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d*e
1
特意去看了今天aapl的今天最高价,确实是1万块一股。
今天到底是交易所错误,还是真的有SB进行这种市价成交?
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p*t
2
自己管理很操心。见了几个,他们分析了我的财务状况,看了我的投资帐户。之后总打
来电话,说自己有点闲钱,非让我帮他们打理,实在不行给他们开个seminar啥的。我
考,不但没找到能帮忙的,还惹了一屁麻烦。
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f*y
3
我2010年有自己的一些business,扣掉loss部分有一些gain,大概几万块,这个好像每
个季度要交estimated tax,但是我去年做business没想到有gain也就没有交这些税,
今年填sche C的时候还要填写sche SE,请问没交税现在报税该怎办,要不要交罚款还
有利息,该怎么交法,多谢帮助。
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x*o
4
堂哥要从国内到加拿大登陆,想先在国内申请个美国签证,这样可以先到堂姐家(底特
律)住一阵儿,再到温莎登陆。
请问在申请美国签证时,就说是过境呢,还是说探亲更容易签?
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d*8
5
既然老印可以跨过2006年,我们最差应该是一样的排期。From IV TeddyKoochu,
估计原贴是IV 最长的贴子,快到300页。为了方便大家,现在TeddyKoochu重开一贴
,并给出了最新预测。仅供大家参考,喜欢悲观就悲观,喜欢乐观就乐观点。
http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/forum14-members-forum/1944033
Summary
EB2 I- FEB To APR 2007
EB3 I- APR 15 2002
Please continue the "EB2-EB3 Predictions (Rather Calculations)" in this new
thread.
The old thread link is below:
http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/fo...tions-281.html
Folowing is my current draft still work in progress will be editing it soon
Month-Year India China PWMB CP Total
Monthly Cumlative
Sum
Offset 8500 1000 0 0 9500 9500
May-06 1110 38 100 100 1348 10848
Jun-06 1696 541 100 100 2437 13285
Jul-06 1505 620 100 100 2325 15610
Aug-06 1677 693 100 100 2570 18180
Sep-06 1745 773 100 100 2718 20898
Oct-06 1747 732 100 100 2679 23577
Nov-06 1737 667 100 100 2604 26181
Dec-06 1881 770 200 100 2951 29132
Jan-07 1540 654 200 100 2494 31626
Feb-07 1444 615 200 100 2359 33985
Mar-07 1404 682 200 100 2386 36371
Apr-07 1420 609 200 100 2329 38700
May-07 1070 519 500 100 2189 40889
Jun-07 1272 558 1000 100 2930 43819
Jul-07 1673 1788 2000 100 5561 49380
- In the table above the columns India and china represent the monthly
figures from the Jan 2011 Inventory.
- I have assumed a starting offset of 2000 as there were cases which did not
see approval last year even though they were current. I have assumed PD
porting to be 6000 (Double of what was calculated last year for India). PD
porting has now been added to the offset point itself as we will see
movement only in the last quarter and I believe that the date won’t cross
May 2006 before the last quarter in the absence of any kind of spillover (
SOFAD). The offset also includes ~ 750 approvals each for India and China.
- PWMB refers to those who could not file for their 485’s as the labor
approval was missed out or they are adding dependants now. These values are
by my gut feeling another point to note is that the PWMB demand especially
from May 2007 maybe felt only when the dates reach that point, so ~3500
lesser SOFAD maybe required for the dates to actually move forward if the
inventory is the baseline.
- The total monthly is the extrapolated total for the month and cumulative
sum is the cumulative figure. Now if someone is interested in finding out
that what point we will reach in Sep 2011 they should put their figure of
SOFAD and see the resting point.
- Following is the SOFAD received from different sources based on the DOS
Annual Report EB1 - 2K, EB2 ROW - 9.5K, EB5 - 9K, Regular Cap (I+C) = 6K
Now lets analyze on That Website to see the trend for October to December
Year 2009 (Oct to Dec) EB2 ROW – 211 EB2 NIW – 34 Total - 245
EB1A – 57 EB1B – 97 EB1C – 70 Total - 196
Year 2010 (Oct to Jan) EB2 ROW – 153 EB2 NIW – 16 Total - 169
EB1A – 18 EB1B – 22 EB1C – 22 Total - 53
The drop in EB1 appears to be really drastic however I feel it is not being
adequately represented.
However looks like the EB1 consumption could drop this year compared to last
year though. If the EB1
Consumption actually drops to 50% of last year then this could provide ~ 15K
SOFAD this year.
Consumption last year = 43000 - 3500 = 39500.
If we assume a drop of 25% (Extremely conservative) the consumption will be
29625
However this year we are back to the regular cap so SOFAD = 40320-26925 ~
11K
If we assume a drop of 50% (Extremely Optimistic) the consumption will be
19750
However this year we are back to the regular cap so SOFAD = 40320-19750 ~
20K
For the conservative calculation let’s just go ahead with 11K.
For EB2 the data appears to be good.
EB2 ROW consumption last year = 43000 - 6000 - 9500 = 27500.
Now the trend shows that the consumption is (169/245) * 27500 ~ 20K.
So potential SOFAD out of EB2 ROW will be 34K - 20K ~ 14K.
EB5 SOFAD will be ~ 8K.
Hence total SOFAD that we can expect in 2011 = 11 + 18 + 5 = 34K.
With ~ 24 K SOFAD we may reach Mid March 2007. Now lets look at all possible
scenario’s.
Worst possible case is that we have 26.5K SOFAd just like last year, this
will put us at 01-JAN02007.
Best case scenario is EB1 gives us an extra 10K and the PWMB demand will be
felt only when the dates cross May 2007 so kind of add 13K on top of the 34K
this can actually help to throw us over the fence finally to 01-AUG-2007,
this again is extremely optimistic but not impossible. We just have to
continue monitoring for more time.
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d*e
7
还有一个帖子是瞬间有好几个股票的成交价格从十块以上变成几毛,然后又拉回。
看来应该都是市价委托成交惹的祸,不知道以后MM们是不是也不敢市价成交了。想那个
AAPL的单,说不定是有人看到aapl瞬间下跌厉害,立刻动用市价委托进行买入,可能是
买入数量太多了,没有想到上方有人敢挂在9999元。
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w*s
8
当然是探亲。
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s*0
9
老印总是太乐观.06年底应该差不多,但07年春很难.
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d*e
11
昨天在本版讨论2006年时候中国的唯一一单0.001的市价成交委托单,没想到美股今天
全面上演。
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d*8
12
我知道老印比较乐观,可是TeddyKoochu的分析还是有理 有具,大家看看里面有什么漏
洞,我是看不出来。请高人分析分析。
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z*r
13
guess the point is optimization, android has been running on Intel atom for
more than a year. Cisco cuis runs android on atom

【在 G*****h 的大作中提到】
: recompiling...
: using intel compiler

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p*n
14
这个可能会取消。一般0.01或999.99就是halt了。

【在 d******e 的大作中提到】
: 还有一个帖子是瞬间有好几个股票的成交价格从十块以上变成几毛,然后又拉回。
: 看来应该都是市价委托成交惹的祸,不知道以后MM们是不是也不敢市价成交了。想那个
: AAPL的单,说不定是有人看到aapl瞬间下跌厉害,立刻动用市价委托进行买入,可能是
: 买入数量太多了,没有想到上方有人敢挂在9999元。

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d*8
15
其其引用的数据有什么问题?导致乐观大结果,大家要拿出客观数据,不要老是说老印
太乐观了。
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p*n
16
刚才开完会回来看吓了一跳,以为自己电脑出问题了。
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d*8
17
Originally Posted by belmontboy
how can 24k SOFAD move dates to March 2007, while 26.5K SOFAD moves to JAN
2007?
Teddy, can you explain the above discrepancy?
Thanks for pointing out still in WIP I will correct the table as well. 26.5
K takes us to 01 Jan 2007 while ~ 34K takes us over March to 01-APR-2007. I
will be making corresctions to the first post based on the latest data .
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d*e
18
但是有一个F开头的股票是从17块下跌到0.11元,那个应该是真的。
另外aapl那个现实最高价好像还不知一万,是十万。不知道怎么回事。
不过今天确实看到了一个历史,stock版的人数好像创了新高。我原来还预言
chinastock的人数新高能超越stock的,现在越来越没戏了。
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d*8
19
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions-
Venni .. EB2IC dates will move together when SOFAD kicks in. To move dates
to Aug 2007 SOFAD needs to be 30-35K right? Do you think SOFAD will be that
high?
Originally Posted by veni001
Welcome!
That's not correct, EB3C got only 4,150 pending with PD before Aug 2007
compared to almost 11,000 EB2C for the same period. Unless there are more
PWMB and/or CP cases EB3C should clear until Aug 2007 by Sept 20112.
Originally Posted by leo07
veni001,
immitrickz was talking abut EB2C. EB2C need to worry a little, but only b/n
JUL-SEP season, because that's when the sharing occurs. Since their EB2
backlog is less, their exposure to risk(EB3-EB2 porting) is obviously
limited.
Best!
Leo just to clarify your point : there are two kinds of risks to EB2C.
1) Less SOFAD due to overall conversions. This risk stays same for EB2C as
EB2I as both share the SOFAD.
2) Less date movement because of EB3C->EB2C conversions. This risk is quite
less given not many EB3C exist (much less compared to India).
Now #1 really overshadows any risk in #2. So even if 2 were high ... it only
delays EB2C approvals within a year.
Bottomline EB2C is unaffected (or at most affected teh same as EB2I).
Q, I agree there is more than 1 risk. I did not split the risk on country
basis for simplicity.Because if there were EB3C porting, that will affect
EB2I just as much as EB3I porting affects EB2C.( ah..did I get all my 2's,3'
s, I's and C's correct ))
oh, I think veni001 was talking about EB3C? "EB3C should clear until Aug
2007 by Sept 20112."
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d*e
20
我又去scottrade上面去看了一下,
aapl的最高股价已经变化了,不再是那个十万,而是258左右。不过acn的价格还是有0.
01,成交上确实有一根针状下探,正常价格是41。
FCG是0.11的今日最低价,正常价格17。
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s*0
21
去年老印算了很多,当时觉得都挺有道理的,最后没一个有谱的.
我想关键是谁也不能把各种因素都考虑进去.而且USCIS怎么出牌谁也不知道.
我只是感觉今年剩余名额不会比去年多.(去年17K,今年很难比去年还多大几千甚至1万)
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T*P
22
broker会改过来的,然后负责任的broker会打电话通知你,这个我们已经按照当时的价格
改了。

特意去看了今天aapl的今天最高价,确实是1万块一股。
今天到底是交易所错误,还是真的有SB进行这种市价成交?

【在 d******e 的大作中提到】
: 特意去看了今天aapl的今天最高价,确实是1万块一股。
: 今天到底是交易所错误,还是真的有SB进行这种市价成交?

avatar
Q*K
23
Garbage in, Garbage out.
别分析了,没有solid的数据基础,估计出来的都是扯淡。
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p*n
24
记得2008年Nasdaq也出过类似错误,后来都打电话cancel了。
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d*8
25
Today, 05:13 PM
gcwait2007
Given below is the present position:
Comparison of cumulative demand data for EB2 India, since Oct 2010:
Source: EB2-I USCIS Data - Immigration Wiki
Month Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11
CY-2006 13125 13150 13125 13150 13175
CY-2007 22850 22850 22825 22900 22975
CY-2010 22925 23000 22925 23000 23025
The above data can be interpreted that EB3I to EB2I porting happens and that
demand matches or almost over takes the supply/ availability of visas.
The published Visa Bulletin Priority Dates since are given below:
Month EB2-CH EB2-IN
02/01/2011 07/01/2006 05/08/2006
01/01/2011 06/22/2006 05/08/2006
12/01/2010 06/08/2006 05/08/2006
11/01/2010 06/01/2006 05/08/2006
10/01/2010 05/22/2006 05/08/2006
Source: Past Visa Bulletin Data - Immigration Wiki
I-485 Inventory data is given below:
Month India China Cumulative Total
May-06 1110 0 1110
Jun-06 1696 0 2806
Jul-06 1505 620 4931
Aug-06 1677 693 7301
Sep-06 1745 773 9819
Oct-06 1747 732 12298
Nov-06 1737 667 14702
Dec-06 1881 770 17353
Jan-07 1540 654 19547
Feb-07 1444 615 21606
16082 5524
Without spillover visas, the current visa allocation per month for EB2 India
and EB2 China are as follows:
Annual Quota for EB2 India: 2987
Divided by 12, we get monthly quota: 2987/ 12 = 249 visas.
The porting from EB3I to EB2I is in the range of 270 to 275 visas each month
, in the last few months.
EB2 India will get 1000 visas in next 4 months (from March 2011 to June 2011
), however my assumption is that these 1000 visas will go for EB3India to
EB2India porting. The cut-off date for EB2 India as of June 2011 will be 8-
May-2006.
EB2 China will clear 1000 visas in next 4 months (from March 2011 to June
2011) and they will reach cut- off date of 15-Aug-2006 in June 2011.
The spillover season starts in July 2011.
Calculation of availability of spillover visas:
EB4 Religious workers will consume all the allocated visas.
EB5 have been providing about 8K to 9K visas as spillover year after year.
EB4 and 5 spillovers will go to EB1.
EB1 India, China and Philippines consume more than their allocated quota
year after year. Last year there was some marginal spillover, otherwise
there were no spillovers from EB1 to EB2 in the previous years.
From the other websites, there are indications that EB1 is somewhat
moderately down. It may be possible that the filers may not use the websites
to keep track of the data. EB1 spillover to EB2 will be about 4K.
Porting from EB3 ROW to EB2ROW is also happening. EB2 ROW to EB2 India and
China spillover is expected to be 10K to 12K.
The availability spillover visas: 8K+4K+10K = 22K
USCIS will try to split the spillover over 3 months, each month allocating
8K visas.
For July 2011 Visa Bulletin, EB2 India and China will be 22-Sep-2006 (about
8K visas)
For August 2011 Visa Bulletin, EB2 India and China will be 22-Dec-2006 (
about 8K visas).
For Sept 2011 Visa Bulletin, EB2 India and China will be either end of Feb
2007 (about 4.5K visas) or end of March 2007 (about 6.5K visas).
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d*e
26
FCG的0.11元也是系统问题?
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S*L
27
有FY2010那么多能到2006年底俺就很高兴了。

【在 Q*K 的大作中提到】
: Garbage in, Garbage out.
: 别分析了,没有solid的数据基础,估计出来的都是扯淡。

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b*y
28
对,我以前改过一次

价格

【在 T*P 的大作中提到】
: broker会改过来的,然后负责任的broker会打电话通知你,这个我们已经按照当时的价格
: 改了。
:
: 特意去看了今天aapl的今天最高价,确实是1万块一股。
: 今天到底是交易所错误,还是真的有SB进行这种市价成交?

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m*t
29
哪有那末多剩余名额。也就12K不错了。今夏EB2C应该是NOV06。

【在 d******8 的大作中提到】
: Today, 05:13 PM
: gcwait2007
: Given below is the present position:
: Comparison of cumulative demand data for EB2 India, since Oct 2010:
: Source: EB2-I USCIS Data - Immigration Wiki
: Month Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11
: CY-2006 13125 13150 13125 13150 13175
: CY-2007 22850 22850 22825 22900 22975
: CY-2010 22925 23000 22925 23000 23025
: The above data can be interpreted that EB3I to EB2I porting happens and that

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p*n
30
Latest updates:
根据最新消息,周四美股收盘后,纳斯达克运营部门宣布将取消部分异常交易,所有在
美东时间6日下午2:40至3:00之间执行、并且股价上下波幅较2:40或之前最后一笔交易
的报价超过60%的交易指令将被取消。

【在 d******e 的大作中提到】
: FCG的0.11元也是系统问题?
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a*s
31
那些整天利好,整天乐观,意淫的傻B们,制造幻觉,利好个球!

new

【在 d******8 的大作中提到】
: 既然老印可以跨过2006年,我们最差应该是一样的排期。From IV TeddyKoochu,
: 估计原贴是IV 最长的贴子,快到300页。为了方便大家,现在TeddyKoochu重开一贴
: ,并给出了最新预测。仅供大家参考,喜欢悲观就悲观,喜欢乐观就乐观点。
: http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/forum14-members-forum/1944033
: Summary
: EB2 I- FEB To APR 2007
: EB3 I- APR 15 2002
: Please continue the "EB2-EB3 Predictions (Rather Calculations)" in this new
: thread.
: The old thread link is below:

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