It's a bad idea to bet ER by selling put - 未名空间MITBBS历史存档

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It's a bad idea to bet ER by selling put

It's a bad idea to bet ER by selling put# Stock

T*u2014-08-08 07:08

1 楼

I sold SCTY 67.5 Aug 16 put for 1.5. The put closed at 1.19 yesterday, and
today open at 1.28 while SCTY was going up. What's wrong with these traders?

t*l2014-08-08 07:08

2 楼

当然，我也发现了，获利最高点其实在after hour，scty盘后几乎冲到80，
现在trader都狡猾的很，不可能让option轻松获利，很多都在AH交易完毕。
所以用option即使把ER赌对了，也可能一样不能获利。不过，这个和大盘整体看跌
也有关系。
另外scty自己也有很多硬伤。用户double，但是亏损也double。他的cost政府补贴
cover了30%~40%的成本。这个federal tax大概在2016年底过期，他目前抓紧买厂子，
但是即便到了2017年也不可能减低40%的成本。所以未来并不那么乐观。

s*d2014-08-08 07:08

3 楼

昨天就说了，er前insider sell不是好事情。当然股票是好股票，短线ta好股，均线波
浪利润好模板。

b*52014-08-08 07:08

4 楼

what's wrong with u? how about obtain some basic knowledge of options first?

traders?

【在 T******u 的大作中提到】

: I sold SCTY 67.5 Aug 16 put for 1.5. The put closed at 1.19 yesterday, and
: today open at 1.28 while SCTY was going up. What's wrong with these traders?

T*u2014-08-08 07:08

5 楼

It's abnormal for somebody to buy at higher price after the IV drop from ER,
especially when SCTY was trading 3 dollar higher. Actually I was able to
close the put position at $0.3. For the first half hour, the put was traded
around 0.3-0.5. So I think I have the basic knowledge of option.