以往的类似预测，大家看准吗？
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02/13/2015: Oppenheim Reportedly Confirmed Continuing Movement of EB-2 Cut-
Off Date for India Ahead, Albeit Limited
As we reportd on 02/09/2015, unlike other previous years, the EB-2 cut-off
date for India is likely to continously move forward each month after March,
even though the movement can be somewhat limited. This prediction is
confirmed by the AILA's contact with Mr. Oppenheim of the State Department.
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01/13/2015: EB-2 India Cut-Off Date May Only Move Upto Summer 2009 by the
End of FY-2015 (September 2015)?
AILA has reported after talk with Mr. Oppenheim of the State Department that
unlike previous years, EB-2 India visa numbers may move up from four to six
months or even faster, but may not go beyond summer of 2009. Apparently,
this is determined by the two factors. One is active implementation of Obama
's immigration actions beginning May 2015 affected visa demand changes and
the other is inscreasing rate of convering from EB-3 to EB-2 by Indians.
Frustrating news in a way for the late starter Indian EB-2 professionals.
Obviously, passage of H.R. 213 of 2015 sponsored by Rep. Jason Chavetz
removing per country limit for employment-based immigration will change this
prediction, but fate of this bill is questionable at the best.
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01/09/2015: State Department Prediction of Visa Cut-Off Dates in Coming
Months
FAMILY-sponsored categories (potential monthly movement)
Worldwide dates:
F1: Up to three weeks
F2A: Three or four weeks
F2B: Three to six weeks
F3: Up to three weeks
F4: Two to four weeks
EMPLOYMENT-based categories (potential monthly movement)
EB-1: Current
EB-2:
Worldwide: Current
China: Three to six weeks
India: Four to six months
EB-3:
Worldwide: Rapid forward movement for at least another month or two. The
rapid movement in recent months should generate a significant amount of
demand for numbers. Once such demand materialize at the anticipated rate it
will have a direct impact on this cut-off date.
China: Rapid forward movement. Such movement is likely to result in a
dramatic increase in demand which could require "corrective" action within
the next six months.
India: Up to two weeks
Mexico: Will remain at the worldwide date
Philippines: Will remain at the worldwide date. Increased demand may require
"corrective" action at some point later in the fiscal year.
EB-4: Current
EB-5: Current - for most countries. The expected increase in China-mainland
born demand would require the establishment of a cut-off date for such
applicants no later than the summer months.
The category will remain "Current" for all other countries
for the foreseeable future.
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12/17/2014: State Department to Release Immigrant Visa Movement Predictions
in the February 2015 Visa Bulletin
According to the AILA, Mr. Oppenheim is expected to release this valuable
information in February Visa Bulletin for the immigrant visa waiters in all
different categories and in all different countries. Since the February Visa
Bulletin is expected to be released in the first two weeks of January 2015,
immigrants will be able to get the information fairly soon. However, there
appears to be no exciting information for EB-2 immigrants since the changes
usually happen only the last quarter (July-September) of a fiscal year not
to waste any visa numbers. But who knows? Please wait and see.
