I am afraid that trade war is coming (转载) - 未名空间MITBBS历史存档

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I am afraid that trade war is coming (转载)

I am afraid that trade war is coming (转载)# Stock

m*a2010-03-15 07:03

1 楼

【以下文字转载自 Investment 讨论区】
发信人: mdrosophila (ranger), 信区: Investment
标题: I am afraid that trade war is coming
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Mar 15 13:18:22 2010, 美东)
This may trigger global depression. It is an interesting prediction who will
be the winner in the end. US won during WII because it had the strongest
manufacturer bases. For now, China is more productive and can provide more
goods than US.
Lawmakers Urge Geithner to Cite China on Currency (Update1)
March 15, 2010, 12:38 PM EDT
(Adds comment

s*82010-03-15 07:03

2 楼

LOL, trade war after health care bill.

g*m2010-03-15 07:03

3 楼

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/15/opinion/15krugman.html
Taking On China
By PAUL KRUGMAN
Published: March 14, 2010
Tensions are rising over Chinese economic policy, and rightly so: China’s
policy of keeping its currency, the renminbi, undervalued has become a
significant drag on global economic recovery. Something must be done.
To give you a sense of the problem: Widespread complaints that China was
manipulating its currency — selling renminbi and buying foreign currencies,
so as to keep the ren

c*m2010-03-15 07:03

4 楼

"What you have to ask is, What would happen if China tried to sell a large
share of its U.S. assets? Would interest rates soar? Short-term U.S.
interest rates wouldn’t change: they’re being kept near zero by the Fed,
which won’t raise rates until the unemployment rate comes down. Long-term
rates might rise slightly, but they’re mainly determined by market
expectations of future short-term rates. Also, the Fed could offset any
interest-rate impact of a Chinese pullback by expanding its own purcha