b*n
2 楼
2007-11-01 版权所有,转载请注明
技术分析是科学还是玄学(一)
技术分析是科学还是玄学(一)
□ 王师勤
[编者按:本刊主编王师勤博士重新出山,抱着要把真经度与人的善良愿望,撰写了一
组投资理念的文章,新知老友反应热烈,不少读者朋友来信来电称赞王博士的文章如清
风扑面,沁人心脾。有关技术分析的讨论,更是结合中国股市十年历程的体悟,不可多
得。]
技术派与基本派争吵了近百年,可是谁都没能说服对方。在美国华尔街,也许90%的分
析师都自认是基本分析派。但在中国股市上,或许90%的分析师都喜爱用技术图表来测
评市场。为什么太平洋两岸的同行会有那么大的差异?技术图表到底是投资指南还是花
拳绣腿?技术分析究竟是科学还是玄学?这些都是市场感兴趣的话题。
一、“自然法则”的发现者
1开山祖师:查尔斯?道
道生于1851年,在进入新闻界之前,至少干过20份工作,显然他没受过什么正统的学校
教育。道和爱德华?琼斯合伙在1882年成立了道?琼斯公司,该公司主要业务是传播消息
和分析资本市场新闻。此后,道干了两件大事,使其成为技术分析的开山鼻祖。一是道
于1884年7月30日首创
技术分析是科学还是玄学(一)
技术分析是科学还是玄学(一)
□ 王师勤
[编者按:本刊主编王师勤博士重新出山,抱着要把真经度与人的善良愿望,撰写了一
组投资理念的文章,新知老友反应热烈,不少读者朋友来信来电称赞王博士的文章如清
风扑面,沁人心脾。有关技术分析的讨论,更是结合中国股市十年历程的体悟,不可多
得。]
技术派与基本派争吵了近百年,可是谁都没能说服对方。在美国华尔街,也许90%的分
析师都自认是基本分析派。但在中国股市上,或许90%的分析师都喜爱用技术图表来测
评市场。为什么太平洋两岸的同行会有那么大的差异?技术图表到底是投资指南还是花
拳绣腿?技术分析究竟是科学还是玄学?这些都是市场感兴趣的话题。
一、“自然法则”的发现者
1开山祖师:查尔斯?道
道生于1851年,在进入新闻界之前,至少干过20份工作,显然他没受过什么正统的学校
教育。道和爱德华?琼斯合伙在1882年成立了道?琼斯公司,该公司主要业务是传播消息
和分析资本市场新闻。此后,道干了两件大事,使其成为技术分析的开山鼻祖。一是道
于1884年7月30日首创
d*u
3 楼
Hi,
We are a pre-seed stage start-up company building a social network website
for business peoples. We are seeking a marketing/social networking assistant
to help us get the word out about our website. the web in general. Your
duty will be mainly in assisting CEO to do marketing on major search engines
and social network websites such as facebook, twitter, linkedin, Youtube as
well as website article writing. You may be assigned some other works
depending on the needs of the company.
Preferred students from top prestigious university.
*Bachelor of business/ marketing or Bachelor of related field( or if you
are going to receive the degree within a year)
* Fluent in speaking and writing in both English and Chinese
* Self-motivate and proactive attitude
* Are willing to take risk and work hard and a good team player
* Have strong interest and ambition/motivation in joining a start up
* Good time management and task management
* Good English communication skill
* Passion on the work
* Willing to learn and be successful
* Must be authorized to work in the US.
* Prefer the person is based in San Francisco/Silicon Valley area
Benefits are some equities or minimum wage/hourly pay, you get educated on
how to run and marketing a social media startup company, and we can
recommend you to your future employer.
Also, a way to apply your business or marketing degrees.
Please note:
This is a pre-seed stage start-up. If you are looking for a salary job,
please skip this post. This position is for people who are interested in
having his own business and make a difference to his life.
We are a pre-seed stage start-up company building a social network website
for business peoples. We are seeking a marketing/social networking assistant
to help us get the word out about our website. the web in general. Your
duty will be mainly in assisting CEO to do marketing on major search engines
and social network websites such as facebook, twitter, linkedin, Youtube as
well as website article writing. You may be assigned some other works
depending on the needs of the company.
Preferred students from top prestigious university.
*Bachelor of business/ marketing or Bachelor of related field( or if you
are going to receive the degree within a year)
* Fluent in speaking and writing in both English and Chinese
* Self-motivate and proactive attitude
* Are willing to take risk and work hard and a good team player
* Have strong interest and ambition/motivation in joining a start up
* Good time management and task management
* Good English communication skill
* Passion on the work
* Willing to learn and be successful
* Must be authorized to work in the US.
* Prefer the person is based in San Francisco/Silicon Valley area
Benefits are some equities or minimum wage/hourly pay, you get educated on
how to run and marketing a social media startup company, and we can
recommend you to your future employer.
Also, a way to apply your business or marketing degrees.
Please note:
This is a pre-seed stage start-up. If you are looking for a salary job,
please skip this post. This position is for people who are interested in
having his own business and make a difference to his life.
l*i
4 楼
按年龄还是按孩子的具体情形,比如有了收入?
A*s
5 楼
从白天等到夜晚,只来了一波小朋友。
是因为担心经济不好,所以治安不好,还是害怕猪流感啊?
是因为担心经济不好,所以治安不好,还是害怕猪流感啊?
h*0
6 楼
A little while ago I posted a position here. It has been filled.Now we have
another opening available with the same responsibility/requirements (see the
old post at the end). If you are interested, please send your resume to
h**********[email protected]
Please note:
1) you MUST already have H1B, green card, or US citizenship
2) be able to relocate to Springfield, MA / Hartford, CT area.
Thanks,
Old post:
--------------------
We have an entry/junior level position now open in the investment risk
management area in our Enterprise Risk Management department of a big
multinational life insurance company. The main responsibility is to assist
in asset risk modeling (credit and market) and risk return analysis.
The candidate MUST have a green card or already have an H1B visa. The
idealcandidate will be:
1) Quick learner and good team worker
2) Have a quantitative background (e.g., math, physics, engineering,
actuarial science, ...). A degree in financial engineering will be a big
plus.
3) Have knowledge or experience in multi-asset classes (e.g., corporate
bonds, government/agency bonds, muni, CDO, CMBS, RMBS, MBS,derivatives,...)
4) Proficient in at least one programming language. Should be able to use
VBA very well in the future daily work.
5) Have good knowledge in quantitative finance (stochastic calculus,
interest rate model,....) and modeling experience is a big plus
If you are interested, please send you resume to
h**********[email protected]
If I find your background fits the requirement, then I'll schedule a short
call with you before I recommend you to the hiring manager (you will
actually support me though).
Thanks,
another opening available with the same responsibility/requirements (see the
old post at the end). If you are interested, please send your resume to
h**********[email protected]
Please note:
1) you MUST already have H1B, green card, or US citizenship
2) be able to relocate to Springfield, MA / Hartford, CT area.
Thanks,
Old post:
--------------------
We have an entry/junior level position now open in the investment risk
management area in our Enterprise Risk Management department of a big
multinational life insurance company. The main responsibility is to assist
in asset risk modeling (credit and market) and risk return analysis.
The candidate MUST have a green card or already have an H1B visa. The
idealcandidate will be:
1) Quick learner and good team worker
2) Have a quantitative background (e.g., math, physics, engineering,
actuarial science, ...). A degree in financial engineering will be a big
plus.
3) Have knowledge or experience in multi-asset classes (e.g., corporate
bonds, government/agency bonds, muni, CDO, CMBS, RMBS, MBS,derivatives,...)
4) Proficient in at least one programming language. Should be able to use
VBA very well in the future daily work.
5) Have good knowledge in quantitative finance (stochastic calculus,
interest rate model,....) and modeling experience is a big plus
If you are interested, please send you resume to
h**********[email protected]
If I find your background fits the requirement, then I'll schedule a short
call with you before I recommend you to the hiring manager (you will
actually support me though).
Thanks,
m*y
7 楼
如题 诚心求试题!!
万分感谢!
万分感谢!
c*t
8 楼
早就不隔离了,
好像7月份开始就取消隔离了
好像7月份开始就取消隔离了
d*e
9 楼
我在听到相关的“TA到底有没有“的讨论中,最有意思的一句话。华尔街上的人,公开
场合大多数说自己是FA,但是关起门来都在做TA的功课。
场合大多数说自己是FA,但是关起门来都在做TA的功课。
c*7
11 楼
is this opening still available?
a*d
12 楼
多谢:)
d*e
13 楼
另外想起一个事情,维尔德使用亚当理论不算是走向另外一个极端。
因为维尔德是两套系统,他的三角洲理论是预测系统,找出最大的波段来以后,使用亚
当理论这个交易系统来获利。
因为维尔德是两套系统,他的三角洲理论是预测系统,找出最大的波段来以后,使用亚
当理论这个交易系统来获利。
d*e
17 楼
我的理解是,能影响市场的人,通常的交易策略和手法不是靠TA或者FA,而是靠整体运
作: 基本面(FA)+市场情绪(TA)+操控(TA)。华尔街不了解,但是香港市场还是知
道一点点这种事情的。
同一个投行,研究报告经常是唱空,实际在加仓,同时又要在成交量和图形上做出TA上
的一些规则来。当然,做这些的时候,是基于行业中短期的基本面,去影响市场的短期
情绪,从而达到自己中长期的收益。
基金运作,FA先行是必须的,但是具体他们怎么用TA,我不知道,他们是要分析其他各
路资金和成交量,而vol也算是一个TA指标吧。
或者像去年的石油一样,一路到140,再回到40。这种东西不是传统TA能做出的分析,
一些人能用自己的时间周期把他们估算出来,但是大多数人不行。
随便乱写,自己都不知道想说啥了。
作: 基本面(FA)+市场情绪(TA)+操控(TA)。华尔街不了解,但是香港市场还是知
道一点点这种事情的。
同一个投行,研究报告经常是唱空,实际在加仓,同时又要在成交量和图形上做出TA上
的一些规则来。当然,做这些的时候,是基于行业中短期的基本面,去影响市场的短期
情绪,从而达到自己中长期的收益。
基金运作,FA先行是必须的,但是具体他们怎么用TA,我不知道,他们是要分析其他各
路资金和成交量,而vol也算是一个TA指标吧。
或者像去年的石油一样,一路到140,再回到40。这种东西不是传统TA能做出的分析,
一些人能用自己的时间周期把他们估算出来,但是大多数人不行。
随便乱写,自己都不知道想说啥了。
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