50% chance.
The playout could be: economy start recover, say two years from now, CPI
start to pickup with commodity owing to excessive liquidity pumped recently,
then long-term bond start crash (obvious inflation always crash bonds),
yield of bond rise (worse, skyrocket), morgate rate rising push housing
price further down. I do not believe house market will recover in any shape
before economy get way pass recover. People are always back-wards looking:
after many rounds of layoff, people will be