【上海美国中心活动】通向2024之路：美国政治中的摇摆州，6月7日，周五，14:00

上海美国中心| Shanghai American Center

通向2024之路：美国政治中的摇摆州
Road to 2024:  Swing States in American Politics

时间：6月7日，周五，14:00
Time:   Friday, June 7, 14:00

地点：上海美国中心（南京西路 1376 号上海商城东峰 540 室）
Venue: Shanghai American Center, Room 540, East Tower, No. 1376 West Nanjing Rd

现场参与预约 | RSVP:
https://shpas060724.eventbrite.com

欢迎来到上海美国中心，与我们一起深入了解2024年美国大选，我们将在今年大选年举办一系列活动，讨论美国选举过程中的各个方面，旨在帮助大家更好的了解美国民主制度如何运作以及2024年美国总统选举如何举行。 
Join us at the Shanghai American Center for an exciting deep dive into U.S. elections! In this election year, we will host a series of events to discuss various aspects of the U.S. election process for those who are curious about how the U.S. democratic system works and how the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election is conducted. 

在美国的政治背景下，什么是“摇摆州”？我们如何识别摇摆州？近几十年来，关于哪些州是“摇摆的”哪些不是的传统定义是如何变化的？是什么因素导致竞争较少的州成为摇摆州，摇摆州又是如何随着时间推移变得不那么具有竞争力？所有这些对摇摆州和美国整体政治都有什么影响？6月7日上海美国中心邀请到昆山杜克大学政治学与公共政策助理教授Jason Douglas Todd 博士一起探讨美国政治中的摇摆州。
What exactly is a "swing state" in the context of American politics? How do we know one when we see one? How has the conventional wisdom about which states are "swingy" and which aren't changed over recent decades?  What factors drive less competitive states to become swing states and how do swing states become less competitive over time?  Why does all of this matter – for swing states and for American politics writ large?  Join us at the Shanghai American Center on June 7th with Dr. Jason Douglas Todd, Assistant Professor of Political Science and Public Policy at Duke Kunshan University for a discussion on Swing States in American Politics.

活动语言为英文，配有中文翻译。 
This event will be conducted in English with Chinese Interpretation. 

嘉宾介绍
About the Speaker

Jason Douglas Todd 博士是昆山杜克大学政治学与公共政策助理教授，他的研究涉及了包括美国和越南的世界各地立法机构的响应性和代表性。包括：基于选区的选举安排、选区外竞选捐款以及相关选民偏好如何影响响应性和代表性。我们如何更好的衡量立法机构中的陈述和虚假陈述？选举机构如何促成合理的无知，当选举委员会不公正时会产生什么后果？这项研究发表在《American Political Science Review》、《The Journal of Politics》和《Electoral Studies》上，并即将在《Political Behavior》上发表。在昆山杜克大学，他教授比较政治学、政策周期和因果推断课程。他曾就读于厦门大学，并持有北卡罗莱纳大学和杜克大学学位。

Dr. Jason Douglas Todd is Assistant Professor of Political Science and Public Policy at Duke Kunshan University, where his research examines responsiveness and representation in legislatures across the world, including the United States and Vietnam.  Questions include: How do ward-based electoral arrangements, out-of-district campaign donations, and the provision of policy-relevant constituency preferences affect responsiveness and representation?  How can we better measure representation and misrepresentation in legislative bodies?  How do electoral institutions foster rational ignorance and what are the consequences when electoral commissions aren't impartial?  This research appears in the American Political Science Review, The Journal of Politics, and Electoral Studies and is forthcoming in Political Behavior.  At Duke Kunshan, he teaches courses on comparative politics, the policy cycle, and causal inference.  He studied at Xiamen University and holds degrees from the University of North Carolina and Duke University.

报名须知

我们至少会在活动开始前15分钟启动安检流程以及入场。请您携带有效并带有照片的身份证件原件进入上海美国中心，证件复印件或照片将不被接受。
Doors will open and security screening will commence 15 minutes before the program starts. You must bring a valid physical photo ID to enter the Shanghai American Center. Copies or pictures of IDs will not be accepted.

参加活动请提前报名。活动会准时开始，是否有余位视现场观众到场情况而定。为了确保所有观众的舒适和安全，并遵守防火规范，我们只能让前80位到场并成功报名参加活动的观众入场。
Please RSVP if you intend to come. Programs begin on time and seats are subject to space availability. To ensure the comfort and safety of all participants and adhere to fire codes, we can only accommodate the first 80 guests who arrive having RSVP’d.

如果您或团体需要特殊帮助如果您或团体需要特殊帮助来参与我们的活动，请提前发送邮件至[email protected]与联系我们。
For individuals or groups who need special assistance to access or enjoy the program, please email [email protected] in advance.  

目前我们不要求参加活动的观众佩戴口罩，如果您愿意，可以按照个人意愿选择佩戴。
Although masks are not currently required to attend Shanghai American Center events, audience members are free to wear them if they wish.

安检过程中，我们会对所有即将进入上海美国中心的物品进行扫描。访客请勿携带笔记本电脑进入上海美国中心。上海美国中心外没有行李存放或笔记本电脑的保管的地方。手机、iPad及其他平板设备、智能手表等允许携带。禁止对活动进行录音或录影。
All personal belongings brought into the American Center will be scanned during security screening. Guests may not bring laptop computers to Shanghai American Center programs. Please note there is no place to store luggage or laptops outside the Center. Portable electronic devices, such as mobile phones, iPads and other tablets, and smartwatches are permitted. No audio or video recording of the program will be permitted.

媒体采访须直接与美国驻上海总领事馆新闻处联系。
Press inquiries should be directed to [email protected].

上海美国中心的工作人员可能会在活动期间拍摄照片或视频，以便日后推广美国中心的活动给。工作人员将在活动期间努力获取那些肖像被拍摄到并公开使用的个人的口头许可。授权许可上海美国中心和美国国务院发布任何合法的，参与者可能出现的照片或视频，无需支付酬劳、进一步批准。
Shanghai American Center staff may capture photos or video during the event for future promotion of American Center events. Staff will make efforts during the event to gain verbal permission from individuals whose likeness is captured in footage to be used publicly.  Granting permission allows the Shanghai American Center and the U.S. Department of State permission to publish photographs or video in which participants may appear for any lawful purpose, without payment, further approval, or any other consideration in perpetuity. 

上海美国中心工作人员保留拒绝任何人进入的权利。
Staff of the ShAC reserve all rights to refuse entry.