Eb1 chinese was nonconcurrent in 2005. In that year, 6700 of EB1 was
approved.
"给一个参考数字，去年中国的EB1批了6千多，印度的EB1批了9千多。意思是除了自己国
it is true, if ROW EB1, Chinese EB1, and India Eb1 stay the same as last
fiscal year, or at least the total increase is less than 42900(FY2014 Eb1
quota)-39058(FY2013 EB1 actual allocation)=3842.
however, let's take a look at the EB1 inventory in July 2013 and july 2014:
ROW EB1 increased by 3873
Chinese Eb1 increased by 1379
India increased by 3628
the sum of increase in EB1 inventory by July 2014 is already 8880
This implies a deficit of Eb1 VISA number by 5000.
And if there is not enough quota for ROW Eb1, that will trigger the 7% quota
for Chinese and Indian Eb1. And DOS need to figure out how to allocate the
extra EB1 quota to Chinese and Indian, either proportionally or based on
priority date.
In addition, For chinese Eb1, we can get some Eb4 spillover, which could be
500(guess).
And indian Eb1 can get their own EB4 and EB5 leftover, around 1k, i guess.
But you can see the visa number is not enough, short by ~3500 in total, and
complicated.
However, since October is coming, meaning ~3k fresh extra quota each for
Indians and Chinese is on the way. So DOS would rather not declare it now to
cause some panic but to raise that at some point next year, when they have
better knowledge about the trend in EB1 application and also the exact total
quota number for EB1. Note that the unused 2014 family green card quota
will be proportionally assigned to each EB class. And this why this year,
the total Eb1 quota is 43000 instead of 40000, the extra of which is from
the unused FY2013 family green card.
Just a wild guess, sweating...
