c*s
3 楼
黃金叫頂的人已經也叫了不止一年了吧
s*g
4 楼
我总觉得拍人物用不到这么大的幅面。。。
g*n
5 楼
我天天等金子跌破1300，好到local金币店去扫货，结果快俩月了，急死人
【在 c****s 的大作中提到】
: 黃金叫頂的人已經也叫了不止一年了吧
【在 c****s 的大作中提到】
: 黃金叫頂的人已經也叫了不止一年了吧
b*e
6 楼
日式小清新现在都满大街了，难道胶片真的就是这样的么，肯定是后期狂调或者套用
preset。
preset。
b*a
7 楼
投机这么容易，谁还亏钱
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 11年周期论正确的话，本月黄金大顶已定。
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 11年周期论正确的话，本月黄金大顶已定。
a*f
8 楼
他们喜欢过曝然后有专门的冲印lab就冲这种风格。
【在 b*****e 的大作中提到】
: 日式小清新现在都满大街了，难道胶片真的就是这样的么，肯定是后期狂调或者套用
: preset。
【在 b*****e 的大作中提到】
: 日式小清新现在都满大街了，难道胶片真的就是这样的么，肯定是后期狂调或者套用
: preset。
r*k
9 楼
黄金价格现在主要还是根据政府印钱的规模来走的。而且根据这个图来看，现在离上升
通道上轨还相当远，这个上轨现在貌似在$2000左右。
通道上轨还相当远，这个上轨现在貌似在$2000左右。
a*f
10 楼
不过我推这个不是因为他胶片或者小清新，而是里面很多照片的特搞。
【在 b*****e 的大作中提到】
: 日式小清新现在都满大街了，难道胶片真的就是这样的么，肯定是后期狂调或者套用
: preset。
【在 b*****e 的大作中提到】
: 日式小清新现在都满大街了，难道胶片真的就是这样的么，肯定是后期狂调或者套用
: preset。
P*5
11 楼
1500 is around the corner
T*t
12 楼
日式小清新？
是不是面部测入射就差不多了？
【在 a*f 的大作中提到】
: http://www.flickr.com/photos/toyokazu/
是不是面部测入射就差不多了？
【在 a*f 的大作中提到】
: http://www.flickr.com/photos/toyokazu/
a*h
13 楼
come on, even based on the chart, it should be feb 2012
feb 2012 is even on the chart, haha
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 11年周期论正确的话，本月黄金大顶已定。
feb 2012 is even on the chart, haha
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 11年周期论正确的话，本月黄金大顶已定。
t*n
14 楼
点测面部再过爆一级吧
【在 T*******t 的大作中提到】
: 日式小清新？
: 是不是面部测入射就差不多了？
【在 T*******t 的大作中提到】
: 日式小清新？
: 是不是面部测入射就差不多了？
k*n
15 楼
you always need someone on the short side
otherwise, where do you think you money come from. lol
【在 a********h 的大作中提到】
: come on, even based on the chart, it should be feb 2012
: feb 2012 is even on the chart, haha
otherwise, where do you think you money come from. lol
【在 a********h 的大作中提到】
: come on, even based on the chart, it should be feb 2012
: feb 2012 is even on the chart, haha
c*s
16 楼
这个很像以前您老推过的一日本人，难道小日本都喜欢用p67街上拍娃？
x*y
17 楼
1300以下还要等好久哦， 等吧，投机那里那么容易
t*n
18 楼
胶片本身的感光特性也可以认为是preset吧
【在 b*****e 的大作中提到】
: 日式小清新现在都满大街了，难道胶片真的就是这样的么，肯定是后期狂调或者套用
: preset。
【在 b*****e 的大作中提到】
: 日式小清新现在都满大街了，难道胶片真的就是这样的么，肯定是后期狂调或者套用
: preset。
M*4
19 楼
The second chart was created by myself, in order to correct the mistake in
the first chart created by some Chinese guy: it's all lined up now.
【在 a********h 的大作中提到】
: come on, even based on the chart, it should be feb 2012
: feb 2012 is even on the chart, haha
the first chart created by some Chinese guy: it's all lined up now.
【在 a********h 的大作中提到】
: come on, even based on the chart, it should be feb 2012
: feb 2012 is even on the chart, haha
b*e
20 楼
算。
【在 t***n 的大作中提到】
: 胶片本身的感光特性也可以认为是preset吧
【在 t***n 的大作中提到】
: 胶片本身的感光特性也可以认为是preset吧
c*o
21 楼
hehe..
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 11年周期论正确的话，本月黄金大顶已定。
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 11年周期论正确的话，本月黄金大顶已定。
b*e
22 楼
这事用大马7拍多轻松啊，非得搞P67.
【在 c******s 的大作中提到】
: 这个很像以前您老推过的一日本人，难道小日本都喜欢用p67街上拍娃？
【在 c******s 的大作中提到】
: 这个很像以前您老推过的一日本人，难道小日本都喜欢用p67街上拍娃？
n*c
23 楼
nice breast
z*6
24 楼
也推荐一个用Holga拍wedding的
http://www.flickr.com/photos/halophoto/sets/72157602092859108/d
【在 a*f 的大作中提到】
: http://www.flickr.com/photos/toyokazu/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/halophoto/sets/72157602092859108/d
【在 a*f 的大作中提到】
: http://www.flickr.com/photos/toyokazu/
a*h
25 楼
you are absolutely right, LOL
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: you always need someone on the short side
: otherwise, where do you think you money come from. lol
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: you always need someone on the short side
: otherwise, where do you think you money come from. lol
z*6
26 楼
单反控？
【在 b*****e 的大作中提到】
: 这事用大马7拍多轻松啊，非得搞P67.
【在 b*****e 的大作中提到】
: 这事用大马7拍多轻松啊，非得搞P67.
s*e
27 楼
There is only two samples and your second sample is not valid since the peak is at 1980 not 1987 if calculated from 1976
r*n
28 楼
高手们给说说，日系小清新好在哪里？
M*4
29 楼
no need to worry about absolute high/low: the peak to trough cycle is too
eminent to ignore.
peak is at 1980 not 1987 if calculated from 1976
【在 s*******e 的大作中提到】
: There is only two samples and your second sample is not valid since the peak is at 1980 not 1987 if calculated from 1976
eminent to ignore.
peak is at 1980 not 1987 if calculated from 1976
【在 s*******e 的大作中提到】
: There is only two samples and your second sample is not valid since the peak is at 1980 not 1987 if calculated from 1976
t*n
30 楼
日本人sushi，吴冬吃多了，口味淡
【在 r*********n 的大作中提到】
: 高手们给说说，日系小清新好在哪里？
【在 r*********n 的大作中提到】
: 高手们给说说，日系小清新好在哪里？
M*4
31 楼
i see tears in bull's eye:)
【在 a********h 的大作中提到】
: you are absolutely right, LOL
【在 a********h 的大作中提到】
: you are absolutely right, LOL
y*n
32 楼
k*n
33 楼
I really hope JP morgan can beat gold back to 1200
I am not greedy, 1200 is fine
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: i see tears in bull's eye:)
I am not greedy, 1200 is fine
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: i see tears in bull's eye:)
N*n
34 楼
Keep accumulating gold & silver while riding the "Beijing Put". China's
2T toilet paper Dollars have your back.
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 11年周期论正确的话，本月黄金大顶已定。
a*h
35 楼
I am sitting on a 6 figure profit on gold silver investments just this year
How about you?
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: i see tears in bull's eye:)
How about you?
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: i see tears in bull's eye:)
M*4
36 楼
lost quarter million dollar shorting ES this year. are you happy now?
year
【在 a********h 的大作中提到】
: I am sitting on a 6 figure profit on gold silver investments just this year
: How about you?
year
【在 a********h 的大作中提到】
: I am sitting on a 6 figure profit on gold silver investments just this year
: How about you?
N*n
37 楼
Look at the real deal which is the bond market. It's screaming to people
to get out of US$ and into the inflation hedges instead. You stay on the
wrong side of it you will lose another quarter.
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: lost quarter million dollar shorting ES this year. are you happy now?
:
: year
N*n
38 楼
Stewart Thomson
1. Gold war update from the front lines: The Gold Community retook $1400
last night. Silver is close to retaking $30. I won the battle as to whether
gold would take out $1424 on the upside or $1315 on the downside. Most
thought $1315 would fall. It didn't. Gold soared to $1430 basis dec futures
and many gold stocks continue to exhibit violent upsurges.
2. I don't like losing. So I don't. Don't you throw your gold away either
because of all the correction talk going around.
3. Gold is now trading between 1370 and 1430, and doing so after breaking
out, upside, from the 1315-1424 range. The fact is... gold is marching
higher. An army of gold top callers are about to meet their maker. The Gold
Punisher is in the technical analysis house, and he's not taking prisoners.
4. There is no head and shoulders now, any more than there was one in the
last 1315-1424 range.
5. There is no double top either. What there is, fellow gold fiends, is an
upside superblast going on right now, climbing a classic wall of worry. I've
bought US dollars into weakness in some size, from other paper currencies,
not from gold sales, and if there is a significant gold correction, later, I
'll use those dollars to increase my gold stock position total size.
6. I have absolutely zero interest in liquidating core gold bullion
positions now to ''get them cheaper later.'' With gold stock, the biggest
risk to you now is selling out to avoid the correction. What will happen
instead is you miss out on the biggest upside move since 2008.
7. Because Gold Stock is higher priced now than at the lows of the start of
the bull market and the lows of 2008, it requires more price movement to
produce the types of returns you saw from those earlier bull low points.
8. Regardless, the risk now is immeasurably greater of being out of gold,
than it is of being in, and you can take that to the bank. Your bullion bank
. This is a not a timer's competition. It's a crisis.
It's not a game to see who can flip the most gold hamburgers with the most
leverage in the unsafest online account, in a war zone. You see, the
banksters don't think it's a game or a timer's competition. They think it's
a war. They think they win by putting you on the breadline. They are correct.
9. Their strategy is to take you out of gold right here, right now, right
before they blow up the bond market, thereby blowing up all you financially
have, all you financially are. An epic transfer of wealth.
The coming action caused by the bond implosion could make the day of the
lows at Dow 6500 look like a remake of the television show Happy Days. Sorry
, but ''Happy Days meets Godzilla'' is a vastly more accurate description of
what is coming here on the next episode of… The Big Show.
10. Most analysts are giving very little, or zero, coverage to the bond
market as a house of cards. I think it is all-critical. A sea change is at
hand.
11. That existing trend is: Down. I don't believe that a real estate price
collapse from here would collapse commodities like gold and food. Quite the
opposite. I think we are starting to see food, and the Dow itself, starting
to behave as currencies, joining gold on the currency stage.
The Dow is rallying despite a growing institutional sensing that the US
Central Bank and Govt are nearing an ''out of control'' situation with the
bond.
12. When institutional money buys the Dow while believing rates could soar,
the door is open to what HSBC's currency chief describes as an Armageddon
type of situation. The institutional money managers want to believe the Dow
is rising and rates are rising based on growth, but the view that a horror
show is instead the correct reality, is growing like a wildfire.
13. We are likely transitioning into a stage of the crisis where items that
are encumbered by debt could start to fall as a group (something the gold
community only waited 30 years for), even seemingly unrelated items, while
debt-free items rally strongly, also as a group. Real estate and bonds are
debt items.
14. The bottom line in the next phase of the crisis is: Creditors get
devalued, and debtors that have financing charges fixed at low or zero rates
for an extended time get to experience almost what could be termed a
debtors' party, as what they owe becomes much easier to pay.
15. What is critical to understand is that the Govt (aka the Gman) does not
view itself as verging on default, but on the verge of burning all their
creditors, burning all their own citizens. The govt is not worried; they are
ecstatic!
16. The public wrongly believes that if the dollar falls, real estate will
rally. Again, they are ignoring the bond market, which could probably not be
in a more dangerous position for real estate than where it sits right here,
right now.
17. A major bear mkt in bonds would turn real estate into a chart that looks
like the Nasdaq after 2000. The public's move into real estate after the
initial fall now, is exactly the same as their stupid move into more Nortel
and Enron stock after the initial fall. I had people tell me it was free
money when they bought Nortel after it fell to $90. On the road to $1 share
price and followed at that point by massive dilution. Free money was correct
. Free monopoly money.
18. The real estate bear is not over. Nor is it ending. It's barely started
in my view. News highs are likely not years away, but decades away.
19. Most investors think way, way, way too big in the short term, and way,
way, way too small in the long term. In a bull market, you never sell core
positions, regardless of the size of any supposed correction you are
predicting for yourself.
20. The gold juniors were trading between approx. $36 and $43, and now they
are trading between $40 and $45. That's the only reality there is. Short
term traders are buyers in a pyramid formation on all price weakness under $
45 to $40, and sellers not just to $45, but to $200! For a solid portion of
your risk capital, your gold stock sell targets need to be vastly beyond
what is rational, for the first time in the history of the gold market.
21. The bigger picture is the new trading range that came into play when
GDXJ took out highs at $43.31 in early November. You decide the upside of
that range, not me. I would suggest $60 as a bare minimum for the hamburger
flipper, and $100 for the moderate investor is not out of line. Numbers like
$50 are a joke.
For the new range GDXJ play, you need to be a buyer on all weakness into the
$43 or lower price point from any point between there and GDXJ $100 in my
view. I want you to understand that while juniors are high risk assets, the
price of bullion above $1400 is a game changer for them and for you.
Billionaires like paid subscriber T-Rex, who is rumoured to eat banksters
for breakfast, understand the situation and are taking action, whereas the
smaller traders are wasting time trying to top call themselves to the
breadline.
22. When it comes to the gold juniors, whether you use GDXJ, ZJG, SIL, or
the individuals, my urging is you work to get your mind not into top call
mode, but instead into top up mode.
Do whatever it takes to achieve that state of mind, because Jim Sinclair,
one of the only real insiders in the gold community, is warning you right
now that the banksters are setting up to repeat their performance of the
1970s, when they made all the money on the long side, while the speculators
top called themselves to the spectator stands.
This time is different from the 1970s. In the 1970s there was almost zero
risk of the dollar going off the board. The top callers missed reward, but
didn't eat risk. This is not the 1970s. It's a marked to lies 1930s
situation.
Those who laughed at my standing prediction that the only solution the
banksters have ever had in mind for the crisis is to put the public on the
breadline, should look at the statements beginning to be made, finally, by
some of the world's largest money managers. They are using the ''A'' word:
Armageddon.
Let's see how hard the laughers laugh while standing in the breadline. I'm
going to go out on a limb and suggest it won't be very loud. Don't top call
yourself out of gold and into the paper money blast furnace just as the
banksters turn it on, or you are likely to join them!
23. Most investors in the gold community blew themselves out of a lot of
bullion as it tanked into the lows of 2008. Most mainstream investors did
the same thing to themselves with the general equity markets in 2000 and
again in 2008. They bought no Dow in 1980 as it broke out upside, never mind
into the previous lows, but then tried to hamburger flip it for 20 years.
24. Like bullion, the juniors are trending higher. The difference is that
bullion is on the verge of a possible upside pop, while juniors are on the
verge of an upside parabolic move! If gold gets taken down hard today, the
question is, are you going top out, or top up? Let's do it!
1. Gold war update from the front lines: The Gold Community retook $1400
last night. Silver is close to retaking $30. I won the battle as to whether
gold would take out $1424 on the upside or $1315 on the downside. Most
thought $1315 would fall. It didn't. Gold soared to $1430 basis dec futures
and many gold stocks continue to exhibit violent upsurges.
2. I don't like losing. So I don't. Don't you throw your gold away either
because of all the correction talk going around.
3. Gold is now trading between 1370 and 1430, and doing so after breaking
out, upside, from the 1315-1424 range. The fact is... gold is marching
higher. An army of gold top callers are about to meet their maker. The Gold
Punisher is in the technical analysis house, and he's not taking prisoners.
4. There is no head and shoulders now, any more than there was one in the
last 1315-1424 range.
5. There is no double top either. What there is, fellow gold fiends, is an
upside superblast going on right now, climbing a classic wall of worry. I've
bought US dollars into weakness in some size, from other paper currencies,
not from gold sales, and if there is a significant gold correction, later, I
'll use those dollars to increase my gold stock position total size.
6. I have absolutely zero interest in liquidating core gold bullion
positions now to ''get them cheaper later.'' With gold stock, the biggest
risk to you now is selling out to avoid the correction. What will happen
instead is you miss out on the biggest upside move since 2008.
7. Because Gold Stock is higher priced now than at the lows of the start of
the bull market and the lows of 2008, it requires more price movement to
produce the types of returns you saw from those earlier bull low points.
8. Regardless, the risk now is immeasurably greater of being out of gold,
than it is of being in, and you can take that to the bank. Your bullion bank
. This is a not a timer's competition. It's a crisis.
It's not a game to see who can flip the most gold hamburgers with the most
leverage in the unsafest online account, in a war zone. You see, the
banksters don't think it's a game or a timer's competition. They think it's
a war. They think they win by putting you on the breadline. They are correct.
9. Their strategy is to take you out of gold right here, right now, right
before they blow up the bond market, thereby blowing up all you financially
have, all you financially are. An epic transfer of wealth.
The coming action caused by the bond implosion could make the day of the
lows at Dow 6500 look like a remake of the television show Happy Days. Sorry
, but ''Happy Days meets Godzilla'' is a vastly more accurate description of
what is coming here on the next episode of… The Big Show.
10. Most analysts are giving very little, or zero, coverage to the bond
market as a house of cards. I think it is all-critical. A sea change is at
hand.
11. That existing trend is: Down. I don't believe that a real estate price
collapse from here would collapse commodities like gold and food. Quite the
opposite. I think we are starting to see food, and the Dow itself, starting
to behave as currencies, joining gold on the currency stage.
The Dow is rallying despite a growing institutional sensing that the US
Central Bank and Govt are nearing an ''out of control'' situation with the
bond.
12. When institutional money buys the Dow while believing rates could soar,
the door is open to what HSBC's currency chief describes as an Armageddon
type of situation. The institutional money managers want to believe the Dow
is rising and rates are rising based on growth, but the view that a horror
show is instead the correct reality, is growing like a wildfire.
13. We are likely transitioning into a stage of the crisis where items that
are encumbered by debt could start to fall as a group (something the gold
community only waited 30 years for), even seemingly unrelated items, while
debt-free items rally strongly, also as a group. Real estate and bonds are
debt items.
14. The bottom line in the next phase of the crisis is: Creditors get
devalued, and debtors that have financing charges fixed at low or zero rates
for an extended time get to experience almost what could be termed a
debtors' party, as what they owe becomes much easier to pay.
15. What is critical to understand is that the Govt (aka the Gman) does not
view itself as verging on default, but on the verge of burning all their
creditors, burning all their own citizens. The govt is not worried; they are
ecstatic!
16. The public wrongly believes that if the dollar falls, real estate will
rally. Again, they are ignoring the bond market, which could probably not be
in a more dangerous position for real estate than where it sits right here,
right now.
17. A major bear mkt in bonds would turn real estate into a chart that looks
like the Nasdaq after 2000. The public's move into real estate after the
initial fall now, is exactly the same as their stupid move into more Nortel
and Enron stock after the initial fall. I had people tell me it was free
money when they bought Nortel after it fell to $90. On the road to $1 share
price and followed at that point by massive dilution. Free money was correct
. Free monopoly money.
18. The real estate bear is not over. Nor is it ending. It's barely started
in my view. News highs are likely not years away, but decades away.
19. Most investors think way, way, way too big in the short term, and way,
way, way too small in the long term. In a bull market, you never sell core
positions, regardless of the size of any supposed correction you are
predicting for yourself.
20. The gold juniors were trading between approx. $36 and $43, and now they
are trading between $40 and $45. That's the only reality there is. Short
term traders are buyers in a pyramid formation on all price weakness under $
45 to $40, and sellers not just to $45, but to $200! For a solid portion of
your risk capital, your gold stock sell targets need to be vastly beyond
what is rational, for the first time in the history of the gold market.
21. The bigger picture is the new trading range that came into play when
GDXJ took out highs at $43.31 in early November. You decide the upside of
that range, not me. I would suggest $60 as a bare minimum for the hamburger
flipper, and $100 for the moderate investor is not out of line. Numbers like
$50 are a joke.
For the new range GDXJ play, you need to be a buyer on all weakness into the
$43 or lower price point from any point between there and GDXJ $100 in my
view. I want you to understand that while juniors are high risk assets, the
price of bullion above $1400 is a game changer for them and for you.
Billionaires like paid subscriber T-Rex, who is rumoured to eat banksters
for breakfast, understand the situation and are taking action, whereas the
smaller traders are wasting time trying to top call themselves to the
breadline.
22. When it comes to the gold juniors, whether you use GDXJ, ZJG, SIL, or
the individuals, my urging is you work to get your mind not into top call
mode, but instead into top up mode.
Do whatever it takes to achieve that state of mind, because Jim Sinclair,
one of the only real insiders in the gold community, is warning you right
now that the banksters are setting up to repeat their performance of the
1970s, when they made all the money on the long side, while the speculators
top called themselves to the spectator stands.
This time is different from the 1970s. In the 1970s there was almost zero
risk of the dollar going off the board. The top callers missed reward, but
didn't eat risk. This is not the 1970s. It's a marked to lies 1930s
situation.
Those who laughed at my standing prediction that the only solution the
banksters have ever had in mind for the crisis is to put the public on the
breadline, should look at the statements beginning to be made, finally, by
some of the world's largest money managers. They are using the ''A'' word:
Armageddon.
Let's see how hard the laughers laugh while standing in the breadline. I'm
going to go out on a limb and suggest it won't be very loud. Don't top call
yourself out of gold and into the paper money blast furnace just as the
banksters turn it on, or you are likely to join them!
23. Most investors in the gold community blew themselves out of a lot of
bullion as it tanked into the lows of 2008. Most mainstream investors did
the same thing to themselves with the general equity markets in 2000 and
again in 2008. They bought no Dow in 1980 as it broke out upside, never mind
into the previous lows, but then tried to hamburger flip it for 20 years.
24. Like bullion, the juniors are trending higher. The difference is that
bullion is on the verge of a possible upside pop, while juniors are on the
verge of an upside parabolic move! If gold gets taken down hard today, the
question is, are you going top out, or top up? Let's do it!
s*e
39 楼
The 2nd and 3rd sample are just not convincing. You can also try 6 years, you will get more samples but you will miss the most recent run.
Also, remember that the stagnation of seventies and Fed's action on dramatically raising the interest rate in the earlies 80es. Those are the reasons behind the peaks and troughs not the mysterious 11 years cycle. And now Fed are still sticking to its low interest rate and we still have not seen any inflation but deflation pressure.
In the past two years, Fed have doubled the money supply, I believe that is why we see gold from 700s to 1400s now. And now they are try to increase the money supply by 1/3. So i guess we will see Gold around $1800s when they finishes QE2. Also, stock market has doubled since Fed
start to double money supply, thus by the time QE2 finished we may see Dow at 14000.
At the current situation, i think chasing liquid asset is the trend.
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: no need to worry about absolute high/low: the peak to trough cycle is too
: eminent to ignore.
:
: peak is at 1980 not 1987 if calculated from 1976
Also, remember that the stagnation of seventies and Fed's action on dramatically raising the interest rate in the earlies 80es. Those are the reasons behind the peaks and troughs not the mysterious 11 years cycle. And now Fed are still sticking to its low interest rate and we still have not seen any inflation but deflation pressure.
In the past two years, Fed have doubled the money supply, I believe that is why we see gold from 700s to 1400s now. And now they are try to increase the money supply by 1/3. So i guess we will see Gold around $1800s when they finishes QE2. Also, stock market has doubled since Fed
start to double money supply, thus by the time QE2 finished we may see Dow at 14000.
At the current situation, i think chasing liquid asset is the trend.
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: no need to worry about absolute high/low: the peak to trough cycle is too
: eminent to ignore.
:
: peak is at 1980 not 1987 if calculated from 1976
C*n
40 楼
画这种反log scale的曲线除了糊弄人没啥意思
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 11年周期论正确的话，本月黄金大顶已定。
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 11年周期论正确的话，本月黄金大顶已定。
M*4
41 楼
I'm laughing to the bank again:)
c*o
42 楼
keep short gold, like I do...lol
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: I'm laughing to the bank again:)
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: I'm laughing to the bank again:)
a*h
43 楼
I seriously doubt it hehe
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: I'm laughing to the bank again:)
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: I'm laughing to the bank again:)
M*4
44 楼
黄金和道指下礼拜大跌的机会均大于70％，多头还是割了吧。
【在 a********h 的大作中提到】
: I seriously doubt it hehe
【在 a********h 的大作中提到】
: I seriously doubt it hehe
d*1
45 楼
热【 在 ModelWife4 (乳酱戏海鳖) 的大作中提到: 】
w*y
46 楼
re
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 11年周期论正确的话，本月黄金大顶已定。
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 11年周期论正确的话，本月黄金大顶已定。
a*h
47 楼
how did you calculate the 70%? maybe it's 71%? or 69%?
hehe
it's not easy to time the silver/gold market.
for example, I need to pay huge amount of tax to sell my current positions
now to try to time the market and buy back later on a correction.
of course I am in the camp that believe gold/silver is still in a bull
market.
I do think it's a good idea to have a trading position in IRA account,
that's what I am going to do this year.
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 黄金和道指下礼拜大跌的机会均大于70％，多头还是割了吧。
hehe
it's not easy to time the silver/gold market.
for example, I need to pay huge amount of tax to sell my current positions
now to try to time the market and buy back later on a correction.
of course I am in the camp that believe gold/silver is still in a bull
market.
I do think it's a good idea to have a trading position in IRA account,
that's what I am going to do this year.
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 黄金和道指下礼拜大跌的机会均大于70％，多头还是割了吧。
a*h
48 楼
唱衰金银的几位都是在回调的时候出来行为艺术一把
也就是每一两个月有那么几天呵呵
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 黄金和道指下礼拜大跌的机会均大于70％，多头还是割了吧。
也就是每一两个月有那么几天呵呵
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 黄金和道指下礼拜大跌的机会均大于70％，多头还是割了吧。
M*4
49 楼
在下几乎天天交易Spiders.
黄金和黄金股现在正在调整，中期趋势向下。
如果明天大盘不大跌，我就取消本周大盘大跌的预期。
你是所谓的长期持有者，对 Turning Window 之类的玄学显然不了解。
【在 a********h 的大作中提到】
: 唱衰金银的几位都是在回调的时候出来行为艺术一把
: 也就是每一两个月有那么几天呵呵
黄金和黄金股现在正在调整，中期趋势向下。
如果明天大盘不大跌，我就取消本周大盘大跌的预期。
你是所谓的长期持有者，对 Turning Window 之类的玄学显然不了解。
【在 a********h 的大作中提到】
: 唱衰金银的几位都是在回调的时候出来行为艺术一把
: 也就是每一两个月有那么几天呵呵
v*h
50 楼
黄金会继续冲顶，关键美国国债崩溃后，拥有黄金的合法性，会经受考验。
w*1
51 楼
你图里说的是2012年，为什么判断现在就是顶部？
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 在下几乎天天交易Spiders.
: 黄金和黄金股现在正在调整，中期趋势向下。
: 如果明天大盘不大跌，我就取消本周大盘大跌的预期。
: 你是所谓的长期持有者，对 Turning Window 之类的玄学显然不了解。
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 在下几乎天天交易Spiders.
: 黄金和黄金股现在正在调整，中期趋势向下。
: 如果明天大盘不大跌，我就取消本周大盘大跌的预期。
: 你是所谓的长期持有者，对 Turning Window 之类的玄学显然不了解。
a*h
52 楼
do you seriously think anyone can predict a topping of a supercycle based
on this chart or any other chart?
a topping of a supercycle can only happen when every ID here scream
gold and silver and find all sorts of reasons for a unimaginable price
(think: dot com bubble, people "never learn")
hehe
【在 w********1 的大作中提到】
: 你图里说的是2012年，为什么判断现在就是顶部？
on this chart or any other chart?
a topping of a supercycle can only happen when every ID here scream
gold and silver and find all sorts of reasons for a unimaginable price
(think: dot com bubble, people "never learn")
hehe
【在 w********1 的大作中提到】
: 你图里说的是2012年，为什么判断现在就是顶部？
M*4
53 楼
第一张图是某位老中做的，第二张图是我对其本上升周期起点做的修正。结果顶部就提
前了很多。如果长期利率确实已进入上升周期，那么黄金顶部就更可能已形成了。。。
【在 w********1 的大作中提到】
: 你图里说的是2012年，为什么判断现在就是顶部？
前了很多。如果长期利率确实已进入上升周期，那么黄金顶部就更可能已形成了。。。
【在 w********1 的大作中提到】
: 你图里说的是2012年，为什么判断现在就是顶部？
M*4
54 楼
石油147美元到顶，黄金十桶石油（1432／147=9.7~=10）到顶。保持了黄金石油1:10的
一贯比例。如果黄金能上$1470那就更好了:)
一贯比例。如果黄金能上$1470那就更好了:)
k*n
55 楼
it was taken out in 3 months
again, even your chart said the top would be Feb 2012, which sounds more
reasonable to me
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 11年周期论正确的话，本月黄金大顶已定。
again, even your chart said the top would be Feb 2012, which sounds more
reasonable to me
【在 M********4 的大作中提到】
: 11年周期论正确的话，本月黄金大顶已定。
v*h
56 楼
凡是说金银见顶的人，基本是无脑。
d*u
57 楼
再等11年。
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