股票分析之JNPR - 未名空间MITBBS历史存档

股票分析之JNPR# Stock

s*m2013-12-07 08:12

1 楼

FA分析
JNPR最近涨势还不错，可能是因为：
“The licenses follow the granting of 3G licenses in 2009, he notes. After
multiple delays in the 4G roll-out, the licenses should help lift carrier
spending on infrastructure in China, he believes, though there will be a
second
shoe to drop at the end of 2014, the granting of licenses based on another
technology standard for 4G, “FDD-LTE.”
Among beneficiaries, White sees Amphenol (APH) and Juniper Networks (JNPR)
benefitting, along with China-based infrastructure providers Huawei and ZTE
(0763HK):”
链接在这：
http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2013/12/04/apple-junip
benefit-from-china-lte-licenses-says-cantor/?mod=yahoobarrons&ru=yahoo
但是这个公司和CSCO所属同一个行业
个人觉得这个行业在走下坡路
TA分析
见贴图：
现在stock处于小周期里的上升周期，估计下周初还能上涨一下，然后大周期里的下压
势头和小周期里的下压势头会导致股票有一个较大的correction，可以参考七，八月的
走法
Disclaim：
我目前没有任何这个股票的position，准备在22.5-23.0之间开始short这个股票
欢迎大家讨论

s*m2013-12-07 08:12

2 楼

跟大家分享一下自己在这个版上和自己书上学到的东西，回馈股版
以前只是跟大牛们的pick，现在要开始学习自己找pick分析操作了
还请各位大牛们多多指教

m*u2013-12-07 08:12

3 楼

zan, xiexie fenxiang.

w*22013-12-07 08:12

4 楼

貌似奔26去了

L*n2013-12-07 08:12

5 楼

看了一下，我的看法跟你相反。
首先这是个long term trend line break through with volume. The whole point of
technical analysis is looking at money flow - money flow occurs before news
. when the general sentiment is bearish while the technical shows
breakthrough - the long term trend is most likely UP.
BIG MARKET IS UP
TECH SECTOR IS STRONG
INDIVIDUAL STOCK SHOW BREAKTHROUGH
-should not planning on time the peak to short. rather should plan on buy
on dip at support line.

ZTE

【在 s***m 的大作中提到】

: FA分析
: JNPR最近涨势还不错，可能是因为：
: “The licenses follow the granting of 3G licenses in 2009, he notes. After
: multiple delays in the 4G roll-out, the licenses should help lift carrier
: spending on infrastructure in China, he believes, though there will be a
: second
: shoe to drop at the end of 2014, the granting of licenses based on another
: technology standard for 4G, “FDD-LTE.”
: Among beneficiaries, White sees Amphenol (APH) and Juniper Networks (JNPR)
: benefitting, along with China-based infrastructure providers Huawei and ZTE

R*o2013-12-07 08:12

6 楼

it is on the way down
maybe you can make some fast money on short period
but it will not look good through 2014

ZTE

【在 s***m 的大作中提到】

: FA分析
: JNPR最近涨势还不错，可能是因为：
: “The licenses follow the granting of 3G licenses in 2009, he notes. After
: multiple delays in the 4G roll-out, the licenses should help lift carrier
: spending on infrastructure in China, he believes, though there will be a
: second
: shoe to drop at the end of 2014, the granting of licenses based on another
: technology standard for 4G, “FDD-LTE.”
: Among beneficiaries, White sees Amphenol (APH) and Juniper Networks (JNPR)
: benefitting, along with China-based infrastructure providers Huawei and ZTE

M*y2013-12-07 08:12

7 楼

It is on the way up from my chart reading.
Not my cup of tea though.

H*D2013-12-07 08:12

8 楼

空之

ZTE

【在 s***m 的大作中提到】

: FA分析
: JNPR最近涨势还不错，可能是因为：
: “The licenses follow the granting of 3G licenses in 2009, he notes. After
: multiple delays in the 4G roll-out, the licenses should help lift carrier
: spending on infrastructure in China, he believes, though there will be a
: second
: shoe to drop at the end of 2014, the granting of licenses based on another
: technology standard for 4G, “FDD-LTE.”
: Among beneficiaries, White sees Amphenol (APH) and Juniper Networks (JNPR)
: benefitting, along with China-based infrastructure providers Huawei and ZTE

S*n2013-12-07 08:12

9 楼

分析的挺好的,谢谢。个人感觉这个月连22.5都很难上。

ZTE

【在 s***m 的大作中提到】

: FA分析
: JNPR最近涨势还不错，可能是因为：
: “The licenses follow the granting of 3G licenses in 2009, he notes. After
: multiple delays in the 4G roll-out, the licenses should help lift carrier
: spending on infrastructure in China, he believes, though there will be a
: second
: shoe to drop at the end of 2014, the granting of licenses based on another
: technology standard for 4G, “FDD-LTE.”
: Among beneficiaries, White sees Amphenol (APH) and Juniper Networks (JNPR)
: benefitting, along with China-based infrastructure providers Huawei and ZTE

s*m2013-12-07 08:12

10 楼

能具体说说你怎么觉得会上到26呢？

【在 w********2 的大作中提到】

: 貌似奔26去了

s*m2013-12-07 08:12

11 楼

Thanks for your comments， Doc!
What do you think is the supporting line?

of
news

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: 看了一下，我的看法跟你相反。
: 首先这是个long term trend line break through with volume. The whole point of
: technical analysis is looking at money flow - money flow occurs before news
: . when the general sentiment is bearish while the technical shows
: breakthrough - the long term trend is most likely UP.
: BIG MARKET IS UP
: TECH SECTOR IS STRONG
: INDIVIDUAL STOCK SHOW BREAKTHROUGH
: -should not planning on time the peak to short. rather should plan on buy
: on dip at support line.

s*m2013-12-07 08:12

12 楼

握手～

【在 R******o 的大作中提到】

: it is on the way down
: maybe you can make some fast money on short period
: but it will not look good through 2014
:
: ZTE

s*m2013-12-07 08:12

13 楼

最近空股票吃到了点甜头
感觉空股票赚起来比long快多了
你怎么看呢？

【在 H*****D 的大作中提到】

: 空之
:
: ZTE

w*22013-12-07 08:12

14 楼

首先我相信每个人给的皮克都是好皮克，
然后如果真的是能突破，大约走的是18 到22 的坑填满，那么这4点的空间应该在涨幅
上体现出来。
所以如果上涨，22+4 是26 是我比较乐观的估计。
当然如果特别牛，那么可以继续涨个好多点都没问题。

【在 s***m 的大作中提到】

: 能具体说说你怎么觉得会上到26呢？

y*i2013-12-07 08:12

15 楼

近期回调，长期涨

s*m2013-12-07 08:12

16 楼

我对这个pick主要是用cyclical pattern来分析它的，我觉得pattern很清晰
所以我准备在它downtrend要开始的时候开始short
我觉得在22.5到23之间有很大的阻力
你的这个分析法的原理是什么呢？

【在 w********2 的大作中提到】

: 首先我相信每个人给的皮克都是好皮克，
: 然后如果真的是能突破，大约走的是18 到22 的坑填满，那么这4点的空间应该在涨幅
: 上体现出来。
: 所以如果上涨，22+4 是26 是我比较乐观的估计。
: 当然如果特别牛，那么可以继续涨个好多点都没问题。

w*22013-12-07 08:12

17 楼

不是呀，我是基于假设，乐观的说如果
人推荐的都是要涨的，这个明显已经多数不准了。。

【在 s***m 的大作中提到】

: 我对这个pick主要是用cyclical pattern来分析它的，我觉得pattern很清晰
: 所以我准备在它downtrend要开始的时候开始short
: 我觉得在22.5到23之间有很大的阻力
: 你的这个分析法的原理是什么呢？

R*o2013-12-07 08:12

18 楼

还是你的分析牛

【在 w********2 的大作中提到】

: 不是呀，我是基于假设，乐观的说如果
: 人推荐的都是要涨的，这个明显已经多数不准了。。