【在 Y**N 的大作中提到】 : UNG 是“United States Natural Gas”啊
z*e
12 楼
oil (commodity) spot price reflects current supply and demand energy stocks need to take into account of long term sustainability Gradual increase of oil price reflecting increasing demand, generally good for oil stocks Rapid oil spikes from supply shocks increase near term earnings but also increases risk for oil price to go down a lot afterwards 1) energy stocks have gone straight line up since August 2) fear of demand destruction. oil spike / supply shock -> big hit on economy + governments start big alternative fuel programs -> reduced energy consumption in recession & fuel efficiency 3) there might be a windfall tax, or big fuel tax if price stay too high for too long 4) minor points: some oil companies have assets in mideast region so there is also some confiscation risk by the new regime
【在 z***e 的大作中提到】 : oil (commodity) spot price reflects current supply and demand : energy stocks need to take into account of long term sustainability : Gradual increase of oil price reflecting increasing demand, generally : good for oil stocks : Rapid oil spikes from supply shocks increase near term earnings : but also increases risk for oil price to go down a lot afterwards : 1) energy stocks have gone straight line up since August : 2) fear of demand destruction. oil spike / supply shock -> big hit : on economy + governments start big alternative fuel programs : -> reduced energy consumption in recession & fuel efficiency