Redian新闻
>
What to buy if 2013 US economic will grow strongly
avatar
What to buy if 2013 US economic will grow strongly# Stock
p*r
1
If US economic will have good run(house price going up along with job market
recovery), so what to buy ? I would say 3 sectors,
Banks: My favorite is still C, next one is JPM.
Insurance: MET
Commodity: Oil related companies. BP and HES.
Most of my picks are undervalued, C, MET and JPM are below their tangible
book value. Use this web site to check their tangible book values. Just
replace C with your own stock symbol.
http://finapps.forbes.com/finapps/jsp/finance/compinfo/Ratios.jsp?tkr=C

Reason: If the US economic and job market recover, interest rate will go up.
Banks and insurance companies will be benefit from rate going higher. The
consumption for the commodities also will go up in the US. However, I am not
sure this will be the case in China in terms of raw material consumption.
However, oil will be an exception. More and more people in China and under
development countries will own cars, there will be more demand for oil.
Therefore, oil is the only commodity that I would go with. Both BP and HES
are undervalued compare to their peers.
May be home builders is another good sector to invest. However, their
valuation is not cheap comparing to the banks.
What are the other sectors will have good return in 2013 ?
avatar
a*t
2
我预测美国2013年的growth很低。growth来自欧洲,中国,日本以及南亚诸岛。
avatar
s*o
3
说GROWTH,但靠什么GROW?
一是房地产复苏,主要是房价复苏,
一是靠手机TABLET市场
房地产-》我压的是RDN
手机TAB-》我压的是QCOM INTEL
avatar
p*r
4

QCOM and INTEL are the hedge each other. INTEL may be bottomed short term,
but long term is risky due to more competition will be coming from ARM based
chip for server market.

【在 s**********o 的大作中提到】
: 说GROWTH,但靠什么GROW?
: 一是房地产复苏,主要是房价复苏,
: 一是靠手机TABLET市场
: 房地产-》我压的是RDN
: 手机TAB-》我压的是QCOM INTEL

avatar
s*o
5
INTEL买的就是BOTTOM UP啊

based

【在 p*********r 的大作中提到】
:
: QCOM and INTEL are the hedge each other. INTEL may be bottomed short term,
: but long term is risky due to more competition will be coming from ARM based
: chip for server market.

avatar
a*t
6
这么大的国家靠平板电脑复苏,大哥?
回到基本的GDP公式:
GDP = private consumption + gross investment + government spending + (
exports − imports)

【在 s**********o 的大作中提到】
: 说GROWTH,但靠什么GROW?
: 一是房地产复苏,主要是房价复苏,
: 一是靠手机TABLET市场
: 房地产-》我压的是RDN
: 手机TAB-》我压的是QCOM INTEL

avatar
p*r
7

If this is the case C will be doing well because its international exposure.
The rumors on the street that C made big money from Greece
bonds along with some other hedge funds. That's why GS sent out notices to
its clients to bet on C's earning.

【在 a********t 的大作中提到】
: 我预测美国2013年的growth很低。growth来自欧洲,中国,日本以及南亚诸岛。
avatar
p*r
8

That's good to know. I probably will consider CVX or COP. However, they are
just too expensive in terms of valuation.
相关阅读
logo
联系我们隐私协议©2024 redian.news
Redian新闻
Redian.news刊载任何文章,不代表同意其说法或描述,仅为提供更多信息,也不构成任何建议。文章信息的合法性及真实性由其作者负责,与Redian.news及其运营公司无关。欢迎投稿,如发现稿件侵权,或作者不愿在本网发表文章,请版权拥有者通知本网处理。