苏珊米勒2012年4月摩羯运势 (tipsy译)# astrology - 星座物语
l*o
1 楼
转来的。正确与否,我也不知道。概不负责啊。
Demand data numbers are low because demand data numbers only include
adjudicated cases. USCIS goes through pre-adjudication, review and finally
adjudicate the cases. The demand data will only show the applicants which
are already adjudicated (sent all their documents to USCIS, FP done,
Medicals done, have undergone security clearance, background checks have
been completed, RFEs have been responded to etc. etc.). Basically, those
applicants are the one who are just ready to be assigned a visa number and
given green card.
Typically, it takes on average 4-6 months for USCIS to adjudicate the cases.
If for some reason, the applicant gets an RFE or there is some problem with
security clearance, than expect it to be even longer than that. For an
example, a person who has sent the application to USCIS in June 2011 will be
expected to get adjudicated in December 2011 if everything goes smooth. If
that person is adjudicated than he will show up in the demand data.
Now, we know that there will be many people (probably in thousands) who
filed their applications in October, November and December 2011 and sent it
to USCIS. These people will not show up in the demand data because they are
not adjudicated yet and it simply means that even though they may have sent
all their documents, USCIS is still working on their applications.
In February, when March VB will come out, it will be about 5 months for
people who filed in October and the demand data released for March VB should
show us a higher demand provided the demand destruction is not huge. Demand
Data released in March for April VB should show us even higher demand again
provided the demand destruction is not huge.
Now, the demand destruction can be due to multiple things. People changing
jobs and filing the PERM again (not porting but starting the entire process
again), people getting laid off and going back home, people abandoning their
GC process because of frustration, people going back home due to better
opportunities, multiple PERMs like husband and wife both have PERMs filed,
people updating to EB1, people getting married to EB2ROW candidates, GC
holders, US citizens etc. No body knows what is the demand destruction right
now.
Demand is low in the demand data as expected. I think demand data for next
month and the month after will give us a clear picture. Also I-485 inventory
once released will make it even clearer. In my opinion, this month's VB
movement will be at Mr. CO's discretion and if the demand destruction is not
huge than retrogression is imminent from next VB. If the demand destruction
is moderate than the dates may stall for the rest of the FY2012 starting
from next few months. Only if the demand destruction is of mammoth size,
than the dates will continue to move forward. I hope the third scenario is
true.
Demand data numbers are low because demand data numbers only include
adjudicated cases. USCIS goes through pre-adjudication, review and finally
adjudicate the cases. The demand data will only show the applicants which
are already adjudicated (sent all their documents to USCIS, FP done,
Medicals done, have undergone security clearance, background checks have
been completed, RFEs have been responded to etc. etc.). Basically, those
applicants are the one who are just ready to be assigned a visa number and
given green card.
Typically, it takes on average 4-6 months for USCIS to adjudicate the cases.
If for some reason, the applicant gets an RFE or there is some problem with
security clearance, than expect it to be even longer than that. For an
example, a person who has sent the application to USCIS in June 2011 will be
expected to get adjudicated in December 2011 if everything goes smooth. If
that person is adjudicated than he will show up in the demand data.
Now, we know that there will be many people (probably in thousands) who
filed their applications in October, November and December 2011 and sent it
to USCIS. These people will not show up in the demand data because they are
not adjudicated yet and it simply means that even though they may have sent
all their documents, USCIS is still working on their applications.
In February, when March VB will come out, it will be about 5 months for
people who filed in October and the demand data released for March VB should
show us a higher demand provided the demand destruction is not huge. Demand
Data released in March for April VB should show us even higher demand again
provided the demand destruction is not huge.
Now, the demand destruction can be due to multiple things. People changing
jobs and filing the PERM again (not porting but starting the entire process
again), people getting laid off and going back home, people abandoning their
GC process because of frustration, people going back home due to better
opportunities, multiple PERMs like husband and wife both have PERMs filed,
people updating to EB1, people getting married to EB2ROW candidates, GC
holders, US citizens etc. No body knows what is the demand destruction right
now.
Demand is low in the demand data as expected. I think demand data for next
month and the month after will give us a clear picture. Also I-485 inventory
once released will make it even clearer. In my opinion, this month's VB
movement will be at Mr. CO's discretion and if the demand destruction is not
huge than retrogression is imminent from next VB. If the demand destruction
is moderate than the dates may stall for the rest of the FY2012 starting
from next few months. Only if the demand destruction is of mammoth size,
than the dates will continue to move forward. I hope the third scenario is
true.