f*4
2 楼
EB3 貌似比上次多了1万多人??
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/EmploymentDemandUsedForCutOffDa
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/EmploymentDemandUsedForCutOffDa
S*r
3 楼
8275个需求?
7000个名额过不了大潮啊
7000个名额过不了大潮啊
z*o
4 楼
so need 8,000 to clear da chao
N*r
5 楼
Nothing new on the up to date demand. It is always around 8.2K.
L*a
7 楼
Thanks.
We are getting very close now.
We are getting very close now.
s*n
17 楼
Eb2 DEMAND IN August was 10450
s*n
18 楼
C/I EB2 have consumed at least 25 K Spillover
e*9
22 楼
EB3C实批75人
w*l
23 楼
As I learned there are a couple of thousands of pwmb; there is one who
submitted 485 in Apr get approved; so it totally depends on whether uscis is
trying to get rid of those pwmb.
If there are >1000 so short, those >1000 may need three months to be covered
from the beginning of next fiscal year. Think about the amount of pwmb
cases can be preadjed during that time. So the 07 wave may need >6 months to
be cleared.
submitted
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: PWMB has minimum impact by far because not too many PWMB has been submitted
: and approved yet.
: Several PWMBs have been approved, but not a too big number.
submitted 485 in Apr get approved; so it totally depends on whether uscis is
trying to get rid of those pwmb.
If there are >1000 so short, those >1000 may need three months to be covered
from the beginning of next fiscal year. Think about the amount of pwmb
cases can be preadjed during that time. So the 07 wave may need >6 months to
be cleared.
submitted
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: PWMB has minimum impact by far because not too many PWMB has been submitted
: and approved yet.
: Several PWMBs have been approved, but not a too big number.
s*n
24 楼
Overall, there is around 10K PWMB before August 17th. I read this from a
lawyer's blog. I guess there are about 2-3K Chinese? Quite a few friends with PD April 07 missed the boat.
Not sure how many have submitted though.
lawyer's blog. I guess there are about 2-3K Chinese? Quite a few friends with PD April 07 missed the boat.
Not sure how many have submitted though.
m*r
26 楼
If this is true, it may take whole year to clear 07/07 mess. Hope next year
SO will be huge
with PD April 07 missed the boat.
【在 s******n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: Overall, there is around 10K PWMB before August 17th. I read this from a
: lawyer's blog. I guess there are about 2-3K Chinese? Quite a few friends with PD April 07 missed the boat.
: Not sure how many have submitted though.
SO will be huge
with PD April 07 missed the boat.
【在 s******n 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: Overall, there is around 10K PWMB before August 17th. I read this from a
: lawyer's blog. I guess there are about 2-3K Chinese? Quite a few friends with PD April 07 missed the boat.
: Not sure how many have submitted though.
S*W
28 楼
烙印EB3实批950人,老中EB3实批75人。太不正常了。
s*n
29 楼
Blog about EB2 C/I PWMB analysis:
http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/06/updated-green-car
http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/06/updated-green-car
N*r
30 楼
这么老的东西。。。
【在 s******n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: Blog about EB2 C/I PWMB analysis:
: http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/06/updated-green-car
【在 s******n 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: Blog about EB2 C/I PWMB analysis:
: http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/06/updated-green-car
N*r
32 楼
您要是08年的PD,未来6个月就能交 485.
d*n
33 楼
老音的EB3数字也忒吓人了,要是一放水,按这比例,我们不得被他们淹了。
w*l
34 楼
Seems not too bad:
EB2C PWMB:
2006-Oct 33
2007-Feb 58
2007-May 298
2007-Jul 485
2007-Aug 583
Situation is not so terrible for EB2C.
【在 s******n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: Blog about EB2 C/I PWMB analysis:
: http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/06/updated-green-car
EB2C PWMB:
2006-Oct 33
2007-Feb 58
2007-May 298
2007-Jul 485
2007-Aug 583
Situation is not so terrible for EB2C.
【在 s******n 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: Blog about EB2 C/I PWMB analysis:
: http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/06/updated-green-car
n*s
38 楼
So conclusion is....
w*l
48 楼
Maybe not that bad.
If, yes IF, the so is 7000, among the 1200, I would like to say that EB2C
may be only 20%, should not be that many, say 40%. These 240 cases have been
preadjed.
This month pd 4/2007, by the end of this month, suppose all EB2C prior to it
could submit 485, this may introduce ~350 new cases. A hundred or more
among these ~350 might have been submitted and some of them might have been
preadjed.
Suppose these ~350 all turn into actual demand within 3 months, then by end
of Nov, the total EB2C demand may be 350 + 240 = 600 (up to this number). After that, the pwmb will gradually turn into demand and will be cleared by quota of the following months.
To have actual demand available to consume the monthly quota after Dec,
USCIS might want all pwmb to submit their 485 by Sep at least, so Sep may
have a chance to pass 1-Aug? Or they might save the numbers for future use
and wait for the preagj for new 485 cases.
However, if the so left is fewer, situation may be totally different.
【在 L***a 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 还有8千2百多人
: 7000so
: 剩1200
: 中印二三开
: 老中480
: 480+1457=1937/250=8
: 不乐观啊不乐观
If, yes IF, the so is 7000, among the 1200, I would like to say that EB2C
may be only 20%, should not be that many, say 40%. These 240 cases have been
preadjed.
This month pd 4/2007, by the end of this month, suppose all EB2C prior to it
could submit 485, this may introduce ~350 new cases. A hundred or more
among these ~350 might have been submitted and some of them might have been
preadjed.
Suppose these ~350 all turn into actual demand within 3 months, then by end
of Nov, the total EB2C demand may be 350 + 240 = 600 (up to this number). After that, the pwmb will gradually turn into demand and will be cleared by quota of the following months.
To have actual demand available to consume the monthly quota after Dec,
USCIS might want all pwmb to submit their 485 by Sep at least, so Sep may
have a chance to pass 1-Aug? Or they might save the numbers for future use
and wait for the preagj for new 485 cases.
However, if the so left is fewer, situation may be totally different.
【在 L***a 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 还有8千2百多人
: 7000so
: 剩1200
: 中印二三开
: 老中480
: 480+1457=1937/250=8
: 不乐观啊不乐观
w*l
49 楼
Just checked the Aug demand data, I was wrong.
Underestimated the Eb2C among the 1200.
been
it
been
end
After that, the pwmb will gradually turn into demand and will be cleared by
quota of the following months.
【在 w*l 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: Maybe not that bad.
: If, yes IF, the so is 7000, among the 1200, I would like to say that EB2C
: may be only 20%, should not be that many, say 40%. These 240 cases have been
: preadjed.
: This month pd 4/2007, by the end of this month, suppose all EB2C prior to it
: could submit 485, this may introduce ~350 new cases. A hundred or more
: among these ~350 might have been submitted and some of them might have been
: preadjed.
: Suppose these ~350 all turn into actual demand within 3 months, then by end
: of Nov, the total EB2C demand may be 350 + 240 = 600 (up to this number). After that, the pwmb will gradually turn into demand and will be cleared by quota of the following months.
Underestimated the Eb2C among the 1200.
been
it
been
end
After that, the pwmb will gradually turn into demand and will be cleared by
quota of the following months.
【在 w*l 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: Maybe not that bad.
: If, yes IF, the so is 7000, among the 1200, I would like to say that EB2C
: may be only 20%, should not be that many, say 40%. These 240 cases have been
: preadjed.
: This month pd 4/2007, by the end of this month, suppose all EB2C prior to it
: could submit 485, this may introduce ~350 new cases. A hundred or more
: among these ~350 might have been submitted and some of them might have been
: preadjed.
: Suppose these ~350 all turn into actual demand within 3 months, then by end
: of Nov, the total EB2C demand may be 350 + 240 = 600 (up to this number). After that, the pwmb will gradually turn into demand and will be cleared by quota of the following months.
L*a
50 楼
What's the right estimation then?
(@[email protected])
by
【在 w*l 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: Just checked the Aug demand data, I was wrong.
: Underestimated the Eb2C among the 1200.
:
: been
: it
: been
: end
: After that, the pwmb will gradually turn into demand and will be cleared by
: quota of the following months.
(@[email protected])
by
【在 w*l 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: Just checked the Aug demand data, I was wrong.
: Underestimated the Eb2C among the 1200.
:
: been
: it
: been
: end
: After that, the pwmb will gradually turn into demand and will be cleared by
: quota of the following months.
w*l
51 楼
Your 480. Maybe even more than that.
【在 L***a 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: What's the right estimation then?
: (@[email protected])
:
: by
【在 L***a 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: What's the right estimation then?
: (@[email protected])
:
: by
x*1
52 楼
如果eb-3c在2007年前是这个数,2007前的2年总排到了吧。
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