROW's PERM was fast, 140 was even faster! : Last year somebody got 140 approved in 7 days! : Many ROW EB2 could get PERM approved in 10 days, 140 in 7 days! : Most of ROW EB2 could get GC in 30-50 days! : This year the ROW EB2 PERM speed is almost the same with the spring&summer : of 2010, but the 140 speed is much lower than the spring&summer of 2010.
c*e
74 楼
这歌好像之前没听过。是挺好听的。 有点儿谢天笑的味道。
【在 R**i 的大作中提到】 : 歌名补充 : 地三各视频地二首叫 fight for your rights
h*n
75 楼
请问如果AA还能托第3件吗? 需要多少钱?
A*S
76 楼
All the information is public information. I did careful research using the data from Trackitt. Not a single EB2 with PD later than Nov.2010 got their GC yet! Among all the EB2 ROW approved, only 5 of them have PD later than Oct.2010. My research conclusion is that: 1. Basically ROW EB2 with PD later than January 2011 have very slim chance to get their GC in FY 2011. 2. ROW EB2 with PD between Oct.2010 and Dec.2010 will have some chance to get their GC in FY 2011, but it's 50% only.
current and quarter .
【在 l****6 的大作中提到】 : Where is your information coming from? However, my lawyer agree that current : EB1 are very difficult to apply. : : If : find : their PERM were auditted or delayed) submitted 140/485 between Oct.2010 and : Jan.2011, the number should be 2000 or less. Let's assume the first quarter : consumption is 3000. Additionally trackitt shows that most of the ROW EB2 : approved in the first quarter were the cases with PD earlier than Oct.2010. : be
yeah, if we have 30k, we can only reach April 2007. There are tons of EB2 waiting between 2007.07-now. It will take a long long time to reach PD 2011.03. If we have 30k this year, at least 2006-2007 people will beneft from it.
only
【在 l****6 的大作中提到】 : That is impossible. Even we have 30000 spill over number, EB2C and EB2I only : reach 2007/3.
s*r
85 楼
我真的怎么发音的?小时候没好好学国语,干脆以后用福州话唱算啦lol
【在 p***c 的大作中提到】 : 再赞: 窝 栽 哪 鼾。。。。。
j*i
86 楼
how can we gurantee no quote is wasted? especially EB2C's Own Quota...
x*g
87 楼
我让你手机录的Asterplace的那首Mecca唱的呢? 上传吧~
【在 R**i 的大作中提到】 : 对的 : 刚好有视频了
T*r
88 楼
30K all for chinese, not for India?
【在 A****S 的大作中提到】 : yeah, : if we have 30k, we can only reach April 2007. : There are tons of EB2 waiting between 2007.07-now. : It will take a long long time to reach PD 2011.03. : If we have 30k this year, at least 2006-2007 people will beneft from it. : : only
The main reason for wasting quota was that USCIS didn't review enough cases to use quota. It only happened before 2007. From 2007 they never wasted any visa because they started the practice of " pre adjusted". They have reviewed enough EB2 C&I cases in advance. All these cases are ready for approval once the quota is available.
【在 j**i 的大作中提到】 : how can we gurantee no quote is wasted? especially EB2C's Own Quota...
【在 T******r 的大作中提到】 : 30K all for chinese, not for India?
x*g
93 楼
没事, 有多少发多少... 买的专辑里面没有那首 :(((
【在 R**i 的大作中提到】 : 我没录全啊,手酸了。。。。
T*r
94 楼
thanks, hope 30k is true
【在 A****S 的大作中提到】 : 30k for both India and China.
x*n
95 楼
是有点谢天笑的味道。
【在 c**e 的大作中提到】 : 这歌好像之前没听过。是挺好听的。 : 有点儿谢天笑的味道。
n*s
96 楼
Do you know what percentage of EB2ers use Trackiit?
【在 A****S 的大作中提到】 : All the information is public information. : I did careful research using the data from Trackitt. : Not a single EB2 with PD later than Nov.2010 got their GC yet! : Among all the EB2 ROW approved, only 5 of them have PD later than Oct.2010. : My research conclusion is that: : 1. Basically ROW EB2 with PD later than January 2011 have very slim chance : to get their GC in FY 2011. : 2. ROW EB2 with PD between Oct.2010 and Dec.2010 will have some chance to : get their GC in FY 2011, but it's 50% only. :
Nirvana从never mind开始搞这种强烈对比的编曲,谢天笑也算是一脉相承。当然比起 Kurt Cobain来这首歌的口音更像谢天笑 :)
【在 x****n 的大作中提到】 : : 是有点谢天笑的味道。
T*k
100 楼
Cheers! Thank you!
Oct.2010. chance chance to
【在 A****S 的大作中提到】 : All the information is public information. : I did careful research using the data from Trackitt. : Not a single EB2 with PD later than Nov.2010 got their GC yet! : Among all the EB2 ROW approved, only 5 of them have PD later than Oct.2010. : My research conclusion is that: : 1. Basically ROW EB2 with PD later than January 2011 have very slim chance : to get their GC in FY 2011. : 2. ROW EB2 with PD between Oct.2010 and Dec.2010 will have some chance to : get their GC in FY 2011, but it's 50% only. :
If find their PERM were auditted or delayed) submitted 140/485 between Oct.2010 and Jan.2011, the number should be 2000 or less. Let's assume the first quarter consumption is 3000. Additionally trackitt shows that most of the ROW EB2 approved in the first quarter were the cases with PD earlier than Oct.2010. be use consumption this year will be 7800 plus 3000 plus 3000=13800. The reality is that they can not clean up all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, so the total consumption may be less than 13800.
【在 A****S 的大作中提到】 : 1. In January 2011 inventory report, there are 7800 ROW EB2 pending. : 2. From October 2010 to January 2011, not too many ROW EB2 were approved. If : you compare the inventory between Oct. 2010 and January 2011, you will find : out the ROW EB2 number changed 1000. Although it's possible some people (their PERM were auditted or delayed) submitted 140/485 between Oct.2010 and Jan.2011, the number should be 2000 or less. Let's assume the first quarter consumption is 3000. Additionally trackitt shows that most of the ROW EB2 approved in the first quarter were the cases with PD earlier than Oct.2010. : 3. If a ROW EB2 submit his/her 140 after January 2011, his/her 140 can not be : approved until September 2011, thus he/she can not consume this year's EB2 : quota. The only exception is that he/she uses PP. Just assume 3k people use : PP service. : 4. If they can clean all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, the total ROW consumption this year will be 7800 plus 3000 plus 3000=13800. The reality is that they can not clean up all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, so the total consumption may be less than 13800. : Total Spill over should be around:
c*e
103 楼
that's why I said XTX, not Nirvana. hehe 唱的音色很有点谢天笑的味道。吉它音色让我想起“永远是个秘密”那首歌。
【在 q***q 的大作中提到】 : Nirvana从never mind开始搞这种强烈对比的编曲,谢天笑也算是一脉相承。当然比起 : Kurt Cobain来这首歌的口音更像谢天笑 :)
j*r
104 楼
It is not right to calculate this way. The pending number for ROW is far less than the approved number. The majority of cases are not even listed as pending before they are approved. So using pending inventory can't give us an estimate about the usage of ROW EB2. If you have the perm number approved for ROW EB2, it might be more informative. I hope more SO for us, but I don't think your calculation is correct. Please correct me if I am wrong.
approved. If will find people (their PERM were auditted or delayed) submitted 140/485 between Oct.2010 and Jan.2011, the number should be 2000 or less. Let's assume the first quarter consumption is 3000. Additionally trackitt shows that most of the ROW EB2 approved in the first quarter were the cases with PD earlier than Oct.2010. can not be year's EB2 people use consumption this year will be 7800 plus 3000 plus 3000=13800. The reality is that they can not clean up all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, so the total consumption may be less than 13800.
【在 A****S 的大作中提到】 : 1. In January 2011 inventory report, there are 7800 ROW EB2 pending. : 2. From October 2010 to January 2011, not too many ROW EB2 were approved. If : you compare the inventory between Oct. 2010 and January 2011, you will find : out the ROW EB2 number changed 1000. Although it's possible some people (their PERM were auditted or delayed) submitted 140/485 between Oct.2010 and Jan.2011, the number should be 2000 or less. Let's assume the first quarter consumption is 3000. Additionally trackitt shows that most of the ROW EB2 approved in the first quarter were the cases with PD earlier than Oct.2010. : 3. If a ROW EB2 submit his/her 140 after January 2011, his/her 140 can not be : approved until September 2011, thus he/she can not consume this year's EB2 : quota. The only exception is that he/she uses PP. Just assume 3k people use : PP service. : 4. If they can clean all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, the total ROW consumption this year will be 7800 plus 3000 plus 3000=13800. The reality is that they can not clean up all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, so the total consumption may be less than 13800. : Total Spill over should be around:
【在 c**e 的大作中提到】 : that's why I said XTX, not Nirvana. hehe : 唱的音色很有点谢天笑的味道。吉它音色让我想起“永远是个秘密”那首歌。
A*S
106 楼
My calculation is correct. The total number of EB2 ROW approved in the first quarter =the inventory number change + the new ROW EB2 submitted in the first quarter. The inventory number change is 1000. The only possible variable is the ROW EB2 submitted in the first quarter. I assumed 3000. It is possible this number is a little low, but my formula/logic is correct. In fact, I think 3000 should be very close to reality.
【在 j****r 的大作中提到】 : It is not right to calculate this way. The pending number for ROW is : far less than the approved number. The majority of cases are not even : listed as pending before they are approved. So using pending inventory : can't give us an estimate about the usage of ROW EB2. If you have the : perm number approved for ROW EB2, it might be more informative. : I hope more SO for us, but I don't think your calculation is correct. : Please correct me if I am wrong. : : approved. If : will find
x*g
107 楼
好听~~ 王后辛苦啦!~~~
【在 R**i 的大作中提到】
I*y
108 楼
I-140 standard timeframe is 4 months. I-485 is a little longer at TSC and should be 4 month also. TSC is speeding up now. for example. EB1A 140和485不到两个月都批准了, 附timeline http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Immigration/31920987.html There is one EB1 get both I-140 and 485 in 2 months. EB2-Row will speed up in the next few months.
If find their PERM were auditted or delayed) submitted 140/485 between Oct.2010 and Jan.2011, the number should be 2000 or less. Let's assume the first quarter consumption is 3000. Additionally trackitt shows that most of the ROW EB2 approved in the first quarter were the cases with PD earlier than Oct.2010. be use consumption this year will be 7800 plus 3000 plus 3000=13800. The reality is that they can not clean up all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, so the total consumption may be less than 13800.
【在 A****S 的大作中提到】 : 1. In January 2011 inventory report, there are 7800 ROW EB2 pending. : 2. From October 2010 to January 2011, not too many ROW EB2 were approved. If : you compare the inventory between Oct. 2010 and January 2011, you will find : out the ROW EB2 number changed 1000. Although it's possible some people (their PERM were auditted or delayed) submitted 140/485 between Oct.2010 and Jan.2011, the number should be 2000 or less. Let's assume the first quarter consumption is 3000. Additionally trackitt shows that most of the ROW EB2 approved in the first quarter were the cases with PD earlier than Oct.2010. : 3. If a ROW EB2 submit his/her 140 after January 2011, his/her 140 can not be : approved until September 2011, thus he/she can not consume this year's EB2 : quota. The only exception is that he/she uses PP. Just assume 3k people use : PP service. : 4. If they can clean all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, the total ROW consumption this year will be 7800 plus 3000 plus 3000=13800. The reality is that they can not clean up all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, so the total consumption may be less than 13800. : Total Spill over should be around:
【在 a****l 的大作中提到】 : 中印eb2能批准的数量是可以用inventory来估计的,但是row是不能的,因为row现在是C, : 所以是随进随出的.夸张的说,可能一天就批掉7800个,然后第二天再来7800个,再一天批 : 掉,结果随便你哪天看,存货都有7800个,实际批准的数字呢? : : If : find : their PERM were auditted or delayed) submitted 140/485 between Oct.2010 and : Jan.2011, the number should be 2000 or less. Let's assume the first quarter : consumption is 3000. Additionally trackitt shows that most of the ROW EB2 : approved in the first quarter were the cases with PD earlier than Oct.2010.
【在 A****S 的大作中提到】 : The main reason for wasting quota was that USCIS didn't review enough cases : to use quota. : It only happened before 2007. : From 2007 they never wasted any visa because they started the practice of " : pre adjusted". They have reviewed enough EB2 C&I cases in advance. All these : cases are ready for approval once the quota is available.
Some thoughts, not mean to upset you: I am more inclined to what julyer said . many EB2ROW may not be listed in the inventory. if you approval number is from CIS official number, then it would great. also submitted, do we have officail number from CIS? Regarding trackitt, how many ROW really care about it and put thier case there? how many would go there update once approved?
number is a little low, but my formula/logic is correct. In fact, I think 3000 should be very close to reality.
【在 A****S 的大作中提到】 : My calculation is correct. : The total number of EB2 ROW approved in the first quarter : =the inventory number change + the new ROW EB2 submitted in the first : quarter. : The inventory number change is 1000. The only possible variable is the ROW : EB2 submitted in the first quarter. I assumed 3000. It is possible this number is a little low, but my formula/logic is correct. In fact, I think 3000 should be very close to reality.
3 months ago I did this data analysis and nobody believed me. now all my predictions are coming true.
If find their PERM were auditted or delayed) submitted 140/485 between Oct.2010 and Jan.2011, the number should be 2000 or less. Let's assume the first quarter consumption is 3000. Additionally trackitt shows that most of the ROW EB2 approved in the first quarter were the cases with PD earlier than Oct.2010. be use consumption this year will be 7800 plus 3000 plus 3000=13800. The reality is that they can not clean up all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, so the total consumption may be less than 13800.
【在 A****S 的大作中提到】 : 1. In January 2011 inventory report, there are 7800 ROW EB2 pending. : 2. From October 2010 to January 2011, not too many ROW EB2 were approved. If : you compare the inventory between Oct. 2010 and January 2011, you will find : out the ROW EB2 number changed 1000. Although it's possible some people (their PERM were auditted or delayed) submitted 140/485 between Oct.2010 and Jan.2011, the number should be 2000 or less. Let's assume the first quarter consumption is 3000. Additionally trackitt shows that most of the ROW EB2 approved in the first quarter were the cases with PD earlier than Oct.2010. : 3. If a ROW EB2 submit his/her 140 after January 2011, his/her 140 can not be : approved until September 2011, thus he/she can not consume this year's EB2 : quota. The only exception is that he/she uses PP. Just assume 3k people use : PP service. : 4. If they can clean all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, the total ROW consumption this year will be 7800 plus 3000 plus 3000=13800. The reality is that they can not clean up all the 7800 inventory ROW EB2, so the total consumption may be less than 13800. : Total Spill over should be around:
【在 A****S 的大作中提到】 : 3 months ago I did this data analysis and nobody believed me. : now all my predictions are coming true. : : If : find : their PERM were auditted or delayed) submitted 140/485 between Oct.2010 and : Jan.2011, the number should be 2000 or less. Let's assume the first quarter : consumption is 3000. Additionally trackitt shows that most of the ROW EB2 : approved in the first quarter were the cases with PD earlier than Oct.2010. : be