不知不觉也习惯了用金钱解决一切# Thoughts - 思考者
w*3
1 楼
http://www.newegg.com/Product/Product.aspx?Item=N82E16882780078
update：
刚才贴的时候是 $299
现在变成$499了 :(
update：
刚才贴的时候是 $299
现在变成$499了 :(
p*y
2 楼
我目前在美国是F1学生签证，我女朋友是日本护照，来美国可以三个月免签证，请问下
如果我们在美国结婚，她可以就地申请F2签证吗？谢谢~
如果我们在美国结婚，她可以就地申请F2签证吗？谢谢~
d*8
3 楼
Originally Posted by gc_on_demand
Visa allocation chief mentioned in AILA comment that USCIS knows visa usage
pattern. Which means that they know pending I 140 for EB1 in pipeline and
they also know that average time to get approve new I 140 is X months ( 4
months ) so they know if person files in May 2011 chances are rare that he/
she can get GC from 2011 quota.I am not saying is that applicant can't get
it but when u look at I 485 complexity and add scrutinity on EB1 I 140 its
more than 4 months to get GC from start to finish without any RFE.
That is why they are so confident to release quota now. which may bring date
so much forward so that can attract new cases and move back dates to
certain point in time. Specially this is how DOS does for all family based
CP cases. When they think they have 10k visas coming they move dates to
cover 15k out of which 12k may reply on time and they always have control to
retrogress dates if they run out of visas.
Big question is how far they want to go and get new cases. If they don't go
upto Mid 2008 in next 1 year , Eb2 will loose some visas to EB3 and dates
for EB2 will be "C" , if they go with some calculated guess and usage
pattern + buffer they should go well into early 2009 with in next 1 year.
Very well said.
1. DOS has to move fast in May to test if there are hidden demand (ppl who
missed 07/2007 filing, porting, dependent filing). Those new filing cannot
get be approved before October 2011. So they can move up to Nov/Dec 2006
safely in May. Also DOS/CIS, who communicate with each other for sure, will
know they should process those pre-adjudicated cased first to clear the
inventory.
2. In June, July, August, they could be cautious but still move ahead up to
March 2007.
3. September is critical, as that time, if DOS doesn't want to waste any
quota, (100% CIS cannot approve any cased filed in that month), they have to
move to a point to get all quota used. Based on 12K/half year, or 12K/year
from EB1, say 20K be safe this year from EB1. 7K from EB2 ROW as last year,
8K from EB3, 0 from FB (EB2 get only 10k/4 last year as 10K FB is divided by
Eb1/2/3/4), and normal 2.8K for EB2 I/C each (6K total), there are total
41K possibly for EB2 I/C.
4. Porting (6K this year), New filing (ppl who missed 07/07 with PD before
07/07), could have a negative efffect
5. The inventory for EB2 I/C is about 34K before 07/2007 (based on DOS
October/2010 and CIS inventory)
6. This is very close. Will DOS move beyond 07/2007 a little to allow new
filings (those won't get approved in Sept) and also make CIS easier to clear
all 07/2007? This will be a judgement call. I am 50/50 on that.
7. There are many factors that will play in the scenario.. But I am sure EB2
I/C 09/2011 PD will be pass
May 2007 100%
June 2007 80%
July 2007 60%
Sept 2007 30%
Nov 2007 10%
Dec 2007 or Current 0% (DOS/CIS learned the lesson)
Visa allocation chief mentioned in AILA comment that USCIS knows visa usage
pattern. Which means that they know pending I 140 for EB1 in pipeline and
they also know that average time to get approve new I 140 is X months ( 4
months ) so they know if person files in May 2011 chances are rare that he/
she can get GC from 2011 quota.I am not saying is that applicant can't get
it but when u look at I 485 complexity and add scrutinity on EB1 I 140 its
more than 4 months to get GC from start to finish without any RFE.
That is why they are so confident to release quota now. which may bring date
so much forward so that can attract new cases and move back dates to
certain point in time. Specially this is how DOS does for all family based
CP cases. When they think they have 10k visas coming they move dates to
cover 15k out of which 12k may reply on time and they always have control to
retrogress dates if they run out of visas.
Big question is how far they want to go and get new cases. If they don't go
upto Mid 2008 in next 1 year , Eb2 will loose some visas to EB3 and dates
for EB2 will be "C" , if they go with some calculated guess and usage
pattern + buffer they should go well into early 2009 with in next 1 year.
Very well said.
1. DOS has to move fast in May to test if there are hidden demand (ppl who
missed 07/2007 filing, porting, dependent filing). Those new filing cannot
get be approved before October 2011. So they can move up to Nov/Dec 2006
safely in May. Also DOS/CIS, who communicate with each other for sure, will
know they should process those pre-adjudicated cased first to clear the
inventory.
2. In June, July, August, they could be cautious but still move ahead up to
March 2007.
3. September is critical, as that time, if DOS doesn't want to waste any
quota, (100% CIS cannot approve any cased filed in that month), they have to
move to a point to get all quota used. Based on 12K/half year, or 12K/year
from EB1, say 20K be safe this year from EB1. 7K from EB2 ROW as last year,
8K from EB3, 0 from FB (EB2 get only 10k/4 last year as 10K FB is divided by
Eb1/2/3/4), and normal 2.8K for EB2 I/C each (6K total), there are total
41K possibly for EB2 I/C.
4. Porting (6K this year), New filing (ppl who missed 07/07 with PD before
07/07), could have a negative efffect
5. The inventory for EB2 I/C is about 34K before 07/2007 (based on DOS
October/2010 and CIS inventory)
6. This is very close. Will DOS move beyond 07/2007 a little to allow new
filings (those won't get approved in Sept) and also make CIS easier to clear
all 07/2007? This will be a judgement call. I am 50/50 on that.
7. There are many factors that will play in the scenario.. But I am sure EB2
I/C 09/2011 PD will be pass
May 2007 100%
June 2007 80%
July 2007 60%
Sept 2007 30%
Nov 2007 10%
Dec 2007 or Current 0% (DOS/CIS learned the lesson)
l*u
4 楼
其实自己没什么钱，勉强算有点小钱，可以保证自己温饱问题这类的，或者说不愁吃穿
住这类的。
可是到了这个年纪，发现做什么都不想虚伪应对，所以看到什么事情，遇到什么困难，
好像第一是想用钱解决，第二就是用关系解决，这可能是年纪的关系，没了那种耐心。
也可能是看多了类似的情况，觉得只有这两样是最好解决问题的最好办法。
现在想起来，我不知不觉里，已经成为当初自己最不喜欢的那种人了。当初自己喜欢的
那种人是有正义感的，有热情的，追求公平的，现在好像我走到自己的反面去了。
记得前年，有个亲戚超生，被抓了，然后打人了，被抓了起来，当时找到我，我也是通
过关系找到一个公安局的同学，把人给放了出来。
其实要不是亲戚，我是觉得这种人就应该抓的。
原来我也是慢慢成了那种帮亲不帮理的人。
有时候觉得自己变坏了，变得一直走捷径和容易走的路。只能说，社会慢慢改变了我们
，无声无息的，不言不语的，就这么改变了我们。
有时候也在反省，可是反省过来，还是会继续这么做。
不知道其他人是不是也是这样的。
住这类的。
可是到了这个年纪，发现做什么都不想虚伪应对，所以看到什么事情，遇到什么困难，
好像第一是想用钱解决，第二就是用关系解决，这可能是年纪的关系，没了那种耐心。
也可能是看多了类似的情况，觉得只有这两样是最好解决问题的最好办法。
现在想起来，我不知不觉里，已经成为当初自己最不喜欢的那种人了。当初自己喜欢的
那种人是有正义感的，有热情的，追求公平的，现在好像我走到自己的反面去了。
记得前年，有个亲戚超生，被抓了，然后打人了，被抓了起来，当时找到我，我也是通
过关系找到一个公安局的同学，把人给放了出来。
其实要不是亲戚，我是觉得这种人就应该抓的。
原来我也是慢慢成了那种帮亲不帮理的人。
有时候觉得自己变坏了，变得一直走捷径和容易走的路。只能说，社会慢慢改变了我们
，无声无息的，不言不语的，就这么改变了我们。
有时候也在反省，可是反省过来，还是会继续这么做。
不知道其他人是不是也是这样的。
f*h
5 楼
nope
p*e
6 楼
yy
l*i
7 楼
不觉得这个有多好，什么都用钱解决的逻辑思维
w*3
8 楼
能不能请在详细说说？
多谢
【在 f**h 的大作中提到】
: nope
多谢
【在 f**h 的大作中提到】
: nope
G*e
9 楼
方便
f*h
10 楼
这个经常卖 299
【在 w*****3 的大作中提到】
: 能不能请在详细说说？
: 多谢
【在 w*****3 的大作中提到】
: 能不能请在详细说说？
: 多谢
l*u
11 楼
是呀
【在 G***e 的大作中提到】
: 方便
w*3
12 楼
多谢，刚开始看的时候的却是299. 后来很快变499了。
这个效果如何？
【在 f**h 的大作中提到】
: 这个经常卖 299
这个效果如何？
【在 f**h 的大作中提到】
: 这个经常卖 299
t*r
13 楼
最低倒过279，你觉得299算丢么
前两天不是提过这个么，300以下最好的之一。要详细解释自己去avs上看
【在 w*****3 的大作中提到】
: 多谢，刚开始看的时候的却是299. 后来很快变499了。
: 这个效果如何？
前两天不是提过这个么，300以下最好的之一。要详细解释自己去avs上看
【在 w*****3 的大作中提到】
: 多谢，刚开始看的时候的却是299. 后来很快变499了。
: 这个效果如何？
w*3
14 楼
多谢，我去查查历史
【在 t**********r 的大作中提到】
: 最低倒过279，你觉得299算丢么
: 前两天不是提过这个么，300以下最好的之一。要详细解释自己去avs上看
【在 t**********r 的大作中提到】
: 最低倒过279，你觉得299算丢么
: 前两天不是提过这个么，300以下最好的之一。要详细解释自己去avs上看
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