ZZ--- Rapid EB cutoff date advances: What does this mean?# EB23 - 劳工卡
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Rapid EB cutoff date advances: What does this mean?
The last few months have seen substantial advances in the China/India EB2
cutoff dates. Many people are puzzled and can’t understand why cutoff dates
are suddenly moving forward after so many years of slow movement. The
answer is demand. We published an article on the ImmInfo site some time back
that explains the overall mechanics of cutoff date movement.
The current rapid movement is the result of substantially lower than
expected demand. For visa cutoff date purposes, demand is shown in two ways:
First, there are the cases at the National Visa Center (NVC) that have been
classified as "documentarily complete." Second, there are the monthly
requests for immigrant visas made by the USCIS service centers as they
approve I-485 applications for adjustment of status.
Historically, the NVC cases represent only about 10% of the overall
potential demand. The remaining 90% comes from the USCIS. From what we have
been able to gather, the USCIS is not requesting large numbers of EB2
immigrant visas. This could be because they simply don't have files in their
inventory, or it could be that they are not processing cases to completion
at anything close to the rate necessary to assure full usage of the
immigrant visa quota for this year.
What we do know is that "demand" has been unusually low and is likely to
remain this way for at least the next few months. During this time, we can
expect to see China/India EB2 cutoff dates continue to advance at a rapid
rate. Unless something changes soon, we can expect to see China/India EB2
become current within a few months.
Please note that if this happens, it will not likely remain "current" for
very long. In all probability, we will see this cutoff date retrogress, most
likely back to somewhere in 2009, when the retrogression occurs later this
year.
For people who have filed for adjustment of status, their cases will remain
on file, pending a final decision, until their priority dates become "
current" again.
The last few months have seen substantial advances in the China/India EB2
cutoff dates. Many people are puzzled and can’t understand why cutoff dates
are suddenly moving forward after so many years of slow movement. The
answer is demand. We published an article on the ImmInfo site some time back
that explains the overall mechanics of cutoff date movement.
The current rapid movement is the result of substantially lower than
expected demand. For visa cutoff date purposes, demand is shown in two ways:
First, there are the cases at the National Visa Center (NVC) that have been
classified as "documentarily complete." Second, there are the monthly
requests for immigrant visas made by the USCIS service centers as they
approve I-485 applications for adjustment of status.
Historically, the NVC cases represent only about 10% of the overall
potential demand. The remaining 90% comes from the USCIS. From what we have
been able to gather, the USCIS is not requesting large numbers of EB2
immigrant visas. This could be because they simply don't have files in their
inventory, or it could be that they are not processing cases to completion
at anything close to the rate necessary to assure full usage of the
immigrant visa quota for this year.
What we do know is that "demand" has been unusually low and is likely to
remain this way for at least the next few months. During this time, we can
expect to see China/India EB2 cutoff dates continue to advance at a rapid
rate. Unless something changes soon, we can expect to see China/India EB2
become current within a few months.
Please note that if this happens, it will not likely remain "current" for
very long. In all probability, we will see this cutoff date retrogress, most
likely back to somewhere in 2009, when the retrogression occurs later this
year.
For people who have filed for adjustment of status, their cases will remain
on file, pending a final decision, until their priority dates become "
current" again.
