一
一：经济
（肯定在某处记下了）
[最初，拜登的胜选在中国政府内部和媒体中引发了乐观情绪，他们判断华盛顿的对华政策会进行根本性的反思。但这种乐观情绪很快就消失了]中国最初希望拜登政府能够缓和与中国的紧张关系，但这一希望已经破灭。
中国已经走过了“站起来”和“富起来”的阶段，现在到了“强起来”的阶段。以美国为首的单极秩序正在逐渐消失，中国的崛起和美国的相对衰落加速了这一秩序的消亡，取而代之的将是一个以中美为核心的多极秩序。
一方面，中国急于避免将与西方的关系定格为一场新冷战。中国领导人认为，苏联式的意识形态扩张主义可能会引发反弹，从而阻碍中国经济持续增长，而且他们并不寄望自己的意识形态能像西方自由主义那样传播到世界各地——他们强调中国是一个“有中国特色”的发展中国家，暗示其他国家不能原封不动地照搬其政治制度和治理模式
例如，美国从选举政治和个人表达的角度来定义民主和自由，而中国则从社会安全和经济发展的角度来定义民主与自由
与西方的普遍看法相反，中国实际上并没有拒绝多边规则和多边机构，中国只是不接受美国在未与中国协商的情况下制定规则
中国政府希望由此产生的国内繁荣将改善与其他国家的经济关系，并助力世界经济复苏
北京还将寻求减少美国金融制裁的影响，包括在外贸和对外投资领域促进人民币国际化。2020年，中国开始在少数几个大城市试点数字人民币，这种创新有朝一日可以让中国及其商业伙伴在受美国控制的SWIFT系统之外进行货币交易。SWIFT是美国重要的地缘政治杠杆。
这是
田飞龙的说法没什么人会接受
这是对田飞龙最响亮的回击：
美国一场打不赢的战争
（华尔街日报的）
其实拜登是没办法，因为他在国内没能力调动其他势力，大家不听他的
However, it is far short of the $2.25 trillion proposal that President Joe Biden unveiled in March
$550bn (Biden ask $2.3T)
拜登绞杀的中国良策
正如《华尔街日报》所言，其实拜登没什么招数，就是用“民主对专制”引诱“西方盟友”共同反华，反华的对此还是沿用川普大家记得川普的美国第一是反贸易反
而且还很混乱，一直不知道怎么办
美国副外长谢尔曼（中国称为舍曼）访问中国前夕，赵立坚放出狠话【1】，“美方一再扬言‘从实力地位出发’与中方对话，这反映出美方的傲慢和霸道。正如中方一再指出，美方没有资格对中国说教或指手画脚，没有资格说从实力地位出发与中国打交道。‘我们在安克雷奇不吃这一套，在天津更不会吃这一套。’”可以说中国最恨就是“从实力地位出发”这句话，一下子就把中国压在下面，
真正感到中国威胁的，恰恰是对以美国为世界领袖自由民主秩序深信不疑的那一群人，有理论家，有思想界，有政治家、政客，也有资本界和军工产业的代表，这种威胁的第一
拜登对华政策不论多么高唱“民主”，他都不能停下来与中国合作抗疫，可见民主只是一种手段，借口
美国释放了几名被美国控告签证作假的解放军学者，不知道是不是信号，如今什么都是筹码，什么都是一步棋
全球化并没有减弱、
数字经济在扩大，美国的数字经济联盟
政策的矛盾反映在财政姚玲和贸易代表戴琪之间的不同意见
中国的制裁只不过是回应美国之前的举动，未必算得上对谢尔曼的警告，但至少可以表示对等。
这个辩论太有揭示性了，不可能有一个自由秩序
Michael Lind
https://twitter.com/stephenWalt/status/1423302951959941126
People like Ikenberry & Deudney have always been quite "tolerant" of "lesser evils" like the killing of 500k+ people in Indonesia, or 200k+ mostly Mayan peoples in the Guatemalan civil war, or of the South African Apartheid regime, or... https://t.co/79nSaVjD7a https://t.co/OlL2d881uE
— Nils Gilman (@nils_gilman) July 29, 2021
If Biden wants to bring about a democratic revival — to lead, as he constantly (and rightly) says, by the “power of our example” — he should focus on getting America’s own house in order. Until then, less preaching and a little humility are called for
拜登
能做得更好，还是不愿意？
确实说得挺全面，但要降低对立程度，中国也得做出让步
中国指责美国“丛林规则”，时代变了
China lays down “four stops” for visiting Dep Sec of State Wendy Sherman
2/ The authors should know this, because Ikenberry eloquently denounced such behaviour throughout the presidency of George W. Bush, an era of disaster routinely sanitised in such discourse.
— Patrick Porter (@PatPorter76) July 30, 2021
且不说撤销、修正这些政策对美国好不好，仅仅是就拜登目前在国内的处境，就知道他做不到
人家置之不理，什么“没勇气面对”
Biden referred to both Russia and China as "possibly mortal competitors down the road."
the U.S. president said that Chinese President Xi Jinping "is deadly earnest about becoming the most powerful military force in the world, as well as the largest and most prominent economy in the world" by the mid-2040s.
怎么理解拜登的话呢？你可以想拜登很担心，但同时暗示美国不会退缩，即使开战也在所不惜
大局：全球化之类的大趋势
Geopolitical tensions and anti-foreign feelings have been rising among a wide range of countries, and for a variety of reasons
It will be especially difficult for Beijing to resolve its tensions with other countries – India, Japan, Australia, Europe, the UK, Brazil, the Philippines, and others – as long as it continues to insist that these tensions can only be blamed on actions by Washington
到处出击四面树敌，中国的政治大家不感冒
“We believe our relationship can tolerate that nuance.”
舍曼言轻了
They included human rights, quickly narrowing political freedoms in Hong Kong and what Ms. Sherman called “the horrifying actions taking place in Xinjiang,”
Ms. Sherman also raised China’s demands over Taiwan, its military operations in the South China Sea, and the accusations last week by the United States and other nations that China’s Ministry of State Security was behind the hacking
“We were quite direct with each other on the areas of great difference,” she said.
While Mr. Biden has largely avoided the heated ideological sparring with the Chinese Communist Party that the Trump administration pursued in its final year,
显然不是如此，拜登更加意识形态，只是没那么人身攻击
Smart comments
在中国人读起来，就是，我打你，会很狠，但你不能哭
“There are some things that rise above specific differences that are the global responsibility of great powers,” Ms. Sherman told the Associated Press in an interview after the meeting in Tianjin concluded.
I’m old enough to remember the Obama admin’s refusal to use Beijing’s “new type of great power relationship” 新型大国关系 language because it implied acknowledgment of peer status. Eric Hundman | 何諳銳
https://twitter.com/DeputySecState/status/1419613445029249026
，显示两国之间保持开放沟通渠道的重要性，讨论如何为负责任地管理美中关系设定条件。谢尔曼强调欢迎两国激烈竞争，但不寻求与中国冲突。
接上：国务院声明称谢尔曼私下提出对中国系列行动的关切，包括香港新疆西藏人权问题，及对媒体准入和新闻自由的限制。她谈及北京在网络空间、台海、东海、南海行为的关切。
谢尔曼提出美加公民在中国被拘被禁出境的情况，提醒人命不是讨价还价的筹码；重申美国对中国拒绝世卫第二阶段溯源调查的关切。
谢尔曼提出美加公民在中国被拘被禁出境的情况，提醒人命不是讨价还价的筹码；重申美国对中国拒绝世卫第二阶段溯源调查的关切。
“Despite our different views over the Hong Kong or the Uyghur cases, what Trump called the economic decoupling with China is something beyond our intentions and is contrary to our interests,” said Borrell
牛逼
In Stinging Rebuke, China Tells U.S. Diplomat That Its Rise Can’t Be Stopped, likely true, but the question of why the US should continue to help its rise is now mainstream and likely to be answered in a bipartisan way "we should not"
为什么大家可以放弃事关人类生存的第一威胁而走入一场你死我活的斗争？
气候
中国最自己制度的自信不是没道理，但中国会发现把信念转换成现实，很难，甚至遥不可及
https://www.business-standard.com/article/international/crackdown-by-china-on-tech-cos-make-hong-kong-index-world-s-biggest-loser-121072500147_1.html
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/china-crackdown-makes-hong-kong-index-world-s-biggest-tech-loser-1.1632559
六：政治
The Imperial Syndrome - JHI Blog（网站好像不错？）
七：科技
美国要政府插手，降低自己的责任，中国政府主动，则被指责成专制干预市场
八：人文
在中国，“国家”在个人生活里无处不在，在美国（和西方资本主义国家），“公司”在个人生活里无处不在，韦伯所说的现代人努力把“工作”和“生活”分离（Compartmentalization），有多大现实呢？
“党”
美国的战略产业链面临的难题：打不过中国
https://www.phe.gov/Preparedness/mcm/Pages/supply-chain-100-days.aspx
Craig Allen：
and next and stuck-at-home U.S. consumers still shopping and importing in record amounts.
U.S. companies purchasing goods they can’t get elsewhere to meet elevated household demand fueled in part by trillions of dollars in government stimulus.
“We’ve seen the strong consumer demand that’s been occurring throughout the pandemic, and we’ve seen the import levels just go through the roof,”
https://www.bloomberg.com/toaster/v2/charts/ea90993e2d94494082835565bd75cbd8.html?brand=markets&webTheme=markets&web=true&hideTitles=true
欧洲的困境
欧洲联盟，形成朋友圈，将中国排斥在外
The Biden administration adopted “ally-shoring” and spun it into “friend-shoring” in a 250-page report released this month titled Building Resilient Supply Chains, Revitalizing American Manufacturing, and Fostering Broad-Based Growth.
基本上是美国阵营的
非常技术性的军事力量对比分析，太难
半导体、芯片（这些报道都可疑）
亚洲视觉科技研发总监陈经
美国的民不聊生
旧：
https://visualizingcultures.mit.edu/opium_wars_01/ow1_essay01.html
【社会与个人】
战狼：The Man Behind China’s Aggressive New Voice - The New York Times（很显然报道对美国的作用轻描淡写）
Why China's Young People Are Embracing Chairman Mao - The New York Times（“谁是我们的敌人？”：那些“拥抱”毛泽东的中国年轻人 - 纽约时报中文网）
天啊，变性人
这个躺平《纽时》采访还不错
我觉得我们的社会就是一个等级森严的尊卑社会体系，人活着应该是可上可下的一种生活方式，现在变成一种全民打鸡血的，这不太妥当
澳大利亚的反对声音
经济
三胎政策的投机
外交
对付沙特的困境，和最近几天回见沙特王子，说明美国还是假的
中国的“东进西退”成了信念：How Beijing's Narrative of U.S. Decline Is Leading to Strategic Overconfidence (csis.org)
黄仁伟：美国霸权衰落，对世界意味着什么_爱思想（黄仁伟非常精辟的总结）
打仗
美国思想
这两篇《经济学人》对美国战略思维的贫困描述得很深
China Inc’s new inconspicuous expansion | The Economist
非常一针见血
军事
（历史角度看美中冷战）Cold war or uneasy peace: does defining US-China competition matter? | China | The Guardian
兔主席
Amid a historic crackdown on China’s tech sector, companies are also working to eliminate 996 work culture and answer Beijing’s call to boost employment？
新疆
怨
哪来的？
作假？
杂
印度疫情
印度
Biden administration and the Federal Reserve are abusing their power while China waits to assert its primacy in the world economy
【拜登思想】
以色列，民情与其他国家不一样
It’s a trend that’s not restricted to Israel. In the United States and the United Kingdom, COVID-19 has “become a disease of the unvaccinated, who are predominantly young”, says Joshua Goldstein, a demographer at the University of California, Berkeley.
中国行动的终结
言论自由和《羊村十二勇士》
https://www.wsj.com/articles/hong-kong-police-arrest-five-over-childrens-books-depicting-protesters-as-sheep-11626965344
https://www.sohu.com/a/444394140_162522
https://www.wsj.com/articles/hong-kong-police-arrest-five-over-childrens-books-depicting-protesters-as-sheep-11626965344
https://www.sohu.com/a/444394140_162522
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来源: 文学城-笨狼