I was much, much, much closer to death in late 2008 and early 2009. I held on with my positions and survived. It was much much much more scary then. Spend 0.5% of your account to buy puts for every 100 point increase, and you may lose 5% of your account in the worst case scenario. But if the tide turns, the profit should make such a try worthwhile.
【在 r*m 的大作中提到】 : I was much, much, much closer to death in late 2008 and early 2009. : I held on with my positions and survived. : It was much much much more scary then. : Spend 0.5% of your account to buy puts for every 100 point increase, and you : may lose 5% of your account in the worst case scenario. But if the tide : turns, the profit should make such a try worthwhile.
can't type Chinese here. This is the random walk on 1D (1/2 left, 1/2 right) . The probability it goes back to origin is 1. Same answer for 2D. But 0 probability for 3D. (See recurrent/transient state of Markov Chain.)
【在 d****n 的大作中提到】 : can't type Chinese here. This is the random walk on 1D (1/2 left, 1/2 right) : . The probability it goes back to origin is 1. Same answer for 2D. But 0 : probability for 3D. (See recurrent/transient state of Markov Chain.)
a little early? That's nothing. My style doesn't require an accurate entry point. I never get into full position at once. Talking about early, how about start "bottom fishing" at 12000, and all in at well above 10000 in 2008?
【在 T*********s 的大作中提到】 : 捂帮主, I'm afraid you still short a little early