Bernanke's Nomination: Still not a Sure Thing - 未名空间MITBBS历史存档

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Bernanke's Nomination: Still not a Sure Thing

Bernanke's Nomination: Still not a Sure Thing# Stock

l*r2010-01-25 08:01

1 楼

http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2010/01/bernanke-nomination-by-the-numbers-and-what-saves-him/
Unless Friday was enough to scare the Senate to approve Bernanke, and we do
not believe it was, it seems like
the Bernanke situation is near-term bearish.

b*y2010-01-25 08:01

2 楼

估计问题不大，虽然不能百分百肯定
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/More-senators-support-another-apf-3863059893.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=main&asset=&ccode=

b*y2010-01-25 08:01

3 楼

After doubts about the nomination spread on Friday, the Intrade online
wagering market put Mr. Bernanke's chance of being confirmed at 80%, down
from 95% earlier in the week. By late Monday, though, the likelihood of
confirmation was put at 93%.

S*b2010-01-25 08:01

4 楼

好奇这个概率是咋算的。。

【在 b********y 的大作中提到】

: After doubts about the nomination spread on Friday, the Intrade online
: wagering market put Mr. Bernanke's chance of being confirmed at 80%, down
: from 95% earlier in the week. By late Monday, though, the likelihood of
: confirmation was put at 93%.

b*y2010-01-25 08:01

5 楼

市场决定的

【在 S*******b 的大作中提到】

: 好奇这个概率是咋算的。。

b*y2010-01-25 08:01

6 楼

利伯曼也支持他了，内布拉斯加的参议员听巴肥的话也投他的票，现在至少40个支持，
17个反对

r*e2010-01-25 08:01

7 楼

95% 可能性。
今天不是因为房市消息不大好，今天应该涨不少的

do

【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】

: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2010/01/bernanke-nomination-by-the-numbers-and-what-saves-him/
: Unless Friday was enough to scare the Senate to approve Bernanke, and we do
: not believe it was, it seems like
: the Bernanke situation is near-term bearish.