利率不涨，美国完了， - 未名空间MITBBS历史存档

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利率不涨，美国完了，

利率不涨，美国完了，# Stock

y*w2010-05-19 07:05

1 楼

“the Fed will not start raising interest rates until late next year and it'
s possible the first Fed rate hikes will not occur until 2012.”
事实证明，只有适当的高利率才能促进经济长期增长，才有可能促进高效率的企业出现
，才能促进企业努力发展技术来提高生产率。一旦陷入低利率的陷阱，就会温水煮青蛙
，企业借了钱后也会不思进取，反正还不还钱也一样，因而国家一步步走向死亡，

f*t2010-05-19 07:05

2 楼

it dare not to raise rates, if raise rates now, the economy will be crashed.

it'

【在 y*******w 的大作中提到】

: “the Fed will not start raising interest rates until late next year and it'
: s possible the first Fed rate hikes will not occur until 2012.”
: 事实证明，只有适当的高利率才能促进经济长期增长，才有可能促进高效率的企业出现
: ，才能促进企业努力发展技术来提高生产率。一旦陷入低利率的陷阱，就会温水煮青蛙
: ，企业借了钱后也会不思进取，反正还不还钱也一样，因而国家一步步走向死亡，

y*w2010-05-19 07:05

3 楼

How do you know it will crash? It's like 2 years ago people say if they don
't intervene, there would be a depression. In fact, if comparing the
fundamentals, there is no way for a great depression.
Crash is way better than die slowly. People always talk about depression.
Actually US almost lost nothing in the depression in the real term. It was
said the depression didn't stop until WW2, but US is by far the strongest
country when entering the WW2.

crashed.

【在 f*******t 的大作中提到】

: it dare not to raise rates, if raise rates now, the economy will be crashed.
:
: it'

f*t2010-05-19 07:05

4 楼

I totally agree with you "Crash is way better than die slowly".
If they just let the failed company/institutions bankruptcy,that would be
idea for free marketologiest.
however, it can not do that because of political reasons, and that is why
they have to save lot of trash companies and lend them money to let them
dying slowly.

don

was

【在 y*******w 的大作中提到】

: How do you know it will crash? It's like 2 years ago people say if they don
: 't intervene, there would be a depression. In fact, if comparing the
: fundamentals, there is no way for a great depression.
: Crash is way better than die slowly. People always talk about depression.
: Actually US almost lost nothing in the depression in the real term. It was
: said the depression didn't stop until WW2, but US is by far the strongest
: country when entering the WW2.
:
: crashed.

y*w2010-05-19 07:05

5 楼

That's why I say US is doomed. They are not able to get rid of the trash
companies, and they have to support the superficial "economy" by zero-
interest rate, which annihilates innovations.

【在 f*******t 的大作中提到】

: I totally agree with you "Crash is way better than die slowly".
: If they just let the failed company/institutions bankruptcy,that would be
: idea for free marketologiest.
: however, it can not do that because of political reasons, and that is why
: they have to save lot of trash companies and lend them money to let them
: dying slowly.
:
: don
:
: was

g*l2010-05-19 07:05

6 楼

YOUYELLOW同学是准备回国的吧，怎么对美国的经济不太熟的样子啊，LOL

W*t2010-05-19 07:05

7 楼

两个字: 通缩

l*i2010-05-19 07:05

8 楼

关键问题是政客们口口声声用钱冲大水赢得时间，然后改革，但往往是好了疮疤忘了痛
，最后永远不了了之，问题就越来越大，尤其在没有第二个国家能够竞争的话，

【在 y*******w 的大作中提到】

: That's why I say US is doomed. They are not able to get rid of the trash
: companies, and they have to support the superficial "economy" by zero-
: interest rate, which annihilates innovations.

l*i2010-05-19 07:05

9 楼

就像高声这样0 cost从fed 拿钱，然后股市上呼风唤雨的赚，再提什么创新岂不是要
被人笑话， steve jobs可能都后悔自己当初没进高声

【在 y*******w 的大作中提到】

: That's why I say US is doomed. They are not able to get rid of the trash
: companies, and they have to support the superficial "economy" by zero-
: interest rate, which annihilates innovations.