小波进来 - 未名空间MITBBS历史存档

小波进来# Stock

L*n2013-04-05 07:04

1 楼

TA 不是胡乱划线。 it's access and analyze the pricing action.
let's look at the Monthly chart first, amzn gone through base, 1st stage,
2nd stage and now at the 3rd stage. or you can call late stage. the trading
start to become erratic. - a red flag
from weekly chart you can see clearly this is a break out failure. - another
red flag
from daily chart, things can't be more obvious. it broke through 50ma and
failed at retest - can't run away fast enough
from 野鸡FA， they are forced to agree to collect sale tax and several
states, the rest will follow. this can kill their margin that's already
paper thin.
============================
sum it up, SELL SELL SELL.
make sense?

w*22013-04-05 07:04

2 楼

Lihai

b*p2013-04-05 07:04

3 楼

请教大夫大牛：
下面不是还有200ma顶在那里？
11/15/2012那天连200ma都tested,但第二天就开始反弹了，请问怎么看？
谢谢！

L*n2013-04-05 07:04

4 楼

i'm almost 100% sure it'll go 200ma in the near future. will it hold remain
to be seen. but imagine the price at 200ma around $245 in a few weeks. this
is shaping out to be a head and shoulder - with a splitter head, first
higher, second lower. most likely a short rebound followed with real bloody
sell off - by that time, even a waitress can see the danger.
for 11/15/2012, it was still in the middle of 3rd stage correction. market
condition is tough. and it found bottom at 200ma, that's quite normal.

【在 b*****p 的大作中提到】

: 请教大夫大牛：
: 下面不是还有200ma顶在那里？
: 11/15/2012那天连200ma都tested,但第二天就开始反弹了，请问怎么看？
: 谢谢！

b*p2013-04-05 07:04

5 楼

thanks a lot!
2 baozi to show my appreciation....

remain
this
bloody

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: i'm almost 100% sure it'll go 200ma in the near future. will it hold remain
: to be seen. but imagine the price at 200ma around $245 in a few weeks. this
: is shaping out to be a head and shoulder - with a splitter head, first
: higher, second lower. most likely a short rebound followed with real bloody
: sell off - by that time, even a waitress can see the danger.
: for 11/15/2012, it was still in the middle of 3rd stage correction. market
: condition is tough. and it found bottom at 200ma, that's quite normal.

l*e2013-04-05 07:04

6 楼

同感。

remain
this
bloody

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: i'm almost 100% sure it'll go 200ma in the near future. will it hold remain
: to be seen. but imagine the price at 200ma around $245 in a few weeks. this
: is shaping out to be a head and shoulder - with a splitter head, first
: higher, second lower. most likely a short rebound followed with real bloody
: sell off - by that time, even a waitress can see the danger.
: for 11/15/2012, it was still in the middle of 3rd stage correction. market
: condition is tough. and it found bottom at 200ma, that's quite normal.

M*M2013-04-05 07:04

7 楼

无脑跟大牛亏大发了。

remain
this
bloody

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: i'm almost 100% sure it'll go 200ma in the near future. will it hold remain
: to be seen. but imagine the price at 200ma around $245 in a few weeks. this
: is shaping out to be a head and shoulder - with a splitter head, first
: higher, second lower. most likely a short rebound followed with real bloody
: sell off - by that time, even a waitress can see the danger.
: for 11/15/2012, it was still in the middle of 3rd stage correction. market
: condition is tough. and it found bottom at 200ma, that's quite normal.

p*r2013-04-05 07:04

8 楼

I just did short at $265 today. All my shorts are covered. Some covered too
early. Some are covered around $258. Overall, AMZN FA doesn't look good. buy
.com these few days kept having $20 off $50 for its market place. Now buy.
com is doing the same thing like AMZN does. It doesn't collect sales tax in
many states.
BestBuy is coming back aggressively with good deals on iPad, iPhone and many
other things. Walmart is doing the same thing. These days people spend less
and less on AMZN due to the sales tax. Probably the only good business is
its cloud computing. However, the growth in cloud computing is not big
enough to offset the revenue loss in retail and media contents business.

l*n2013-04-05 07:04

9 楼

谢谢好图！等等看这一次retest MA50 能不能hold住。

p*r2013-04-05 07:04

10 楼

Wish it can go up to $280 level, then $250-260 put will be cheap.
I am pretty sure this Q will be bad. It could collapse 10-15% easily.

u*e2013-04-05 07:04

11 楼

MARK
这么好的技术贴,班主发包子

trading
another

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: TA 不是胡乱划线。 it's access and analyze the pricing action.
: let's look at the Monthly chart first, amzn gone through base, 1st stage,
: 2nd stage and now at the 3rd stage. or you can call late stage. the trading
: start to become erratic. - a red flag
: from weekly chart you can see clearly this is a break out failure. - another
: red flag
: from daily chart, things can't be more obvious. it broke through 50ma and
: failed at retest - can't run away fast enough
: from 野鸡FA， they are forced to agree to collect sale tax and several
: states, the rest will follow. this can kill their margin that's already

L*n2013-04-05 07:04

12 楼

well, time for a review
in the general sense, the earlier assessment is spot on. AMZN continued with
WILD, ERRATIC, DIRECTIONLESS trading for 3 more weeks. weekly range as wide
as $15, and no clear direction, but volume tells the true story, 3 weekly
down volume is ever increasing, and the only up week score the SMALLEST
weekly volume of the year. you can't draw any other conclusion other than
shares dumping. run as fast as you can. there may still be swings, but the
traffic is pointing south.
i don't adovcate people to short, short selling takes more margin, in a bull
market, much earsier to make money going long. For those who want to short,
your skill and timing will determine the outcome.

trading
another

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: TA 不是胡乱划线。 it's access and analyze the pricing action.
: let's look at the Monthly chart first, amzn gone through base, 1st stage,
: 2nd stage and now at the 3rd stage. or you can call late stage. the trading
: start to become erratic. - a red flag
: from weekly chart you can see clearly this is a break out failure. - another
: red flag
: from daily chart, things can't be more obvious. it broke through 50ma and
: failed at retest - can't run away fast enough
: from 野鸡FA， they are forced to agree to collect sale tax and several
: states, the rest will follow. this can kill their margin that's already

s*r2013-04-05 07:04

13 楼

大牛～～
膜拜

with
wide
bull
short,

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: well, time for a review
: in the general sense, the earlier assessment is spot on. AMZN continued with
: WILD, ERRATIC, DIRECTIONLESS trading for 3 more weeks. weekly range as wide
: as $15, and no clear direction, but volume tells the true story, 3 weekly
: down volume is ever increasing, and the only up week score the SMALLEST
: weekly volume of the year. you can't draw any other conclusion other than
: shares dumping. run as fast as you can. there may still be swings, but the
: traffic is pointing south.
: i don't adovcate people to short, short selling takes more margin, in a bull
: market, much earsier to make money going long. For those who want to short,

H*i2013-04-05 07:04

14 楼

说的有道理，补充一下。街上现在有很多人在找跌材而不是涨材。大麻的老板在华尔街
做过，这个时候说要有亏损，是想把自己的虚火压一压，挤出一点水分，短期跌宕是肯
定的。

with
wide
bull
short,

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: well, time for a review
: in the general sense, the earlier assessment is spot on. AMZN continued with
: WILD, ERRATIC, DIRECTIONLESS trading for 3 more weeks. weekly range as wide
: as $15, and no clear direction, but volume tells the true story, 3 weekly
: down volume is ever increasing, and the only up week score the SMALLEST
: weekly volume of the year. you can't draw any other conclusion other than
: shares dumping. run as fast as you can. there may still be swings, but the
: traffic is pointing south.
: i don't adovcate people to short, short selling takes more margin, in a bull
: market, much earsier to make money going long. For those who want to short,

a*e2013-04-05 07:04

15 楼

Nice! Mark and bun!

with
wide
bull
short,

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: well, time for a review
: in the general sense, the earlier assessment is spot on. AMZN continued with
: WILD, ERRATIC, DIRECTIONLESS trading for 3 more weeks. weekly range as wide
: as $15, and no clear direction, but volume tells the true story, 3 weekly
: down volume is ever increasing, and the only up week score the SMALLEST
: weekly volume of the year. you can't draw any other conclusion other than
: shares dumping. run as fast as you can. there may still be swings, but the
: traffic is pointing south.
: i don't adovcate people to short, short selling takes more margin, in a bull
: market, much earsier to make money going long. For those who want to short,

l*t2013-04-05 07:04

16 楼

大牛厉害。。。大夫大牛好像不喜欢bb，看来青蛙我也要摒弃bb了。。。不过从bb上看
张嘎，好像还是蛮可靠的。。。周线中轨3.04应该是个支撑位。。。

with
wide
bull
short,

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: well, time for a review
: in the general sense, the earlier assessment is spot on. AMZN continued with
: WILD, ERRATIC, DIRECTIONLESS trading for 3 more weeks. weekly range as wide
: as $15, and no clear direction, but volume tells the true story, 3 weekly
: down volume is ever increasing, and the only up week score the SMALLEST
: weekly volume of the year. you can't draw any other conclusion other than
: shares dumping. run as fast as you can. there may still be swings, but the
: traffic is pointing south.
: i don't adovcate people to short, short selling takes more margin, in a bull
: market, much earsier to make money going long. For those who want to short,

D*e2013-04-05 07:04

17 楼

草，忘了九师父的这个贴了
大脑一冲动上了大妈，彻底做了股东。
要捂到啥时候能出水？等到花儿也谢了？

b*p2013-04-05 07:04

18 楼

大夫厉害！非常厉害！

w*22013-04-05 07:04

19 楼

thanks.
scary.

with
wide
bull
short,

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: well, time for a review
: in the general sense, the earlier assessment is spot on. AMZN continued with
: WILD, ERRATIC, DIRECTIONLESS trading for 3 more weeks. weekly range as wide
: as $15, and no clear direction, but volume tells the true story, 3 weekly
: down volume is ever increasing, and the only up week score the SMALLEST
: weekly volume of the year. you can't draw any other conclusion other than
: shares dumping. run as fast as you can. there may still be swings, but the
: traffic is pointing south.
: i don't adovcate people to short, short selling takes more margin, in a bull
: market, much earsier to make money going long. For those who want to short,