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下周一早上醒来最希望看到的
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下周一早上醒来最希望看到的# Stock
T*R
1
就是希腊国会第三轮选举难产。
希腊时间比美国早8个小时。不知道国会投票是白天还是晚上。这个计票不花时间。
白天的话,早上开盘时就知道消息。晚上的话,要到下午收盘才能知道了。
执政党现在有168票,还差12票。现在贿赂谣言很多。一票300万欧元。想想也值,万一
左派上台,欧盟就是几千亿的可能损失了。
Samaras appeals to MPs ahead of third vote as early elections loom
In an eleventh-hour effort to bolster the government’s candidate in a
crucial presidential vote Monday that is likely to spark early general
elections, Prime Minister Antonis Samaras made an appeal to undecided
lawmakers over the weekend, saying snap polls would lead to “pointless
upheaval” for the country.
In an interview with state TV NERIT which aired on Saturday evening, Samaras
prodded MPs. Refusing to elect a president would be tantamount to “
political blackmail,” Samaras said, adding that those who vote “present”
in Monday’s ballot at noon would be “burdened with the responsibility”
and would be “remembered by the people and chiefly by history.”
Citing a narrowing of leftist SYRIZA's lead over New Democracy in opinion
polls, Samaras said that early elections “suit me” but he would rather “
lead the ship safely to harbor.”
He lashed out against SYRIZA for pushing for snap polls, saying most
citizens did not want elections, and warning of “fatal perils” that the
path of snap polls could bring amid eurozone jitters. Samaras accused SYRIZA
of “foolish bravado,” adding that the party’s alternative economic
program was full of “unilateral moves.”
The premier said authorities have “sweat blood” in recent years to keep
Greece on its feet and warned against years of sacrifices being lost.
He repeated his calls for a consensus on the president, negotiations on
Greece’s debt and early elections at the end of 2015.
Despite government efforts, the 180-vote minimum required to endorse Dimas,
and put off snap polls, appeared out of reach over the weekend.
With early elections looming, political parties are preparing campaigns and
candidate lists. PASOK in particular is in upheaval as former party leader
and ex-Premier George Papandreou is expected to announce a new party next
week.
Samaras’s appeal came as SYRIZA insists it will seek to renegotiate the
terms of Greece’s bailouts as well as a writedown of the country’s debt.
In an article in the party’s mouthpiece Avgi to be published Sunday,
Tsipras indicates that SYRIZA would not negotiate its economic program with
creditors. “SYRIZA’s national effort will have international repercussions
as our historic responsibility is to open the way for an alternative policy
in Europe, transforming a eurozone country from the subject of a
neoliberalist experiment to a model for social protection and growth,” he
said. In a separate interview in the Efimerida ton Syntakton newspaper,
SYRIZA MP Giorgos Stathakis said the leftists, if elected to power, would
seek “a comprehensive renegotiation of the debt, without unilateral action.”
SYRIZA’s intentions appeared to be rejected out of hand by German Finance
Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble, who told Saturday’s Bild newspaper that any
Greek government would have to honor existing agreements. “New elections
won’t change anything about Greece’s debts,” he said. “Any new
government must abide by the legal agreements of its predecessors.”
Schaeuble said he would support Greece on its “path of hard reforms” but
that “it will be difficult” if Athens chooses another road.
avatar
u*r
2
请问选举难产的话是不是欧元会跌,美元会涨啊?
请问那还有什么别的影响么?
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T*R
3
黄金涨是肯定的。避险需要。
这两天,欧元已经跌到1.21,黄金周五开始涨就是因为这个。
希腊这么三番五次的耍赖,估计德国老百姓都不答应了。
上一次,把全世界的股市搞得一团糟。最后免除所有私人债务,政府债务打折。
这次,左派显然想免除所有债务。
最后很可能希腊被踢出欧元区。
如果是这样,短期美国股市肯定也要跌,但是,长期看,这显然是欧元完蛋的开始,是
美国的重大利好。这是未来几年继续大牛市的强心剂。因为欧元区还有几个国家也是类
似情况。
西方对希腊其实还有些其它办法。比如塞普路斯争端。尼玛欧洲说不定会挑动TURKEY找
事。

【在 u***r 的大作中提到】
: 请问选举难产的话是不是欧元会跌,美元会涨啊?
: 请问那还有什么别的影响么?

avatar
u*r
4
lihai!
多谢指点!!
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T*R
5
当然也可能是一个红脸一个白脸,向欧盟争取最大利益。政治不就是这样吗?
但是如果第三轮选举难产,至少一月二十五号重选前后股市会很动荡。
尼玛俺是打自己的小算盘,现在是重仓TVIX,这是我的愿望。谁知道选举结果是什么。
说不定执政党就赢了第三轮。那我的TVIX就要跌20%。
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T*R
6
还有一个比较重要的新闻,希腊这个事,可能掀起欧洲反油的高潮。
圣诞节前,希腊最大的犹太公墓被破坏。
avatar
m*o
7
我最希望的是赵本山被抓
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b*d
8
楼主这个敏锐的新闻直觉是怎么做到的?
是经常到各大新闻网站看还是有什么news feed之类的?
我经常后知后觉。。。

【在 T*R 的大作中提到】
: 就是希腊国会第三轮选举难产。
: 希腊时间比美国早8个小时。不知道国会投票是白天还是晚上。这个计票不花时间。
: 白天的话,早上开盘时就知道消息。晚上的话,要到下午收盘才能知道了。
: 执政党现在有168票,还差12票。现在贿赂谣言很多。一票300万欧元。想想也值,万一
: 左派上台,欧盟就是几千亿的可能损失了。
: Samaras appeals to MPs ahead of third vote as early elections loom
: In an eleventh-hour effort to bolster the government’s candidate in a
: crucial presidential vote Monday that is likely to spark early general
: elections, Prime Minister Antonis Samaras made an appeal to undecided
: lawmakers over the weekend, saying snap polls would lead to “pointless

avatar
T*R
9
老赵都这么老了,就放过他吧。
他毕竟也让我们开心过不少次,

【在 m********o 的大作中提到】
: 我最希望的是赵本山被抓
avatar
T*R
10
脸红ING。
这个新闻是我自己找的。
但是希腊选举第二轮难产的路透社新闻三,四天挂在所有财经网站的前三条。
但是,美国媒体故意压着这个新闻不放大。和上一次完全不同。就和油一样。需要的时
候就说油价低会损害经济,过一段又说油价低对经济好。
虽然现在美国媒体压制希腊大选新闻,毕竟这是欧洲最大的事。德国昨天公开警告希腊。
如果万一选举难产,那欧洲会有很大震荡,那个时候美国也不可能独善其身。虽然长期
是重大利好。
我这个新闻,是从希腊媒体的英文网站找到的。
里面最关键就是这句话:
Despite government efforts, the 180-vote minimum required to endorse Dimas,
and put off snap polls, appeared out of reach over the weekend.

【在 b*d 的大作中提到】
: 楼主这个敏锐的新闻直觉是怎么做到的?
: 是经常到各大新闻网站看还是有什么news feed之类的?
: 我经常后知后觉。。。

avatar
T*R
11
包括希腊最大犹太公墓被破坏的消息,美国媒体都不怎么报道。这在以前是很难想象的。
很显然是有人故意压制着消息。
avatar
l*m
12
主力控盘手段,媒体是他们的工具

的。

【在 T*R 的大作中提到】
: 包括希腊最大犹太公墓被破坏的消息,美国媒体都不怎么报道。这在以前是很难想象的。
: 很显然是有人故意压制着消息。

avatar
T*R
13
其实新闻对做长线的不是那么重要。
主要还是短线的影响。
但是,如果希腊面临重新洗牌,欧元区面临分裂危险,美国不表示一下也是不可能的。
所以选前可以不报道。但是,结果出来了,大盘肯定还是要红一下的,
如果大盘继续北上,那就太不给欧洲小兄弟面子了。

【在 l*********m 的大作中提到】
: 主力控盘手段,媒体是他们的工具
:
: 的。

avatar
u*r
14
wow,这媒体和庄稼的控制,真是让人不寒而栗啊
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