我把这个贴找出来。
说说理由:
奥本今年3月份说的话:
What will it take for there to be movement in EB-3 India? At this time,
there is nothing which can be done to improve the India EB-3 cut-off date
situation unless there is a legislative change. The amount of pre-
adjudicated India EB-3 demand versus the annual limit prevents more than a
one or two week monthly movement of this cut-off date. For example, at this
time, more than 9,100 India EB-3 applicants with priority dates earlier than
January 1, 2005 (alone) have already been reported to the visa Office and
the FY2015 annual limit is approximately 2,875.
2005年前的EB3 India是9100. 考虑的inventory统计的滞后,看最新的inventory data
,2005年前AOS里的确有9000多。3类烙印的CP+EW基本都可以忽略。也就是说今年烙印3
类拿了9000多SO。
剩余3类烙印还有14k左右,减掉明年的配2800,减掉升级到2类几千,非常有可能16年
底或者17年的时候3类烙印放水,有可能EB3 ROW + EB3 India, EB3P and M,包括中国
的demand不足,先是在明年3类放水的情况,而后整体3类需求不足,3类排期继续快进
的情况发
生。