Why i never all in - 未名空间MITBBS历史存档

Why i never all in# Stock

L*n2014-01-04 08:01

1 楼

because it's better to get steady 5% return than betting for a risky 30%
over long term.
here is a list of wkly 10%+ gainer small cap and above, rank by wkly
performance
http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=141&f=cap_smallover,ta_perf_1
i have/added positions on 10 of them
1. KNDI. bought before last break out. 09/10/2013 11:05:04 Bought XXXX
KNDI @ 5.51 sold some at 6.6, and 8.8. hold the rest since.
4. FCEL. sold half @1.8 before ER, reload after the tumble. mentioned
realtime on the board.
7. VJET. caught falling knife on 11/21, sold 3days later. reload on 12/12 @
36.xx, now 46. mentioned on the board
8. YY. 12/30/2013 12:36:19 Bought XXX YY @ 49.8882, caught just
before the explosion
9. BCRX. small position left from before. watch the broke out, but
hesitated. didn't add.
21. XONE. caught bottom on 10/03, added Nov. 4, hold for new high.
mentioned realtime on the board
41. UAL. no i don't have UAL. I have SAVE, a small leftover from prior,
added some calls
12/19/2013 14:20:05 Bought X SAVE Jan 18 2014 45.0 Call @ 1.15
45. FORM. 12/16/2013 10:40:12 Bought XXXX FORM @ 5.5299; 12/31
/2013 10:55:40 Bought XXXX FORM @ 6.0399
among the micro cap wkly 20%+ gainer, i have
15. RSOL. a leftover from prior run, reloaded @ 2.95
28. BORN. also leftover from before, reloaded 12/24 @ 2.19, and again 12/31
@ 2.55 mentioned on the board.
=============
took profit on
WBAI 12/18/2013 10:15:58 Bought XXX WBAI @ 29.54; 12/31/2013 10:24:45
Sold XXX WBAI @ 38
NMBL 12/16/2013 10:45:02 Bought XXX NMBL @ 36.43; 12/26/2013 13:38:03
Bought XXX NMBL @ 38.508; 01/02/2014 14:06:20 Sold XXX NMBL @ 46.1
Like before, i sell enough to get my money back and then some. leave most of
the profit in the stock. you never know when the next eruption is going to
come.

p*e2014-01-04 08:01

2 楼

紧跟大牛! 大夫有空多喊喊..

XXXX

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: because it's better to get steady 5% return than betting for a risky 30%
: over long term.
: here is a list of wkly 10%+ gainer small cap and above, rank by wkly
: performance
: http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=141&f=cap_smallover,ta_perf_1
: i have/added positions on 10 of them
: 1. KNDI. bought before last break out. 09/10/2013 11:05:04 Bought XXXX
: KNDI @ 5.51 sold some at 6.6, and 8.8. hold the rest since.
: 4. FCEL. sold half @1.8 before ER, reload after the tumble. mentioned
: realtime on the board.

p*e2014-01-04 08:01

3 楼

YY is a good one, especially after each ER, big jump up to $10 in days...
It is one of two non-pharm stocks I had ever traded, last June, I bought it
at 22, sold at 26, then bought at 23, sold at 29.98
Like Da Niu fenyun11 said, I had a problem holding good stocks...
guys, you can bet on its next ER...I will not touch it any more though...
Good luck!

m*72014-01-04 08:01

4 楼

真心佩服! 谢谢大夫的FCEL,.
请问哪几支现在还可以入呢? 看到它们爆发后就不敢下手了。

s*b2014-01-04 08:01

5 楼

Thanks for sharing!

XXXX

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: because it's better to get steady 5% return than betting for a risky 30%
: over long term.
: here is a list of wkly 10%+ gainer small cap and above, rank by wkly
: performance
: http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=141&f=cap_smallover,ta_perf_1
: i have/added positions on 10 of them
: 1. KNDI. bought before last break out. 09/10/2013 11:05:04 Bought XXXX
: KNDI @ 5.51 sold some at 6.6, and 8.8. hold the rest since.
: 4. FCEL. sold half @1.8 before ER, reload after the tumble. mentioned
: realtime on the board.

E*r2014-01-04 08:01

6 楼

Thanks for sharing your operating strategies, Doc.
Although I haven't been in the stock market long enough, I have to confess
that I've done the dirty "all-in" once already, in ARIA, when it first took
off, and I thought it was a near 100% win-win situation. I indeed earned
some, but it was a very nerve-racking experience and I lost sleep and meals
over it.

p*e2014-01-04 08:01

7 楼

haha, you got the same symptom as when I did the CYTR...
Want to do it again???

took
meals

【在 E**********r 的大作中提到】

: Thanks for sharing your operating strategies, Doc.
: Although I haven't been in the stock market long enough, I have to confess
: that I've done the dirty "all-in" once already, in ARIA, when it first took
: off, and I thought it was a near 100% win-win situation. I indeed earned
: some, but it was a very nerve-racking experience and I lost sleep and meals
: over it.

o*y2014-01-04 08:01

8 楼

太强悍了...

Bought XXXX
@
31
31
of
to

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: because it's better to get steady 5% return than betting for a risky 30%
: over long term.
: here is a list of wkly 10%+ gainer small cap and above, rank by wkly
: performance
: http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=141&f=cap_smallover,ta_perf_1
: i have/added positions on 10 of them
: 1. KNDI. bought before last break out. 09/10/2013 11:05:04 Bought XXXX
: KNDI @ 5.51 sold some at 6.6, and 8.8. hold the rest since.
: 4. FCEL. sold half @1.8 before ER, reload after the tumble. mentioned
: realtime on the board.

N*d2014-01-04 08:01

9 楼

很有意义的贴，俺时常忘记风险控制。

E*r2014-01-04 08:01

10 楼

：）We were on the same boat again!
I knew ARIA was perfect for the dirty "all-in", but still, the reasons didn'
t help with the nerve-wrecking much. Thank goodness for the OK outcome.
Doc is right, the huge risk is not worthy of taking, especially when there
are other safer ways to achieve the similar outcome.

【在 p**********e 的大作中提到】

: haha, you got the same symptom as when I did the CYTR...
: Want to do it again???
:
: took
: meals

E*r2014-01-04 08:01

11 楼

One question, Doc: How did you create this search phrase "Filters: cap:
smallover ta_perf:1w10o"? I know you can set the market cap, but what about
the 1 wk +10%?

g*42014-01-04 08:01

12 楼

SAVE是小弟的重仓股，1/3/2**[email protected]入的，和AAMRQ一起是今年的金灯了。最近一阵有
点小抽，上上下下很忙，对大夫的时机把握真是不服不行。
UAL在$30的时候ER前WSJ有篇文章详尽分析了，自己也做了research，当时尼玛GRPN战
火激烈没钱了，说来也是缘分未到。
航空股在14年估计还有一个run, SAVE, AAL, VLRS, CPA, NORWEGIAN AIR都是机会。

C*A2014-01-04 08:01

13 楼

授人以渔不如结网， thanks for sharing!

XXXX

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: because it's better to get steady 5% return than betting for a risky 30%
: over long term.
: here is a list of wkly 10%+ gainer small cap and above, rank by wkly
: performance
: http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=141&f=cap_smallover,ta_perf_1
: i have/added positions on 10 of them
: 1. KNDI. bought before last break out. 09/10/2013 11:05:04 Bought XXXX
: KNDI @ 5.51 sold some at 6.6, and 8.8. hold the rest since.
: 4. FCEL. sold half @1.8 before ER, reload after the tumble. mentioned
: realtime on the board.

d*d2014-01-04 08:01

14 楼

请教大夫资金管理方法，每个股票一开始买总资金的百分之多少？向上加仓有没有最大
的limit呢？谢谢！

XXXX

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: because it's better to get steady 5% return than betting for a risky 30%
: over long term.
: here is a list of wkly 10%+ gainer small cap and above, rank by wkly
: performance
: http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=141&f=cap_smallover,ta_perf_1
: i have/added positions on 10 of them
: 1. KNDI. bought before last break out. 09/10/2013 11:05:04 Bought XXXX
: KNDI @ 5.51 sold some at 6.6, and 8.8. hold the rest since.
: 4. FCEL. sold half @1.8 before ER, reload after the tumble. mentioned
: realtime on the board.

E*r2014-01-04 08:01

15 楼

Got it! Thanks a lot, 更大的牛. :)

+

t*62014-01-04 08:01

16 楼

高质量的好帖！
赞！

M*y2014-01-04 08:01

17 楼

Thanks as always.

XXXX

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: because it's better to get steady 5% return than betting for a risky 30%
: over long term.
: here is a list of wkly 10%+ gainer small cap and above, rank by wkly
: performance
: http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=141&f=cap_smallover,ta_perf_1
: i have/added positions on 10 of them
: 1. KNDI. bought before last break out. 09/10/2013 11:05:04 Bought XXXX
: KNDI @ 5.51 sold some at 6.6, and 8.8. hold the rest since.
: 4. FCEL. sold half @1.8 before ER, reload after the tumble. mentioned
: realtime on the board.

c*n2014-01-04 08:01

18 楼

这些算屌丝吗？

L*n2014-01-04 08:01

19 楼

well, i believe we are in the midst of a bull cycle. 钓丝like DDD can turn
into white gold in just a few years. you never know.

【在 c******n 的大作中提到】

: 这些算屌丝吗？

j*i2014-01-04 08:01

20 楼

谢大夫分享！我记得大夫是看好今年的啊？还是觉得虽然主题是涨，但大的调整也不可
避免？

XXXX

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: because it's better to get steady 5% return than betting for a risky 30%
: over long term.
: here is a list of wkly 10%+ gainer small cap and above, rank by wkly
: performance
: http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=141&f=cap_smallover,ta_perf_1
: i have/added positions on 10 of them
: 1. KNDI. bought before last break out. 09/10/2013 11:05:04 Bought XXXX
: KNDI @ 5.51 sold some at 6.6, and 8.8. hold the rest since.
: 4. FCEL. sold half @1.8 before ER, reload after the tumble. mentioned
: realtime on the board.

c*n2014-01-04 08:01

21 楼

O，麻雀变凤凰！

m*r2014-01-04 08:01

22 楼

XXXX
大夫是如何选到那些break out 前的股的？

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: because it's better to get steady 5% return than betting for a risky 30%
: over long term.
: here is a list of wkly 10%+ gainer small cap and above, rank by wkly
: performance
: http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=141&f=cap_smallover,ta_perf_1
: i have/added positions on 10 of them
: 1. KNDI. bought before last break out. 09/10/2013 11:05:04 Bought XXXX
: KNDI @ 5.51 sold some at 6.6, and 8.8. hold the rest since.
: 4. FCEL. sold half @1.8 before ER, reload after the tumble. mentioned
: realtime on the board.

g*a2014-01-04 08:01

23 楼

vjet要出了么？

L*n2014-01-04 08:01

24 楼

不断的积累，有几个做了久了就有感觉。象RVLT。 01/02/2014 14:09:55
Bought XXXX RVLT @ 3.2699
有些是版上看的。 WBAI就是那天有人问WUBA，我不看好，但WBAI看得不错，等了两
天进点到了就上。
还有些是自己的watchlist上，象NMBL。 fusion drive在SSD大规模降价，升容之前
会是方向。挺看好这个IPO。

【在 m****r 的大作中提到】

:
: XXXX
: 大夫是如何选到那些break out 前的股的？

c*o2014-01-04 08:01

25 楼

谢谢大夫。

m*r2014-01-04 08:01

26 楼

知道了。我自己的watchlist积累了几百个。有时候真累啊。我都想打退堂鼓，就看etf
算了。
我看大夫风格还是挺多样的。值得学习。尤其是对图细节的掌握和判断的信心。是我现
在做功课的地方。

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: 不断的积累，有几个做了久了就有感觉。象RVLT。 01/02/2014 14:09:55
: Bought XXXX RVLT @ 3.2699
: 有些是版上看的。 WBAI就是那天有人问WUBA，我不看好，但WBAI看得不错，等了两
: 天进点到了就上。
: 还有些是自己的watchlist上，象NMBL。 fusion drive在SSD大规模降价，升容之前
: 会是方向。挺看好这个IPO。

F*g2014-01-04 08:01

27 楼

拜读了，大夫！你收了我了吧！

E*g2014-01-04 08:01

28 楼

謝謝大夫。

c*s2014-01-04 08:01

29 楼

好帖子！谢谢分享。

Y*o2014-01-04 08:01

30 楼

mk

XXXX

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: because it's better to get steady 5% return than betting for a risky 30%
: over long term.
: here is a list of wkly 10%+ gainer small cap and above, rank by wkly
: performance
: http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=141&f=cap_smallover,ta_perf_1
: i have/added positions on 10 of them
: 1. KNDI. bought before last break out. 09/10/2013 11:05:04 Bought XXXX
: KNDI @ 5.51 sold some at 6.6, and 8.8. hold the rest since.
: 4. FCEL. sold half @1.8 before ER, reload after the tumble. mentioned
: realtime on the board.

I*d2014-01-04 08:01

31 楼

所以班上唧唧歪歪的沉不住气的尤其玩小药股的青蛙好好向呆夫学习，基本最近没进
货的，都是出货的。
涨个10% 买个千把小药股就出来#……&×￥%……

XXXX

【在 L****n 的大作中提到】

: because it's better to get steady 5% return than betting for a risky 30%
: over long term.
: here is a list of wkly 10%+ gainer small cap and above, rank by wkly
: performance
: http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=141&f=cap_smallover,ta_perf_1
: i have/added positions on 10 of them
: 1. KNDI. bought before last break out. 09/10/2013 11:05:04 Bought XXXX
: KNDI @ 5.51 sold some at 6.6, and 8.8. hold the rest since.
: 4. FCEL. sold half @1.8 before ER, reload after the tumble. mentioned
: realtime on the board.