r*s
2 楼
2000-2002, there's tech bubble and 911
2007-2008, there's housing bubble and house securizing (can't think of the
TERM),
2014-...., what we have today? Bond bubble? stock bubble? (Not likely, SP500
ER are still relatively healthy?)
We need some catalyzer(催化鸡)....
2007-2008, there's housing bubble and house securizing (can't think of the
TERM),
2014-...., what we have today? Bond bubble? stock bubble? (Not likely, SP500
ER are still relatively healthy?)
We need some catalyzer(催化鸡)....
r*s
3 楼
maybe china housing bubble burst and government no significant policy to
save it, like the Japan house market in 95-98??
save it, like the Japan house market in 95-98??
i*n
4 楼
SP500
Not sure, just post it here to spark some discussions
【在 r**s 的大作中提到】
: 2000-2002, there's tech bubble and 911
: 2007-2008, there's housing bubble and house securizing (can't think of the
: TERM),
: 2014-...., what we have today? Bond bubble? stock bubble? (Not likely, SP500
: ER are still relatively healthy?)
: We need some catalyzer(催化鸡)....
A*Q
6 楼
危险是事后发现的,标普500在前两次经济危机前都是1500多点的最高点,现在已经
1950,现在最大的泡沫就是QE,这些钱都搞到股市里来,而就业率,普通人收入没有增
长,这么大的泡泡你居然说没有
SP500
【在 r**s 的大作中提到】
: 2000-2002, there's tech bubble and 911
: 2007-2008, there's housing bubble and house securizing (can't think of the
: TERM),
: 2014-...., what we have today? Bond bubble? stock bubble? (Not likely, SP500
: ER are still relatively healthy?)
: We need some catalyzer(催化鸡)....
1950,现在最大的泡沫就是QE,这些钱都搞到股市里来,而就业率,普通人收入没有增
长,这么大的泡泡你居然说没有
SP500
【在 r**s 的大作中提到】
: 2000-2002, there's tech bubble and 911
: 2007-2008, there's housing bubble and house securizing (can't think of the
: TERM),
: 2014-...., what we have today? Bond bubble? stock bubble? (Not likely, SP500
: ER are still relatively healthy?)
: We need some catalyzer(催化鸡)....
Z*e
8 楼
Bubble theory I have heard:
Gold bubble, not relevant anymore .
Student loans bubble: maybe?
US Dollar bubble: not purely economic but world politics.
[发表自未名空间手机版 - m.mitbbs.com]
Gold bubble, not relevant anymore .
Student loans bubble: maybe?
US Dollar bubble: not purely economic but world politics.
[发表自未名空间手机版 - m.mitbbs.com]
s*i
11 楼
correction没啥可怕的,都是V字形,就算买到最高点,几年也就出水了。
d*d
14 楼
Shiller P/E > 25 now
http://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe/
http://www.gurufocus.com/shiller-PE.php
【在 r**s 的大作中提到】
:
: Can you give the source of SP500 p/e is 19.2? Normal is between 12-14, I
: think.
http://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe/
http://www.gurufocus.com/shiller-PE.php
【在 r**s 的大作中提到】
:
: Can you give the source of SP500 p/e is 19.2? Normal is between 12-14, I
: think.
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