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TSLA may not be a bubble
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TSLA may not be a bubble# Stock
r*m
1
but TSLA's stock price is
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v*r
2
tsla P/S = 9.96, it is just fine for a growth tech stock.
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r*m
3
Let's do some elementary school math:
a few years later, TSLA may sell 100,000 cars per year
assuming (very generously)TSLA can make $10,000 profit per car
100,000 x $10,000 = $1 Billion profit per year
That's a few years later, and everything has to work out perfectly from now
on.
TSLA has a market cap of 20 Billion as of now
That's already a PE of 20.
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c*r
4
tesla's gross margin is 25% already, their goal is 35%.

now

【在 r*m 的大作中提到】
: Let's do some elementary school math:
: a few years later, TSLA may sell 100,000 cars per year
: assuming (very generously)TSLA can make $10,000 profit per car
: 100,000 x $10,000 = $1 Billion profit per year
: That's a few years later, and everything has to work out perfectly from now
: on.
: TSLA has a market cap of 20 Billion as of now
: That's already a PE of 20.

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t*y
5
卖萌(cellardoor-->selladoor-->卖门-->卖萌)
你今天表现不错!

【在 c********r 的大作中提到】
: tesla's gross margin is 25% already, their goal is 35%.
:
: now

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c*r
6
as long as the music is playing, you've got to get up and dance

【在 t******y 的大作中提到】
: 卖萌(cellardoor-->selladoor-->卖门-->卖萌)
: 你今天表现不错!

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v*r
7
Elon Musk, "the stock price is probably about right, compare with other
equities,given where the company is heading"
http://money.cnn.com/video/technology/2014/01/16/t-tesla-cheape

now

【在 r*m 的大作中提到】
: Let's do some elementary school math:
: a few years later, TSLA may sell 100,000 cars per year
: assuming (very generously)TSLA can make $10,000 profit per car
: 100,000 x $10,000 = $1 Billion profit per year
: That's a few years later, and everything has to work out perfectly from now
: on.
: TSLA has a market cap of 20 Billion as of now
: That's already a PE of 20.

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q*9
8
想问一下现在加仓是不是好机会?
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v*r
9
nope, not after a parabolic movement like this. buy the dips.

【在 q******9 的大作中提到】
: 想问一下现在加仓是不是好机会?
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d*j
10
苹果当年卖iphone跟ipad都没现在卖得多,但是估计都飚到700。就是因为但是苹果产
品独步天下,等到其他竞争对手跟上来的时候,股价就会慢慢下降了。

【在 r*m 的大作中提到】
: but TSLA's stock price is
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L*n
11
所以你的逻辑就是搏傻,等人接盘,哪怕你也知道股价之后会跌,就如苹果。
这当然是个策略,只要你能保证你不是最后一棒,比如nflx上一次涨到300的时候

【在 d**j 的大作中提到】
: 苹果当年卖iphone跟ipad都没现在卖得多,但是估计都飚到700。就是因为但是苹果产
: 品独步天下,等到其他竞争对手跟上来的时候,股价就会慢慢下降了。

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d*j
12
不是搏杀,任何股价都有跌的一天。产业更新,十年河东。跟着潮流而已。

【在 L*******n 的大作中提到】
: 所以你的逻辑就是搏傻,等人接盘,哪怕你也知道股价之后会跌,就如苹果。
: 这当然是个策略,只要你能保证你不是最后一棒,比如nflx上一次涨到300的时候

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v*r
13
US sales 2013
Tesla Model S: 17,650
Mercedes-Benz S-Class: 13,303
BMW 7 Series: 10,932
Lexus LS: 10,727
Audi A8: 6,300
Porsche Panamera: 5,421
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r*m
14
Tesla has only model S
others have >10 models

【在 v******r 的大作中提到】
: US sales 2013
: Tesla Model S: 17,650
: Mercedes-Benz S-Class: 13,303
: BMW 7 Series: 10,932
: Lexus LS: 10,727
: Audi A8: 6,300
: Porsche Panamera: 5,421

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d*j
15
当初apple就卖mac,后来才有ipod,iphone,ipad。卖多少真的不重要,关键是是否领
先。

【在 r*m 的大作中提到】
: Tesla has only model S
: others have >10 models

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v*r
16
明年出 Model X, 估计也会是美国 full size luxury SUV的销量老大。三年后 Model
E.进军 small size luxury sedans市场。

【在 r*m 的大作中提到】
: Tesla has only model S
: others have >10 models

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d*j
17
无论怎么样,只要一堆跟尾狗跟着tesla做车,这个股价就是好的。看看三星跟着苹果
。nokia就好象现在一些老牌车厂。

Model

【在 v******r 的大作中提到】
: 明年出 Model X, 估计也会是美国 full size luxury SUV的销量老大。三年后 Model
: E.进军 small size luxury sedans市场。

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