c*9
2 楼
can it go to 4 in 5 years?
a*2
3 楼
US Fed asked for 17% up
c*9
4 楼
how about 1:3 in 10 years?
m*i
13 楼
My main holding is SPY and TBT.
Since it's very difficulty to pickup individual stocks in this enviroment
and I also believe interest rate will go up in US.
For Solar, I bought a little of every companies(STP, SOL, YGE and JASO),
since I don't have the knowledge to pick up the winner.
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 名菜这波中长线投资了那些股票啊?
Since it's very difficulty to pickup individual stocks in this enviroment
and I also believe interest rate will go up in US.
For Solar, I bought a little of every companies(STP, SOL, YGE and JASO),
since I don't have the knowledge to pick up the winner.
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 名菜这波中长线投资了那些股票啊?
k*8
14 楼
厉害!
各股确实不好炒!
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: My main holding is SPY and TBT.
: Since it's very difficulty to pickup individual stocks in this enviroment
: and I also believe interest rate will go up in US.
: For Solar, I bought a little of every companies(STP, SOL, YGE and JASO),
: since I don't have the knowledge to pick up the winner.
各股确实不好炒!
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: My main holding is SPY and TBT.
: Since it's very difficulty to pickup individual stocks in this enviroment
: and I also believe interest rate will go up in US.
: For Solar, I bought a little of every companies(STP, SOL, YGE and JASO),
: since I don't have the knowledge to pick up the winner.
m*1
15 楼
赚得美金立马贬值了,赶紧转成人民币。
k*8
16 楼
名菜大牛为什么不买黄金?或者微软?
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: My main holding is SPY and TBT.
: Since it's very difficulty to pickup individual stocks in this enviroment
: and I also believe interest rate will go up in US.
: For Solar, I bought a little of every companies(STP, SOL, YGE and JASO),
: since I don't have the knowledge to pick up the winner.
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: My main holding is SPY and TBT.
: Since it's very difficulty to pickup individual stocks in this enviroment
: and I also believe interest rate will go up in US.
: For Solar, I bought a little of every companies(STP, SOL, YGE and JASO),
: since I don't have the knowledge to pick up the winner.
o*y
20 楼
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/rickards-china-slow
Rickards: China’s Slowdown Will Be Worse Than You Think
China's Premier Wen Jiabao has just warned that China's economy is now
facing challenges, including higher-than-desired inflation and an economic
slowdown.
Our guest James Rickards, the author of Currency Wars: The Making Of The
Next Global Crisis, says this slowdown will be significantly worse than most
people think. He believes it will trigger a policy response from the United
States that will likely lead to a third round of "quantitative easing" by
the Fed.
Rickards thinks China's economy could slow to a 3.5% growth rate. This doesn
't sound bad, but it would be a disaster relative to the 10% growth rate of
the last few decades, and it is much more of slowdown than most analysts are
looking for.
In response, Rickards says, the Chinese government would likely devalue
China's currency relative to the dollar, to help stimulate exports. This
would counter Washington's ongoing attempts to do the same thing. Rickards
believes that the U.S. would respond with another round of quantitative
easing designed to produce inflation, likely through a technique called "
nominal GDP targeting."
(Nominal GDP targeting would allow the Fed to explicitly focus on a target
GDP growth rate that includes inflation, as opposed to trying to fight
inflation by focusing on real GDP growth. Inflation would help the U.S.
reduce the real burden of its massive debt load, and it might also make U.S.
exports more competitive.)
A sharp China slowdown could also hammer Europe, which is already reeling
from a banking and sovereign debt crisis.
,
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 这次在大陆碰到一位搞海外工程承包的。 他原来是芝加哥的工程博士。2002年回国,
: 2004年不适因又回了美国,2005再次回国。
: 他告诉我,目前同Europe的承包商的报价仍有一半以上的差别! 他认为,人民币今后几
: 年升值没有任何悬念
Rickards: China’s Slowdown Will Be Worse Than You Think
China's Premier Wen Jiabao has just warned that China's economy is now
facing challenges, including higher-than-desired inflation and an economic
slowdown.
Our guest James Rickards, the author of Currency Wars: The Making Of The
Next Global Crisis, says this slowdown will be significantly worse than most
people think. He believes it will trigger a policy response from the United
States that will likely lead to a third round of "quantitative easing" by
the Fed.
Rickards thinks China's economy could slow to a 3.5% growth rate. This doesn
't sound bad, but it would be a disaster relative to the 10% growth rate of
the last few decades, and it is much more of slowdown than most analysts are
looking for.
In response, Rickards says, the Chinese government would likely devalue
China's currency relative to the dollar, to help stimulate exports. This
would counter Washington's ongoing attempts to do the same thing. Rickards
believes that the U.S. would respond with another round of quantitative
easing designed to produce inflation, likely through a technique called "
nominal GDP targeting."
(Nominal GDP targeting would allow the Fed to explicitly focus on a target
GDP growth rate that includes inflation, as opposed to trying to fight
inflation by focusing on real GDP growth. Inflation would help the U.S.
reduce the real burden of its massive debt load, and it might also make U.S.
exports more competitive.)
A sharp China slowdown could also hammer Europe, which is already reeling
from a banking and sovereign debt crisis.
,
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 这次在大陆碰到一位搞海外工程承包的。 他原来是芝加哥的工程博士。2002年回国,
: 2004年不适因又回了美国,2005再次回国。
: 他告诉我,目前同Europe的承包商的报价仍有一半以上的差别! 他认为,人民币今后几
: 年升值没有任何悬念
m*i
21 楼
我个人建议用自己的眼睛判断。 洋人对中国的事情懂个屁!
我目前每年回国四个月,不知道你回去多久。
中国有很多问题,还是有很多人实实在在在做事!
most
United
【在 o****y 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/rickards-china-slow
: Rickards: China’s Slowdown Will Be Worse Than You Think
: China's Premier Wen Jiabao has just warned that China's economy is now
: facing challenges, including higher-than-desired inflation and an economic
: slowdown.
: Our guest James Rickards, the author of Currency Wars: The Making Of The
: Next Global Crisis, says this slowdown will be significantly worse than most
: people think. He believes it will trigger a policy response from the United
: States that will likely lead to a third round of "quantitative easing" by
: the Fed.
我目前每年回国四个月,不知道你回去多久。
中国有很多问题,还是有很多人实实在在在做事!
most
United
【在 o****y 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/rickards-china-slow
: Rickards: China’s Slowdown Will Be Worse Than You Think
: China's Premier Wen Jiabao has just warned that China's economy is now
: facing challenges, including higher-than-desired inflation and an economic
: slowdown.
: Our guest James Rickards, the author of Currency Wars: The Making Of The
: Next Global Crisis, says this slowdown will be significantly worse than most
: people think. He believes it will trigger a policy response from the United
: States that will likely lead to a third round of "quantitative easing" by
: the Fed.
w*8
22 楼
我很担心人民币的安全性,人民币超发大大超过美元,又没有其他国家买单,国内通胀
这么严重,汇率和实际购买力背离,虽然汇率由对外贸易决定,可中国的贸易顺差由廉
价劳动力支撑,随着农村城市化还可以维持,但能维持多长无法判断。想一下卢布,从
91年到现在贬值30000倍,今年可能继续贬值。怎么保证人民币能避免相似的命运。还
有一个重要的因素,人民币不能随意换美元,等人民币出现险情,想逃不容易。对此我
很迷惑,我的父母有不少人民币存款,我在考虑是不是慢慢换一部分美元来分散风险。
不知你对此怎么看。
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 我个人建议用自己的眼睛判断。 洋人对中国的事情懂个屁!
: 我目前每年回国四个月,不知道你回去多久。
: 中国有很多问题,还是有很多人实实在在在做事!
:
: most
: United
这么严重,汇率和实际购买力背离,虽然汇率由对外贸易决定,可中国的贸易顺差由廉
价劳动力支撑,随着农村城市化还可以维持,但能维持多长无法判断。想一下卢布,从
91年到现在贬值30000倍,今年可能继续贬值。怎么保证人民币能避免相似的命运。还
有一个重要的因素,人民币不能随意换美元,等人民币出现险情,想逃不容易。对此我
很迷惑,我的父母有不少人民币存款,我在考虑是不是慢慢换一部分美元来分散风险。
不知你对此怎么看。
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 我个人建议用自己的眼睛判断。 洋人对中国的事情懂个屁!
: 我目前每年回国四个月,不知道你回去多久。
: 中国有很多问题,还是有很多人实实在在在做事!
:
: most
: United
w*8
23 楼
c*o
27 楼
昨天晚上看了天涯转过来的一篇文章,醍醐灌顶啊。
那个文章的观点我很赞同,也解释我很久以来的一些
疑问。大体意思是,中国超发的道路是走上了不能回
头的地步,大概手上还有几张牌,可以再撑十年,到
时候会有被美元狙击的拐点。所以现在换美元还太早。
应该美元换人民币,买人民币资产,比如连日本都开
始买人民币资产了。
【在 w******8 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 我很担心人民币的安全性,人民币超发大大超过美元,又没有其他国家买单,国内通胀
: 这么严重,汇率和实际购买力背离,虽然汇率由对外贸易决定,可中国的贸易顺差由廉
: 价劳动力支撑,随着农村城市化还可以维持,但能维持多长无法判断。想一下卢布,从
: 91年到现在贬值30000倍,今年可能继续贬值。怎么保证人民币能避免相似的命运。还
: 有一个重要的因素,人民币不能随意换美元,等人民币出现险情,想逃不容易。对此我
: 很迷惑,我的父母有不少人民币存款,我在考虑是不是慢慢换一部分美元来分散风险。
: 不知你对此怎么看。
那个文章的观点我很赞同,也解释我很久以来的一些
疑问。大体意思是,中国超发的道路是走上了不能回
头的地步,大概手上还有几张牌,可以再撑十年,到
时候会有被美元狙击的拐点。所以现在换美元还太早。
应该美元换人民币,买人民币资产,比如连日本都开
始买人民币资产了。
【在 w******8 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 我很担心人民币的安全性,人民币超发大大超过美元,又没有其他国家买单,国内通胀
: 这么严重,汇率和实际购买力背离,虽然汇率由对外贸易决定,可中国的贸易顺差由廉
: 价劳动力支撑,随着农村城市化还可以维持,但能维持多长无法判断。想一下卢布,从
: 91年到现在贬值30000倍,今年可能继续贬值。怎么保证人民币能避免相似的命运。还
: 有一个重要的因素,人民币不能随意换美元,等人民币出现险情,想逃不容易。对此我
: 很迷惑,我的父母有不少人民币存款,我在考虑是不是慢慢换一部分美元来分散风险。
: 不知你对此怎么看。
w*8
39 楼
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/34073091.html
【在 o****m 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 求链接。
【在 o****m 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: 求链接。
o*m
41 楼
正在研读。比较零碎。
【在 w******8 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/34073091.html
【在 w******8 的大作中提到】
![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
: http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/34073091.html
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