L*1
5 楼
各进一个月!
m*g
7 楼
s*c
8 楼
下个月eb2,4个礼拜。eb3停止不动,或前进一个月。
n*e
9 楼
cut-off-date mm-year
15-SEP-2008 10/2013
08-OCT-2008 11/2013
08-NOV-2008 12/2013
12/08/2008 01/2014
01/08/2009 02/2014
02/15/2009 03/2014
03/08/2009 04/2014(coming soon)
04/15/2009 05/2014(expected)
05/15/2009 06/2014(expected)
06/15/2009 07/2014(expected)
07/15/2009 08/2014(expected)
08/15/2009 09/2014(expected)
09/15/2009 10/2014(expected)
...
early 2015 is expected to be a good year for EB2er
【在 m******g 的大作中提到】
: 那他的意思是就是9月的排期就是到9月?
: 然后10月大步前进?
:
: fiscal
15-SEP-2008 10/2013
08-OCT-2008 11/2013
08-NOV-2008 12/2013
12/08/2008 01/2014
01/08/2009 02/2014
02/15/2009 03/2014
03/08/2009 04/2014(coming soon)
04/15/2009 05/2014(expected)
05/15/2009 06/2014(expected)
06/15/2009 07/2014(expected)
07/15/2009 08/2014(expected)
08/15/2009 09/2014(expected)
09/15/2009 10/2014(expected)
...
early 2015 is expected to be a good year for EB2er
【在 m******g 的大作中提到】
: 那他的意思是就是9月的排期就是到9月?
: 然后10月大步前进?
:
: fiscal
c*i
10 楼
我看网上还有预测eb3挺进2013年的呢
s*3
11 楼
EB2 一个半月
EB3 两个月
EB3 两个月
f*i
12 楼
EB3 current
I*S
17 楼
blessing!
c*2
18 楼
保守估计
EB2:8APR2012
EB3:1NOV2012
个人觉得eb3 不会那么快就停滞不动
加油加油 大家有一天都会看到C的 哈哈
EB2:8APR2012
EB3:1NOV2012
个人觉得eb3 不会那么快就停滞不动
加油加油 大家有一天都会看到C的 哈哈
c*2
20 楼
恩是打错了 心里的都打出来了 哈哈
l*n
22 楼
那天出5月份的排期呢?
l*n
26 楼
EB3: 0-1 month。 0 month: 70% chance, 1 month: 30% chance
EB2: 5 weeks
EB2: 5 weeks
l*n
39 楼
我们目前正在催inventory data,希望最近两个礼拜能出。如果有了这个数据,对接下
来几个月的排期就有预测基础了。
来几个月的排期就有预测基础了。
x*a
42 楼
鉴于奥本已经知道降级的事情了,降低五月份排期预期。
eb2c,前进一个月
eb3c,U
eb2c,前进一个月
eb3c,U
j*p
48 楼
我觉着EB3 U的可能性很小啊,最多原地不动。绝对不会一下子就U了。
l*n
51 楼
希望前进一点,至少不能U!
尔弥陀佛,善哉善哉!
尔弥陀佛,善哉善哉!
c*2
53 楼
哇以为这个帖子沉下去了 lol
l*n
54 楼
不能沈,得挺到排期出来!
x*a
55 楼
不乐观,请看分析:
http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/eb3-visa-bulletin-predictions.
The update below is for EB3 ROW, Mexico and China.
1. Visa is typically allocated quarterly. Since we are more than 6 months
into fiscal year 2014, in theory, USCIS has already assigned 50% of total
quota of EB3 ROW. The quota for the EB3 category is around 40,000 visas.
Subtract around 2,800 for each country (India, China, etc). This leaves EB3
ROW, Mexico and China quota around 34,400.
If they have already allocated 50% of visas in last 6 months, we only have a
quota of around 17,000 visas for next 6 months.
Per the latest I-485 inventory, EB3 ROW already has over 15,000 pending
applications.
2. More importantly, this pending inventory is as of around January 3, 2014.
In December 2013 visa bulletin, EB3 ROW date was 01OCT11. Most people with
PD after that date would not appear in this latest I-485 pending inventory.
Dates for EB3 ROW in the April 2014 visa bulletin was 01OCT12. Thus
thousands of people with PD between 01OCT11 and 01OCT12 do not currently
appear in this pending inventory.
It is possible that the current demand (15,000 as per I-485 inventory) +
demand for applicant from 01OCT11 and 01OCT12 may be sufficient to meet the
remaining available quota of around 17,000. It also does not include
applicant (with PD before 01OCT11) who have not yet filed I-485 applications.
Per the earlier comments by Charles Oppenheim (head of visa office),
dependents account for 55% of total demand. Hence the actual demand may be
higher.
This would explain why they are slowing down (or stopping) further movement
of EB3 ROW, Mexico and China.
There is still possibility that they would move dates forward around July
2014 visa bulletin. We would have to wait for more updated data from USCIS/
DOS. Retrogression cannot be ruled out based on these numbers.
【在 x**********a 的大作中提到】
: 我个人估计both EB2 and EB3继续小幅前进一个月。。。
http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/eb3-visa-bulletin-predictions.
The update below is for EB3 ROW, Mexico and China.
1. Visa is typically allocated quarterly. Since we are more than 6 months
into fiscal year 2014, in theory, USCIS has already assigned 50% of total
quota of EB3 ROW. The quota for the EB3 category is around 40,000 visas.
Subtract around 2,800 for each country (India, China, etc). This leaves EB3
ROW, Mexico and China quota around 34,400.
If they have already allocated 50% of visas in last 6 months, we only have a
quota of around 17,000 visas for next 6 months.
Per the latest I-485 inventory, EB3 ROW already has over 15,000 pending
applications.
2. More importantly, this pending inventory is as of around January 3, 2014.
In December 2013 visa bulletin, EB3 ROW date was 01OCT11. Most people with
PD after that date would not appear in this latest I-485 pending inventory.
Dates for EB3 ROW in the April 2014 visa bulletin was 01OCT12. Thus
thousands of people with PD between 01OCT11 and 01OCT12 do not currently
appear in this pending inventory.
It is possible that the current demand (15,000 as per I-485 inventory) +
demand for applicant from 01OCT11 and 01OCT12 may be sufficient to meet the
remaining available quota of around 17,000. It also does not include
applicant (with PD before 01OCT11) who have not yet filed I-485 applications.
Per the earlier comments by Charles Oppenheim (head of visa office),
dependents account for 55% of total demand. Hence the actual demand may be
higher.
This would explain why they are slowing down (or stopping) further movement
of EB3 ROW, Mexico and China.
There is still possibility that they would move dates forward around July
2014 visa bulletin. We would have to wait for more updated data from USCIS/
DOS. Retrogression cannot be ruled out based on these numbers.
【在 x**********a 的大作中提到】
: 我个人估计both EB2 and EB3继续小幅前进一个月。。。
x*a
56 楼
VisaJourney预测EB3C到2013-01-20。
c*g
61 楼
什么时候出排期啊?我盼前进
L*8
62 楼
我预测3类停止不动,2类前进至少2个月。
G*n
63 楼
EB3前进1个月,EB2前进一个月。
x*a
64 楼
昨晚做梦了,EB3前进半年。
c*g
68 楼
为啥还是up coming?
x*a
70 楼
这个网站说EB3还要继续前进:
http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2014/04/may-2014-demand-data.html
http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2014/04/may-2014-demand-data.html
m*s
71 楼
EB3肯定全世界一起前进,except 老印。
EB2估计会鬼速 1 or 2但是不会停滞。
现实点而,不可能EB3比世界其他国家还快的。
【在 x**********a 的大作中提到】
: 这个网站说EB3还要继续前进:
: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2014/04/may-2014-demand-data.html
EB2估计会鬼速 1 or 2但是不会停滞。
现实点而,不可能EB3比世界其他国家还快的。
【在 x**********a 的大作中提到】
: 这个网站说EB3还要继续前进:
: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2014/04/may-2014-demand-data.html
c*2
73 楼
eb3 前进2个月吧!!!!!。。。
【在 x**********a 的大作中提到】
: 这个网站说EB3还要继续前进:
: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2014/04/may-2014-demand-data.html
x*a
75 楼
不知为啥,一种强烈的预感,10/15/2012 EB3C!
x*a
81 楼
这些说法靠谱么?
http://www.trackitt.com/uk-discussion-forums/i485-eb/1403785491
It's impossible to predict EB3-ROW cut-off dates because Department of State
could do so many things to it:
(1) hold EB3-ROW cut-off dates so that some of the visa numbers can be used
to clear some EB3 India backlogs, such as what happened in FY2013 when EB3
India received over 5,000 more visa numbers than the annual limit.
(2) advance it to current and assign visa numbers until suddenly there is no
visa numbers, then issue an internal memo to ask USCIS to stop card
production for EB3-ROW.
(3) move it slowly as what had happened before May 2013.
http://www.trackitt.com/uk-discussion-forums/i485-eb/1403785491
It's impossible to predict EB3-ROW cut-off dates because Department of State
could do so many things to it:
(1) hold EB3-ROW cut-off dates so that some of the visa numbers can be used
to clear some EB3 India backlogs, such as what happened in FY2013 when EB3
India received over 5,000 more visa numbers than the annual limit.
(2) advance it to current and assign visa numbers until suddenly there is no
visa numbers, then issue an internal memo to ask USCIS to stop card
production for EB3-ROW.
(3) move it slowly as what had happened before May 2013.
l*n
82 楼
这些说法总结起来就是: 不退。
你觉得100%正确吗?
State
used
no
【在 x**********a 的大作中提到】
: 这些说法靠谱么?
: http://www.trackitt.com/uk-discussion-forums/i485-eb/1403785491
: It's impossible to predict EB3-ROW cut-off dates because Department of State
: could do so many things to it:
: (1) hold EB3-ROW cut-off dates so that some of the visa numbers can be used
: to clear some EB3 India backlogs, such as what happened in FY2013 when EB3
: India received over 5,000 more visa numbers than the annual limit.
: (2) advance it to current and assign visa numbers until suddenly there is no
: visa numbers, then issue an internal memo to ask USCIS to stop card
: production for EB3-ROW.
你觉得100%正确吗?
State
used
no
【在 x**********a 的大作中提到】
: 这些说法靠谱么?
: http://www.trackitt.com/uk-discussion-forums/i485-eb/1403785491
: It's impossible to predict EB3-ROW cut-off dates because Department of State
: could do so many things to it:
: (1) hold EB3-ROW cut-off dates so that some of the visa numbers can be used
: to clear some EB3 India backlogs, such as what happened in FY2013 when EB3
: India received over 5,000 more visa numbers than the annual limit.
: (2) advance it to current and assign visa numbers until suddenly there is no
: visa numbers, then issue an internal memo to ask USCIS to stop card
: production for EB3-ROW.
l*n
85 楼
谁又办法找到EB3 ROW的人不?
可以以其名义发起petition(不需要他写petition,我们可以提供模板!!!),抗议
去年EB3 人为卡死ROW,让烙印白捞几千个名额?
http://www.mitbbs.com/article/EB23/32039685_0.html
可以以其名义发起petition(不需要他写petition,我们可以提供模板!!!),抗议
去年EB3 人为卡死ROW,让烙印白捞几千个名额?
http://www.mitbbs.com/article/EB23/32039685_0.html
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