Every yr, the famous Byron Wien writes about 10 surprises that he predict to happen. Meanwhile, Doug Kass, a hedge fund manager who shorts stocks, does the same thing. Their predictions do not limit to market, but cover politics also. One is not to take their predictions seriously. But I do enjoy reading them very much, whether they are right or wrong. This yr, Wien got it so wrong. For example, he predicted Iran gains nuclear capability; SP500 decline below 1300; Crude falls to $70 while gold rises to 1900; see here http://www.businessinsider.com/byron-wiens-10-surprises-for-201 Kass did no better . He predicted that the 10yr remains range bound btw 1.5- 2; he was as bearish about XLF as Wien; he also predicted a black swan event that moves market. However he predicted the discovery of signs of life on Mars. Latest issue of Science just published a series of papers showing just that, sort of.http://mars.jpl.nasa.gov/msl/mission/science/researchpapers/ http://www.thestreet.com/story/11805510/1/doug-kass-15-surprise To be fair, both of them did much better the previous year. I can't wait to read their predictions for 2014.