Jurkat T cell转染求助# Biology - 生物学
e*2
1 楼
I never tried to predict a VB but, as a freshman here, I did do some
homework to try to understand VB and its trend.
With that being said, the next VB is doomed meaningful, especially for those
PDs in the second half of 2008 (calendar year) and later, as this VB, after
6.5 months' leap forward, should give us some decision power to keep
looking forward or simply turn away from this website before coming back in
FY2013 (October 2012).
Those who previously predicted VB movements probably have to rework their
posts one way or the other, in a "significant" way, based on this VB.
Talking about FY2008, there are 11 more months to go through it (from
01NOV07 to 30SEPT08). Assuming the average I-485 inflow is 2k/mo. then there
would be 22k (2k x 11) NEW visa demands by the end of September 2008. Of
course you can argue that there is a (much) smaller inflow for EB2C since
the middle of 2008 but remember that I took "the average" for the simplicity
of calculation.
It seems to me that SOFAD is a better argument than any other data available
, including PERM and monthly demand data. The average SOFAD in past years is
out there and shall stay w/ a 10%+/- fluctuation range/rate. I wish you
agree; if not, your inputs are welcome.
Not sure if FY2012's SOFAD is big enough to cover that much (22k + PWMB +
inflow-of-two-recent-VBs). Again, assuming 2k/mo. inflow holds true then two
recent VBs would generate a demand of 13k AOS (2k x 6.5). Roughly for
FY2012 there would be a total demand of 35k. This figure would be very tricky for
a SOFAD to match as it probably have to stretch a little bit to reach that far, given FY2012's economy is still in the "bad" side. I would like to explore your thoughts.
Based on those PDs reportedly greened from this website I'm positive that
non-PWMB folks are pretty much done. I may missed some threads but the
latest greened PD I've ever heard was PD 13JUL07. (I noticed that there was
a person w/ PD 26JUL07 reported greened in October but his/her message holds
no accountability since that PD was not "current" yet by that time--I
considered that as a simple typo.)
Rocketsfan and Helsinki, including a few others, are on call. :p
Disclaimer: I'm a newbie here. Don't take my words seriously and don't make
your decision based on them, either. If you don't agree w/ what I said here,
at least you can leave in peace. If you would share your real thoughts w/
folks here I'm pretty sure you're welcome.
homework to try to understand VB and its trend.
With that being said, the next VB is doomed meaningful, especially for those
PDs in the second half of 2008 (calendar year) and later, as this VB, after
6.5 months' leap forward, should give us some decision power to keep
looking forward or simply turn away from this website before coming back in
FY2013 (October 2012).
Those who previously predicted VB movements probably have to rework their
posts one way or the other, in a "significant" way, based on this VB.
Talking about FY2008, there are 11 more months to go through it (from
01NOV07 to 30SEPT08). Assuming the average I-485 inflow is 2k/mo. then there
would be 22k (2k x 11) NEW visa demands by the end of September 2008. Of
course you can argue that there is a (much) smaller inflow for EB2C since
the middle of 2008 but remember that I took "the average" for the simplicity
of calculation.
It seems to me that SOFAD is a better argument than any other data available
, including PERM and monthly demand data. The average SOFAD in past years is
out there and shall stay w/ a 10%+/- fluctuation range/rate. I wish you
agree; if not, your inputs are welcome.
Not sure if FY2012's SOFAD is big enough to cover that much (22k + PWMB +
inflow-of-two-recent-VBs). Again, assuming 2k/mo. inflow holds true then two
recent VBs would generate a demand of 13k AOS (2k x 6.5). Roughly for
FY2012 there would be a total demand of 35k. This figure would be very tricky for
a SOFAD to match as it probably have to stretch a little bit to reach that far, given FY2012's economy is still in the "bad" side. I would like to explore your thoughts.
Based on those PDs reportedly greened from this website I'm positive that
non-PWMB folks are pretty much done. I may missed some threads but the
latest greened PD I've ever heard was PD 13JUL07. (I noticed that there was
a person w/ PD 26JUL07 reported greened in October but his/her message holds
no accountability since that PD was not "current" yet by that time--I
considered that as a simple typo.)
Rocketsfan and Helsinki, including a few others, are on call. :p
Disclaimer: I'm a newbie here. Don't take my words seriously and don't make
your decision based on them, either. If you don't agree w/ what I said here,
at least you can leave in peace. If you would share your real thoughts w/
folks here I'm pretty sure you're welcome.
