南加州房市销售暴跌，房市出现衰落信号 - 未名空间MITBBS历史存档

南加州房市销售暴跌，房市出现衰落信号# Living

a*12018-07-26 07:07

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真刺激阿

w*m2018-07-26 07:07

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https://www.cnbc.com/2018/07/24/southern-california-home-sales-crash-a-
warning-sign-to-the-nation.html
Sales of both new and existing houses and condominiums dropped 11.8 percent
year over year, as prices shot up to a record high, according to CoreLogic.
The median price paid for all Southern California homes sold in June was a
record $536,250, according to CoreLogic, a 7.3 percent increase compared to
June of 2017.
In the past, California, one of the largest housing markets in the nation,
has been a predictor for the rest of the country.
Southern California home sales hit the brakes in June, falling to the lowest
reading for the month in four years. Sales of both new and existing houses
and condominiums dropped 11.8 percent year over year, as prices shot up to a
record high, according to CoreLogic. The report covers Los Angeles,
Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties.
Sales fell 1.1 percent compared with May, but the average change from May to
June, going back to 1988, is a 6 percent gain.
The weakness was especially apparent in sales of newly built homes, which
were 47 percent below the June average. Part of that is that builders are
putting up fewer homes, so there is simply less to sell.
“A portion of last month’s year-over-year sales decline reflects one less
business day for deals to be recorded compared with June 2017,” noted
Andrew LePage, a CoreLogic analyst. “But affordability and inventory
constraints are likely the main culprits in last month’s sales slowdown,
which applied to all six of the region’s counties and across most of the
major price categories.”
Fewer affordable homes
The median price paid for all Southern California homes sold in June was a
record $536,250, according to CoreLogic, a 7.3 percent increase compared
with June 2017. While part of that is due to a mix shift, since there are
fewer lower-priced homes for sale, it is becoming increasingly clear that
fewer buyers are able to play in the higher price ranges.
“Sales below $500,000 dropped 21 percent on a year-over-year basis, while
deals of $500,000 or more fell about 3 percent, marking the first annual
decline for that price category in nearly two years,” said LePage. “Home
sales of $1 million or more last month rose just a tad – less than 1
percent – from a year earlier following annual gains of between 5 percent
and 21 percent over the prior year.”
LePage points to the rise in mortgage rates over the past six months,
increasing significantly a borrower’s monthly payment. Rates haven’t moved
much in the past month, but are suddenly going higher again this week,
pointing to even further weakness in affordability.
In the past, California, one of the largest housing markets in the nation,
has been a predictor for the rest of the country. Home prices have been
rising everywhere, amid a critical housing shortage. Prices usually lag
sales by several months, and sales are beginning to crumble, even as more
inventory comes on the market. The supply of homes for sale increased
annually in June for the first time in three years, according to the
National Association of Realtors, but sales fell for the third straight
month.