最新2011年10月20日的 SINA 分析和对策# Stock
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最新2011年10月20日的 SINA 分析和对策如下:
2011年10月20日的最新数据：
SINA, 20111020, 83.1100, 3.1594, 3.8
这意味 SINA 短期已储备上升 3.16 的潜力。
先推算 SINA 短期下跌的谷底价的理论极限：
根据不久前的谷底极限，即 17.9%
17.9 - 3.8 = 14.1%
83.11 X (1-0.141) = 71.39
这 71.39 是理论的谷底极限，不代表一定会跌到。
现在推算 SINA 的短期高峰极限：
根据不久前的高峰价极限，即 -16.9%
3.8 + 16.9 = 20.7%
83.11 X 1.207 = 100.31
这 100.31 是 SINA 的未来短期高峰极限。
所以 SINA 短期的上下，在 100.31 和 71.39 之间。
由于这是理论极限，波动幅度往往是小于这两个限度。
如果万一 SINA 跌到接近 71.39，则大起的概率极高。
同理，如果万一 SINA 升到接近 100.31 则很可能大跌。
由于过去至少预测的百分比必需大于 6.4% 才有可能上升，
目前的 3.8% 可以说是基本还未达到了上升的 6.4% 阈值。
如果买进应该保存现金主力，准备万一接近 71.39 时加码。
因此结论即使现在买少许 SINA。也必须准备应付更低价。
可以用 DownTrend Line 帮助精准断定 SINA 的谷底价。
一旦 DownTrend Line 破，而价格又接近 71.39,即可再买。
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2011年10月20日的最新数据：
SINA, 20111020, 83.1100, 3.1594, 3.8
这意味 SINA 短期已储备上升 3.16 的潜力。
先推算 SINA 短期下跌的谷底价的理论极限：
根据不久前的谷底极限，即 17.9%
17.9 - 3.8 = 14.1%
83.11 X (1-0.141) = 71.39
这 71.39 是理论的谷底极限，不代表一定会跌到。
现在推算 SINA 的短期高峰极限：
根据不久前的高峰价极限，即 -16.9%
3.8 + 16.9 = 20.7%
83.11 X 1.207 = 100.31
这 100.31 是 SINA 的未来短期高峰极限。
所以 SINA 短期的上下，在 100.31 和 71.39 之间。
由于这是理论极限，波动幅度往往是小于这两个限度。
如果万一 SINA 跌到接近 71.39，则大起的概率极高。
同理，如果万一 SINA 升到接近 100.31 则很可能大跌。
由于过去至少预测的百分比必需大于 6.4% 才有可能上升，
目前的 3.8% 可以说是基本还未达到了上升的 6.4% 阈值。
如果买进应该保存现金主力，准备万一接近 71.39 时加码。
因此结论即使现在买少许 SINA。也必须准备应付更低价。
可以用 DownTrend Line 帮助精准断定 SINA 的谷底价。
一旦 DownTrend Line 破，而价格又接近 71.39,即可再买。
http://www.mitbbs.com/article/Stock/33923097_0.html
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http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/33920569.html
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