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两种基本无用的TA方法

两种基本无用的TA方法# Stock

p*p2007-11-09 08:11

1 楼

candlestick pattern and elliot five wave theory
candlestick pattern:
TA need 5 elements, open, close, high,low and volume, for future, one more element, open interest.
How many elements are used to identify candlestick pattern? only open, close, high,low.
How many previous bars are identify candlestick pattern? most of time, 3-4 bars.
What accuracy can you expect on candlestick pattern based on so limited info?
I have the 2 candlestick pattern DVD seminar set by steve nisons that I bought at $70

w*s2007-11-09 08:11

2 楼

刚想研究下蜡烛图。。

element, open interest.
close, high,low.
bars.
info?
bought at $700 and candlestick toolbox for metastock.
metastock. I am very disappointed. The accuracy for various continuous and
reverse pattern ranges from 42-54%, depends on instruments, slightly better
than flipping coins. So I don't nee:

【在 p*p 的大作中提到】

: candlestick pattern and elliot five wave theory
: candlestick pattern:
: TA need 5 elements, open, close, high,low and volume, for future, one more element, open interest.
: How many elements are used to identify candlestick pattern? only open, close, high,low.
: How many previous bars are identify candlestick pattern? most of time, 3-4 bars.
: What accuracy can you expect on candlestick pattern based on so limited info?
: I have the 2 candlestick pattern DVD seminar set by steve nisons that I bought at $70

g*u2007-11-09 08:11

3 楼

PSP是很洒脱的人!

a*e2007-11-09 08:11

4 楼

I have a statistics by someone on
hundreds stocks on 20 or so candlestick patterns.
He used EOD, and based on what I said,
given patterns, most following probabilities of up/down
for the following day is more or less 4x - 5x.
But it really depends on how you read those, I think an
exit plan is more important in many cases. Counting
following up/down ain't exact way to evaluate it.
As of intraday trading, I found candlestick patterns are
pretty effective.
At least, you don't have to use it as a leading indicator, it
could be a good filter candidate.
I disagree it's useless. Regarding five wave theory,
it's too subjective, so it's hard to prove it's useless
or useful.

better

【在 w******s 的大作中提到】

: 刚想研究下蜡烛图。。
:
: element, open interest.
: close, high,low.
: bars.
: info?
: bought at $700 and candlestick toolbox for metastock.
: metastock. I am very disappointed. The accuracy for various continuous and
: reverse pattern ranges from 42-54%, depends on instruments, slightly better
: than flipping coins. So I don't nee: