2016-06-01 U.S. market analysis (转载) - 未名空间MITBBS历史存档

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2016-06-01 U.S. market analysis (转载)

2016-06-01 U.S. market analysis (转载)# Stock

s*82016-06-01 07:06

1 楼

如题

u*e2016-06-01 07:06

2 楼

【以下文字转载自 HFTClub 俱乐部】
发信人: updownlife (船长_updownlife), 信区: HFTClub
标题: 2016-06-01 U.S. market analysis
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jun 1 09:55:21 2016, 美东)
2016-06-01
A lot of PMI data overnight:
* China's May Manufacturing PMI 50.1 (consensus 50.0; last 50.1), May Non-
Manufacturing PMI 53.1 (last 50.0), and May Caixin Manufacturing PMI 49.2 (
expected 49.3; last 49.4)
* Japan's May Manufacturing PMI 47.7 (consensus 47.6; last 47.6)
* Germany's May Manufacturing PMI 52.1 (consensus 52.4; last 52.4)
* Eurozone May Manufacturing PMI 51.5, as expected (previous 51.5)
U.S. will report manufacturing PMI at 10am today.
ECB will release policy statement tomorrow morning.
Equity indices in Europe and Asia traded mostly lower. Germany's DAX is
lower by 0.9%.
The near 50 PMI data is a reality check to the market. On the first day of
the new month ( and the last month of the quarter), the market has to
evaluate the low growth reality in this "STIMULATED" monetary policy
environment.
The potential three risks of the market for the months are:
(1) Whether there is enough economic growth to sustain the coming Fed rate
hike in this month ( or next month) .
(2) Breixt headline risk
(3) Chinese economic slow down headline risk
The U.S. market is expected to continue to go lower today and possible to
have a decent pullback in this month.

b*r2016-06-01 07:06

3 楼

nice

o*l2016-06-01 07:06

4 楼

这是summer analyst 写capital market commentary的水准。

【在 u********e 的大作中提到】

: 【以下文字转载自 HFTClub 俱乐部】
: 发信人: updownlife (船长_updownlife), 信区: HFTClub
: 标题: 2016-06-01 U.S. market analysis
: 发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jun 1 09:55:21 2016, 美东)
: 2016-06-01
: A lot of PMI data overnight:
: * China's May Manufacturing PMI 50.1 (consensus 50.0; last 50.1), May Non-
: Manufacturing PMI 53.1 (last 50.0), and May Caixin Manufacturing PMI 49.2 (
: expected 49.3; last 49.4)
: * Japan's May Manufacturing PMI 47.7 (consensus 47.6; last 47.6)

s*a2016-06-01 07:06

5 楼

PMI 是什么？

【在 u********e 的大作中提到】

u*e2016-06-01 07:06

6 楼

Thx

【在 o*********l 的大作中提到】

: 这是summer analyst 写capital market commentary的水准。

u*e2016-06-01 07:06

7 楼

Just reported, U.S.'s May Manufacturing PMI 51.3 ( consensus 50.5, last 50.8
)
美国一只独秀

【在 u********e 的大作中提到】

: Thx

b*r2016-06-01 07:06

8 楼

Chance of a June rate hike goes higher again?
[在 updownlife (船长_updownlife) 的大作中提到：]
:Just reported, U.S.'s May Manufacturing PMI 51.3 ( consensus 50.5, last
50.8)
:美国一只独秀

u*e2016-06-01 07:06

9 楼

Actually not, now market expected to see July rate hike, not June rate hike

【在 b******r 的大作中提到】

: Chance of a June rate hike goes higher again?
: [在 updownlife (船长_updownlife) 的大作中提到：]
: :Just reported, U.S.'s May Manufacturing PMI 51.3 ( consensus 50.5, last
: 50.8)
: :美国一只独秀

u*e2016-06-01 07:06

10 楼

So maybe June would turned out to be NOT as bad as bears were hoping

hike

【在 u********e 的大作中提到】

: Actually not, now market expected to see July rate hike, not June rate hike

u*e2016-06-01 07:06

11 楼

Purchasing Managers Index
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pmi.asp

【在 s****a 的大作中提到】

: PMI 是什么？

b*r2016-06-01 07:06

12 楼

I reduced some exposure to bearish positions. But still way too easy to sell
puts at the moment.
[在 updownlife (船长_updownlife) 的大作中提到：]
:Actually not, now market expected to see July rate hike, not June rate hike