华尔街没有说出口的下一轮灾难：default peak of the Alt-A
ZT内容：
Here's a chart from Credit Suisse
“It could happen sooner when loan-to-value triggers the recast. But if the govt buys them all, then all previous predictions are off. No one knows what the new terms may be.”
“3 to 5 year from 2006 (so 2009 to 2011) ”
“3 to 5 year from 2006 (so 2009 to 2011) ”
Here's a chart from Credit Suisse
And poop continues to hit the fan....All the way into 2011. These are just the resets, but I suppose the failures of the individual mortgages can be extrapolated from that data.
Are we having fun yet? Hell, it hasn't even really started in earnest.
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来源: 文学城-笨企鹅